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Wednesday 11 March 2020

5:15 Lingfield Racing Tips & Lay Bets (11th March)


BERNIES BOY 7/2 timewise recently leaves it needs to improve but has a decent time from 2018 that could possibly see it making the frame but not of value for an each-way punt.

AT YOUR SERVICE 17/2 has only slow times recently and its best from Chelmsford would still leave it outside my top 3.

MONT KIARA 10/1has got a poor draw and with other early paced sorts in this race it may struggle to get a good early position.

TARSEEKH 5/1 has got the plum draw and has been known to lead before but timewise it would need to improve to take the honours in this race so looks too short in my opinion.

MERCERS 18/1 is usually held up for a late run but looking at its times it may not get there quickly enough to catch the leaders.

OUR MAN IN HAVANA 17/2 a versatile type with its racing tactics, got a decent draw and good trainer/jockey stats.

HIGHLAND ACCLAIM 14/1 has been in poor form lately and is on a losing run of 21 races and has only won twice from 37 AW runs.

TAWAAFOQ 17/2 has only slow times over this course and distance but its best from Chelmsford would put it in the mix but this could be the wrong course for it and I will leave it alone.

DISTANT APPLAUSE 5/1 hasn't any form over this course and distance but would need to improve for the switch to this course to win this race and looks too short in price.

INDIAN AFFAIR 6/1 has only slow times recently and hasn't won from its last 16 attempts and its best from 2018 at Chelmsford would still see it struggle to win this race. 

DELEGATE THAT LADY 14/1 hasn't got much going for it on my data so one to lay.

ASK THE GURU 28/1 the last one's stablemate and another I would look to lay.

CONCLUSION: As one would expect with a class 6 race there are several bits of data that point to different animals making it hard to untangle the form lines, the two at the bottom of the handicap (Ask The Guru + Delegate That Lady) are ones I will look to lay, Tawaafoq and Highland Acclaim could go well here but my money will be riding on OUR MAN IN HAVANA 17/2 who from stall 3 should be able to get a good early position either contesting the lead or sitting just off the pace against the rails and then prove the stronger close home.

Our Man In Havana 17/2 2nd 

Lay bets: Ask The Guru (+1pt) Delegate That Lady (+1pt) 

Total on day +1pt 

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