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Thursday 10 September 2020

1:25 Sandown Racing Tips & Lay Bets (11th September)


RIO RONALDO 13/2 has shown nothing timewise so far this year even when finishing 3rd it was a slow time, if you go back to 2018 it would be my top rated and the jockey is 1-2 for this stable so maybe they think it can wind back the years but i have my doubts and maybe worth laying at the odds.

BRUNELS BOY(3yo) 13/2 is 0-5 on turf and then add on that I think it might not want the going to be too fast and may need a longer trip to show its best so looks one worth laying at the price if it stays 8/1 or below. 

NEWYORKSTATEOFMIND(3yo) 11/4 is 3rd best on just 2020 times but drops to 6th overall if the others reproduce their best so it might make the frame but I somehow doubt it will win and looks poor value at the price but never say never with a 3yo. 

UNION ROSE 11/2 is one of 3 known front runners in the field but it hasn't shown much so far this year but the trainer has a 5-10 win rate at this course and its best time from 2019 would make it 2nd top overall and could lead all the way here. 

MICHAEL'S CHOICE 9/1 another possible pacesetter and is my 2nd top rated on just 2020 times but drops to 4th overall and I'm not sure this type of course will suit it but not of value to lay. 

PINK FLAMINGO 13/2 has only slow times so far this year but its best time from Leicester last year would put it into the mix but the trainers record of 1-45 at this course makes me think they may have another target in mind and may need good to firm ground to show its best form and I might lay it if under 8/1. 

GREEN DOOR 14/1 has only slow times at this distance on turf and this is mainly due to it preferring some cut in the ground to show its best so one to lay in my opinion but probably isn't of value to lay for some people. 

GINGER MAX 7/2 has only 1 previous run at this distance and looking at other form it looks as though a further distance would suit it better and I would lay at the price as it looks poor value in my opinion.

ATTY'S EDGE has the fastest time for just 2020 so has to be considered as a possible winner I'm not sure if it drops to 3rd or 4th overall bu it could make the frame but i doubt it will be an each way price. 

NON-RUNNER SUMMARY: They are saying the going is good but as this is the 2nd race on the card please check before having a bet, I will look to lay (Brunel's Boy + Ginger Max + Green Door) as long as they are all no bigger than 8/1 in price, as for betting I will go with UNION ROSE 11/2 as I think this one could well lead and if getting to the front and reproducing its best time from last year it could hold on for the win.

Union Rose 8/1 (Betfair SP 10.5) +8pts

Lay bets: Brunel's Boy +1pt, Giner Max +1pt, Green Door +1pt

Total on the day: +11pts 

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