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Tuesday, 13 October 2020

4:25 Kempton Racing Tips & Lay Bets (14th October)

KEMPTON 4.25 Div I 

This race is hard to analyse with a lack of known early pace amongst them, the two that catch my eye are the top two in the handicap who are 1st and 2nd top rated on just 2020 c/d times but Winnetka who is a 3yo has had 10 runs now without winning a race and could make the frame again here, Magicinthemaking has a time from 2018 at Chelmsford that would make it 2nd top rated overall and its win at this c/d was a slow run affair but its not for me in this race, the 3yo Come On Girl also has a Chelmsford time but this one would make it top rated overall but its one c/d run was poor, so not really sure what to expect, my money, which will be kept low, has to ride on GRIGGY 12/1 (EW) who is running in slightly easier race here and is my top rated on just 2020 times and has to be an each way bet at the price. 

Griggy 16/1 8th (-2pt)

Total: - 2pts

KEMPTON 4.55 Div II

This 2nd division is even worse and again no known front runners amongst them, I can see 4 horses in this race that have pieces of form that could win the race, Lorna Cole my 4th top rated is a hold up type so I'm not 100% sure this race will be run to suit it and if its a short price I would be tempted to lay it just for the value side of things, Sir Rodneyredblood is my 3rd top rated using a time from Lingfield but its times here have been slower, Brenner Pass is my 2nd top rated but using a Southwell time while BROUGHTON'S COMPASS 12/1 (EW) is top rated using a Chelmsford time so will be the one carrying my money in an each way wager. 

Broughton's Compass 25/1 5th (-2pts)

Total -2pts

KEMPTON 6.00

This is a nice looking class 2 race but at least this time there is a known front runner, I will look to lay (Tinto + Ornate) who both look better horses over a shorter distance, I can see 4 horses, Motogally, Desert Doctor, Full Authority and Nigel Nott that could run well and have to fight each other to fill the places while my money will be riding on the front running SPIRIT OF MAY 14/1 and if this one does get to the front it could prove very hard to catch and it has to be worth an each way punt as I will be surprised if its not in the frame if it gets to the front and gets an uncontested lead.

Spirit Of May 25/1 8th (-2pts)

Lay bets: Tinto +1pt, Ornate +1pt 

Total: 0pts

Total on the day: -4pts

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