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Monday, 12 October 2020

8:15 Newcastle Racing Tips and Lay Bets (13th October)

NEWCASTLE 8.15 

LUCKY BEGGAR can find six furlongs too far if there's a fast early pace but time wise it could possibly make the frame in this race with only one known front running type in the race.

ZEBULON is my 3rd top rating on just 2020 times and its best time from 2019 would move it into 2nd top rated overall so could get a place. 

KILCONQUHARa 3yo with a time from Wolverhampton in 2019 that would make it in with a chance of making the frame. 

GINA D’CLEANER this 3yo may prefer either a slower surface or a longer trip or maybe both so not for me in this race.

CARLOVIAN has only a slow time over this c/d and usually runs on at the finish but maybe too late to win this race.

HARRY'S RIDGE hasn't any c/d form to work with, it likes to track the leaders and stay on at the finish but has only 2 AW runs to its name so not sure what to expect but I'm doubting it will win.

ROSE BANDIT is a 3yo which to be honest has shown very little so far in any of its races and I think it will be a double figure price.

I’LL BE BRIEF is another with nothing of note to work with and I think this one will also be a double figure price so the betting will be the best guide to this ones chances.

STAR CRACKER is the only known front running type in the race, it won last time out and has been found a very good chance to follow up here and is my top rated on overall and 2020 times.

ONE ONE SEVEN has a time in 2019 from Wolverhampton that would make it my 2nd top rated on overall figures but has slow c/d times so far this year.

CECE CEYLAN a 3yo that to be honest has shown nothing of merit and I think it will be a big outsider in this race.

DIVINE QUEEN another 3yo who has run just about ok recently but I think this surface might not be ideal for it and one I would look to lay unless backed strongly.

HEARTSTAR the final 3yo who may be better over shorter as it has a speed rating over 5 furlongs and faded in 2 runs at this distance last year.

KIBAAR hasn't any form at this distance on the AW tracks but has won on good to firm ground on turf so could go ok here. 

SUMMARY: I would look to lay both (Carlovian + *Divine Queen) there is quite a few horses with bits of form that could see them make the frame and too many to tip a specific one as a danger or an each way bet, I will be backing STAR CRACKER 15/2 who won for me last time out and I am hoping it can lead all the way again here to follow up its win last time out.

*NR 

Star Cracker 91 4th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Carlovian +1pt

Total on the day 0pts

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