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Saturday, 21 November 2020

3:25 Wolverhampton Racing Tip (22nd November)

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.25 6f Class 4 

STEELRIVER 6/1 is my joint top rated on 2020 c/d times and as long as stall 10 isn't its downfall it has been found a good opportunity to get back to winning ways. 

WILEY POST 10/1 hasn't any form on this surface so not sure what to expect but would need to improve for the switch of surface to win this race.

STREET PARADE 18/1 the other joint top rated on just 2020 c/d times with the make-up of this race it might not be run to suit it, never say never but it doesn't seem fancied.

POYLE VINNIE 8/1 this ten year old has been a grand servant and form from four years ago would put in the mix but hasn't been in good form for a while now.

MYTHMAKER 8/1 this 8yo seems on the decline it hasn't shown much since 2018 it is the 1 known front running type in the race but there is a couple that will make sure the pace isn't a dawdle maybe worth laying at the price.

HEER WE GO AGAIN 14/1 its only run here ended with a slow time and i think this 3yo will be better suited when dropped back to the minimum distance and one I would lay if of value to do so.

ARAIFJAN 5/2 this 3yo has a time that would make it 4th top rated on just 2020 c/d times but has a time from Newcastle that would make it my overall top rated so could go well but not any value at the price.

ICONIC KNIGHT 3/1 comes out 3rd best on just 2020 c/d times but can struggle to stay the distance if there's a fast early pace which looks likely here so looks way too short in my opinion so maybe one to lay at the price and trade out if it drifts.

MUSHARRIF 18/1 hasn't shown much time wise recently and with age it might now prefer a shorter trip, a change of surface or maybe both. 

PINK FLAMINGO 16/1 has only slow time over this c/d and its best ever time from Lingfield would leave it short of what is needed to win here and looks better over shorter.

MEWS HOUSE 20/1 hasn't run over this c/d before but its rating from Lingfield would mean that this 3yo would need to improve dramatically for the switch to this surface.

CONCLUSION: I think either Mythmaker and/or Araifjan will set the pace to the race but I doubt they will hold on for the win but they could go well, Street Parade could be in the mix if the early pace isn't too fast for it but my money will be riding on the top weight STEELRIVER 6/1 who likes to give weight to lesser opponents it has decent/good trainer/jockey stats and could visit the winner enclosure again here.
 
Steelriver 12/1 6th -1pt

Total on the day -1pt

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