POWER OVER ME 11/8 has been in brilliant form lately winning all 3 runs this year but it has been raised in weight again and the run has to end somewhere and that might just be here and i expect it will be a short priced favourite so no value.
VANDAD 5/1 the jockey booking catches the eye with a 29% win ratio on the stables older horses, it been placed twice in its 3 previous c/d runs but hasn't won and would need to improve a little to win this race but could go well again without winning again.
SWISS PRIDE 9/2 won nicely last time out when beating two of today's rivals but it didn't get a clear run that day and if it had done so would have won a little cosily and from stall 1 it can either lead or track the leaders and has a good chance of following up here.
GLOBAL PROSPECTOR 11/1 hasn't any form over this distance on this surface and using its best time which came from Wolverhampton it would need to improve a few pounds to win this race.
CAPPANANTY CON 7/1 only just touched off last time out and it looks weighted to reverse form with Swiss Pride but the winner would have won more easily with a clear run plus its only won once from 6 previous c/d races so looks too short a price and maybe worth laying.
PADDY POWER 16/1 will be staying on at the finish but with 4 opponents that have been known to lead before it might not get there quickly enough to pick up the pacesetters but along with the bottom weight it could prosper if they go off too fast and fade/tire badly.
CHOCCO STAR 10/1 likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly but would need to improve a little if others run to their best but could go well if the leaders fade .
SUMMARY: The pace should be fast and furious with 4 of the 7 runners having been known to lead before, I will lay (Cappananty Con if it stays a single figure price) Power Over me is in cracking form and going for a four-timer but has the 5b penalty its got to carry here going to find it out, who knows but it has to happen at sometime or another and I am hoping that it might happen in this race, plus i expect it will be the favourite and not much value in backing it. SWISS PRIDE 9/2 won last time out over this c/d in the fastest time of the whole field, it can lead and with stall 1 it might just do that but it can also come from behind which it did in its last race and that day it got into some traffic problems before flashing by the leader virtually on the line and a repeat of that time will see it follow up here.
Swiss Pride 5/1 2nd (-1pt)
Total on the day: -1pt
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