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Friday 5 March 2021

12:50 Lingfield Racing Tips (6th March)


A ten runner race over the minimum trip but surprisingly only the one known front runner amongst them that being Big Time Maybe 8/1 and this one has a time from 2020 that could be good enough from the front to hold on for a place but not quite an each way price in my thinking, King Robert 4/1 has a time from Kempton last year that could see it going well here but its best time over this c/d is quite a few spots slower and then not good enough to be in my top four ratings and looks too short in the betting in my opinion, Lady Florence 6/1 is well weighted on its best time over this c/d recorded last year but isn't big enough to back each way, Shining 11/2 has a c/d time from 2019 that would put it in my top three ratings but has been quite a bit below that recently so another that looks a bit shorter than I would have expected, Something Lucky 16/1 has a fast’ish time from last year that would see it make the frame but hasn't shown much in its three runs this year and I am hoping that the stall 1 draw can rejuvenate the form of THEGREYVTRAIN 9/2 who can be held up or track the leaders and has been found a good opportunity to go one place better than when it finished second on its last run over this course and distance. 

Thegreyvtrain 6/1 1st +6pts (Betfair SP 7)

Total +6pts


On paper a nice class 2 race with nearly 12k to the winner but a poor turnout of only 7 runners, luckily there is 2 known front runners, so it should be a true run race, and Lihou from stall 3 is one of those likely to try and lead but this one maybe a bit outclassed at this level but could still run reasonably well without winning, the other possible leader in the race is Ornate who comes out 2nd top rated using my speed ratings on its best time which was recorded in 2020 so could prove hard to catch for some of this field and is coming out of stall 4 so should have every chance of leading or at least contesting the lead, I am hoping that ROYAL BIRTH 12/1 (EW) from stall 5 can get a good tow into the race by the likely leaders and then stay on the stronger at the business end of the race and the jockey booking looks significant as he has a 20% win ratio on this stables older horses but with only two places up for grabs its maybe not worth doing each way.

Royal Birth 12/1 4th -2pts

Total on the day +4pts

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