12:30 Lingfield Racing Tips (4th January)

LINGFIELD 12.30 

Five sprints today so just a quick summary for each race, I will look to lay Capla Spirit 5/1 who might find this distance too far for it in what should be a fast run affair, Hurcle comes out 3rd top on my figures so could make the frame but it would need to bounce back to form after poor recent form but I think a future target will be in their mind, Inaam 14/1 comes out 2nd top rated using a 2020 rating and will be trying to stay on strongly nearing the finish and could make the frame while the front running top rated HOWZAK 9/2 recorded its best figure in 2021 and was running very well on this surface and is 1lb lower than when it finished 2nd on this surface 3 runs ago and is drawn nearest the rail of the known front running types in this race, its last 2 runs on the Tapeta surface can maybe ignored and the switch back to the Polytrack surface could be just what's needed to return to winning ways.

Howzak 9/2 9th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

LINGFIELD 2.00 

Firstly I will look to lay Porfin 5/4 who won last time out over 6 furlongs so maybe a shorter price than it merits and I don't think this drop down in trip will suit it and stall 8 might not help its cause either and at the price looks poor value, there is several horses in this race that are capable of making the frame, Big Time Maybe, Sword Exceed, Moveonup and Hurricane Alert who all have bits of form and ratings that could see them run ok and any of them could feasibly make the frame but my money will be riding on THEGREYVTRAIN 6/1 who is a front running sort who has won twice on this surface and one of those wins was over this c/d and did show a sign of revival in form when finishing 4th last time out and its best speed figure from 2021 would see it winning with a bit in hand.

Thegreyvtrain 8/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bet Porfin - .83pts

Total -1.83pts

NEWCASTLE 5.30 Div II

As usual I will start with the lay bets, the top weighted Bakr 3/1 looks a better horse when racing over further and its only win came over 7 furlongs, Nellie French 8/1 looks a better prospect over a shorter distance and this race wont be run to suit it and I will lay them both if single figure prices, the front running Seeking Perfection 12/1 hasn't shown much lately but does reserve its best for when running over this c/d and could go well here being my 2nd top rated on c/d times and 3rd top overall, Clashaniska 12/1 could do best of those coming from off the pace and if its best figure from Lingfield can be replicated here it could go well but its best c/d figure is a good few spots below that level but either of the pair could make the frame, my money once again today will be riding on a front running type again in the shape of LANCASHIRE LIFE 7/1 who has the coveted stall 1 draw and I am hoping it can lead all the way.

Lancashire Life 14/1 8th -2pts

Lay bet Bakr +1pt 

Total -1pt

NEWCASTLE 6.00 Div II  

This division is bloody difficult to analyse, firstly there isn't any known front running types in the race so Penombre who I was going to lay because I think its a better horse over shorter distance is now left alone, time wise the race evolves around 3 runners, Good Night Mr Tom 7/1 is 3rd top rated but has been way below form lately, Sleight 15/2 comes out in 2nd top position overall an top rated on just 2021 figures but this horse is still a maiden after 15 attempts, Fircombe Hall 10/3 comes out top rated using a time recorded in 2020 but the jockey is 0-4 for the stable and its been 25 days since the stable last had a winner. I could dutch all 3 of them but the latter is forecast to be a fairly short, 9/4, favourite, and I hate backing favourites especially in low class races.

NEWCASTLE 6.30

I am back to giving my lays first here, Whittle Le Woods 7/2 isn't in my top 4 ratings and if past data is to be believed it should need at least this run to gain fitness after being off for 140 days, Late Arrival 7/2 who is one of four runners that have been known to lead won last time out over this c/d but that was a slow run race so it might have been flattered by that result and may therefore be poor value in this race, Tathmeen who is versatile when it comes to racing tactics hasn't been in form lately but its best figures from 2020 makes it my 3rd top rated, Stay Smart comes out 2nd top and is a front running type and could do best of those racing to the fore but the fast early pace gives BURROWS SEESIDE 10/3 the right sort of target to aim at as it will be staying on strongly while the front runners could be fading nearing the finish but the trainer is 0-14 in the last 2 weeks which will temper my stakes.

Burrow's Seeside 13/2 3rd -1pt 

Lay bets Whittle Le Woods +1pt, Late Arrival +1pt 

Total +1pt 

Total on the day -2.83pts

Lay bets must be single-figure odds at sp 

1:33 Lingfield Racing Tips (2nd November)

LINGFIELD 1.33 Div I

Not the best of races even for this low class affair, the early pace may be set by We’re Reunited but this one hasn't any course and distance form to its name and it would need to improve on its best time recorded at Wolverhampton and it could be a danger if allowed an easy lead, Sands Of Time would maybe struggle to stay the distance if there is a fast early pace but who knows whats going in this race, I expect Queen Of Burgundy will be the favourite after winning last time out over 7 furlongs but its best time over this distance needs improving on to win this race but a win can rejuvenate a horse, I might well have put GREY GALLEON 9/1 who is my top rated on just 2021 c/d times, forward as my sole selection in this race but for the fact that its still a maiden on artificial surfaces from 18 attempts which is a bit off putting but does have a positive looking jockey booking so i will take a bit of insurance and also back COME ON GIRL 7/1 who is actually rated 1lb higher using this ones best time from 2020 here. 

Come On Girl 7/1 3rd -1pt 

Grey Galleon 9/1 6th -1pt 

Total -2pts

LINGFIELD 2.03 Div II

This 2nd division isn't any better and in depth looks worse plus there isn't any known front running types amongst them, Sir Hector is my 3rd top rated but the trainer is 0-9 in the last 2 weeks and has a poorish 8% win ratio at this course and the jockey is 0-3 for the stable, Clashaniska comes out 2nd best but this ones trainer is 0-13 in the last 2 weeks and is 2-90 at this course, my top rated is KNOCKABOUT QUEEN 11/1 (EW) but this trainer is 0-5 in the last 2 weeks but does have a 18% win ratio at this course and I hope it might be worth a small each way punt. 

Knockabout Queen 16/1 8th -2pts 

Total -2pts

LINGFIELD 2.33 

A 9 runner 5 furlong dash with 2 front running types, I'm not sure if I can find anything of value to lay in this race although Koropick 7/1 will have to improve on its best AW speed figure which was recorded on the tapeta surface at Newcastle but in its defence it hasn't run on this surface before, my top 2 ratings are the front runners so the one that could prosper if they go off too fast and fade is Arzaak so this one could at least be worth an each way interest, Howzak won last time out at Chelmsford in a rating that makes it my top rated on overall figures by 2lbs and this is its debut on this surface, I expect it will be the favourite and maybe a worthy one as well but i think the value call is going with THEGREYVTRAIN 11/1 (EW) who might be 2nd top rated overall it is top rated on just c/d times and for a front runner it has the plum stall 1 draw and as usual at a double figure price it has to be an each way wager. 

Thegreyvtrain 11/1 7th -2pts 

Total -2pts  

NEWCASTLE 6.00 Div I

I can see a couple of known front runners in this 1st division and I'm hoping my top rated selection can lead all the way while Ustath will make sure the early pace is a true one, I will look to lay Mr Trevor 4/1 if a single figure price as I think this distance is either too far for it or the surface isn't ideal or as usual maybe both and I could also add One Last Hug 11/2 for exactly the same reasons,, SLEIGHT 9/2 finished 3rd last time out in a time that's good enough to be top on just c/d times but might require a degree of luck from stall 7 for a hold up type of horse, I have got CHAMPAGNE SUPERNOVA 5/1 rated a few spots higher using its best time from Lingfield while its best time on this surface at Wolverhampton would be good enough for 2nd top spot and I am hoping this is the one that will set the pace to the race but I think i have to back both of them to cover the angles. 

Champagne Supernova 5/1 5th -1pt 

Sleight 11/2 6th -1pt 

Lay bets: Mr Trevor +1pt, One Last Hug +1pt 

Total 0pts

NEWCASTLE 6.30 Div II 

A 13 runner race where just over half the field, 7, look to have virtually no chance on what they have shown so far and all of them are forecast to be double figure prices but warning 4 of them are 3yo’s, Arnold 6/1 could struggle to stay this trip if there's a fast early pace, Absolute Dream 5/1 has been known to lead but needs to improve time wise, Dylans Lad is my 4th top rated just 2lbs below Lucky Beggar in 3rd top spot, the top weight Kodi Gold hasn't made the frame in its 5 AW races but its best time on turf would make it my 2nd top rated, my money will be riding on ROCKLEY POINT 25/1 (EW) who lately has been held up in its races but is much better when its taken to the front from the off and the apprentice jockey who led on it earlier this year when finishing 2nd is back on board today and I am hoping that means they will attempt to lead all the way in this race and at such a big price I have to go with a small each way punt.

Rockley Point 25/1 Unp -2pts 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -8pts

2:35 Lingfield Racing Tips (21st September)

LINGFIELD 2.35 

SIR HECTOR 5/1 hasn't recorded a time over this course and distance since 2019 but its best time on this surface at Chelmsford would push it into 4th top spot and will be trying to stay on towards the end of the race.

LOTHIAN 9/1 a 3yo who has ran over this course and distance twice but both times it didn't do enough to register on my figures and may need a longer trip for it to shine. 

STORM MELODY 9/2 hasn't any course and distance form to its name but its best time on this surface at Chelmsford takes it into 3rd top spot om my unique speed figures and could make the frame but i doubt it will be an each way price. 

KATH'S LUSTRE 7/1 has only slow times to its name this year but its best 2020 time leaves it just outside my top 4 rating and will be trying to stay on at the business end of this race but maybe too late to catch the leaders. 

CLOWNSMAN 11/1 is a 3yo making its handicap debut in this race, the form it has shown so far in its 3 runs has been quite dire and on breeding it may need further to show its merit. 

EXCELLINTHEJUNGLE 13/2 hasn't any course form and no distance form on an AW track I wouldnt lay it but i also couldn't back it even though its still a maiden after 9 runs.

THEGREYVTRAIN is the only known front running type in this race and an easy lead would help its cause, form wise its not been at its best lately but is capable of coming back to form without prior warning. 

TROUSER THE CASH 11/4 its course and distance time doesn't make my top 4 ratings but its best from Chelmsford in 2020 would make it my 2nd top rated, it would need to spring back to form but that's not an impossibility and could make the frame but is plenty short enough in my opinion.

OCEAN EYES 7/1 hasn't any course and distance form and is still a maiden after 12 attempts and 4 of those runs were on an AW track but has a time from Chelmsford that would make it my 4th top rated but quite a few steps behind my top rated. 

SANTORINI SAL 40/1 a 4yo who to be honest hasn't shown anything worthwhile form wise and I expect it will be the outsider in the field. 

SUMMARY: This isn't a race I will be betting too heavily in but I will have a small each way punt on the only known front running type in this race in the shape of THEGREYVTRAIN 20/1 (EW) who could be dangerous if allowed an easy time at the front of the field, it is a frustrating horse but its one of those that will bounce back to form without warning and its one I don't want to miss if racing at a double figure price so I will have to have a small each way punt on it.

Thegrayvtrain 20/1 3rd +3pts

Total on the day +3pts

3:50 Lingfield Racing Tips (16th August)

LINGFIELD 3.50 

An 8 runner race where half the field have been known to lead before so it should be a fast and furious dash and I think the race could be won from the front as long as they don't go mad trying to lead and spend too much of their energy and tire nearing the finish, firstly I will look to lay Sir Rodneyredblood, if its a single figure price, who may need further, Seneca Chief or Katelli could be the ones to prosper if they do go off too fast, I will be backing both GREEN DOOR 9/1 (EW) who recorded its best time in 2020 but hasn't run over this course and distance since then, it has been off the track for over 300 days but has won before after a break but just in case it does need the run I will also be backing THEGREYVTRAIN 14/1 (EW) who recorded its best time this year over this course and distance but the jockeys 0-9 record doesn't fill me with confidence so my stakes will be kept low and at the prices available, and as long as all 8 runners take part, then it has to be 2 each way wagers. 

Thegreyvtrain 14/1 2nd +3.666pta

Green Door 28/1 6th -2pts 

Total +1.666pts

CATTERICK 4.35 

Another 8 runner dash where half of them have been known to lead and again I think the race can be won from the front, Orchid Rose is still a maiden after 9 runs and it also has poor trainer/jockey stats but it is capable of recording decent times but its usually when towed along with a fast early pace but its not for me in this race but it may fare best of those coming from off the pace, Refuge my 4th top rated and Captain Corcoran my 3rd top rated are both possible pacesetters but if the going is good to firm or faster then it might not suit the latter and I would lay the win part, I will be putting my money on AUCKLAND LODGE 8/1 who would be hard to catch if getting to the front. 

Auckland Lodge 10/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

WINDSOR 5.55 

With no known front runners in this race it might not be run to suit *Sara's Hope 7/1 so I will lay it if a single figure price, Bellevarde is capable of producing a fast time but its best form comes in lower class races which puts me off, I will be splitting my stakes between 2 runners, FREE LOVE 5/1 is my top rated on just 2021 times which is always a positive but I do have THE DALEY EXPRESS 7/1 rated higher but this ones best time comes from 2019 but its best time from 2021 would put it in 2nd top spot so they hold the top positions between them but without a known pacesetter my stakes will be kept low.

*NR 

The Daley Express 13/2 3rd -1pt 

Free Love 5/1 4th -1pt 

Total on the day -1.334

4:10 Ascot Racing Tips (23rd July)

ASCOT 4.10 

Only 6 runners with 4 of them having led before it could be a fast and furious 5 furlong dash, the bottom two, Mountain Peak 8/1 and Bedford Flyer 7/1 have a negative against their names so may be worth laying, Jawwaal 11/4 will need the leaders to tire badly to catch them, Tis Marvellous and Significantly could both try to lead but on overall speed figures they may struggle to keep up with CASPIAN PRINCE 9/1 who if getting to the front could prove hard to catch especially if it can reproduce its best time Musselburgh earlier this year and looks the value call in the race if nothing else. 

Caspian Prince 16/1 6th -1pt 

Total -1pt

THIRSK 4.35 

There's a couple of known front runners in this race but neither feature top 4 ratings, I will look to lay Celerity 9/1 if its still a single figure price near the off which I doubt will happen, Hard Solution 9/2 may need a longer trip on good to firm ground it nearly always runs well but I'm doubting it will stay on fast enough to win this race so maybe another worth laying, the 3yo Royal Jazz has only a slow time over this distance on good ground and despite being a possible pacesetter it will need to improve time wise to win this race and may get taken on for the lead by Spirit Power and both may fade nearing the finish and if it wasn't for the fact that Royal Jazz is a 3yo I would out it up as a lay, Hello Girl 14/1 is my 2nd top rated on both 2021 times and overall figures so maybe worth a small each way punt but I will be backing the 3yo ALBEGONE 4/1 who recorded its best time this year over this course and distance and a repeat would see it winning again. 

Albegone 9/2 4th -1pt 

Lay bet Clebrity +1pt

Total 0pts

YORK 6.30 

For a class 4 race this is quite poor although I cannot see anything of value to put forward as a lay but the betting might change my mind, Hurstwood is my 3rd top rated using a time recorded at Ripon this year and usually likes to track the leaders but I cannot see a natural front running type in the race which always causes me problems in analysing a race, sitting in 2nd top spot is Gunmetal but this ones best time also came from last year at Ripon but I have OBEE JO 11/2 sitting in top pot with a few spots in hand, it won last time out and has been found a good opportunity to follow up in this race and booked jockey has a 20% win ratio on the stables older horses. 

Obee Jo 6/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHEPSTOW 7.40 

A 5 furlong dash with 3 known front running types in the race and those 3 are all in my top 5 ratings, I will look to lay Gherkin who may need further and may also lay Toptime and Glamorous Breeze who are 3yo’s which means they could improve but I'm hoping it doesn't happen in this race, if the leaders go off and cut each others throats then Lethal Angel and or Zulu Zander may be the ones to prosper and might be worth having a covering bet on just incase the leaders tire badly nearing the finish, Davids Beauty and Pink Flamingo are 2 possible pacesetters and could do enough to make the frame but i will be putting my faith in THEGREYVTRAIN 4/1 who is a possible leader and if doing so could be hard to catch, its best time from this year plus the apprentices 7lb claim make it my top rated and it has an even faster time from 2020 which would see it winning with a little bit in hand.

Thegrevytrain 4/1 9th -1pt 

Lay bet Gherkin +1pt 

Total on the day -2pts

1:40 Thirsk Racing Tips (15th June)

THIRSK 1.40 

This isn't a great race for a class 4 affair but there is one known front runner in the shape of The Armed Man but this ones recent times have been slow and its best time looks to be where it got towed along in a fast run affair, with nothing that I can see to lay and not being able to narrow it down to anything less than dutching 4 of the runners, FLAVIUS TITUS 12/1 has a time from last year that would put it top on my figures but hasn't won a race since 2019 but might be worth an each way interest, MUTANAASEQ 10/3 is 2nd top rated but is held by DICK DATCHERY 4/1 on recent form but the former has a faster time from Ripon that makes it my 2nd top rated while the latter is only 4th top on my figures, the 4th selection I'm going to dutch is NORTH WIND 11/1 who likes to track the leaders and this one has the best trainer/jockey stats of my 4 top ratings. 

Mutanaaseq 10/3 2nd -1pt 

North Wind 11/1 3rd -1pt 

Dick Datchery 4/1 4th -1pt 

Flavius Titus 16/1 6th -1pt 

Total -4pts

ASCOT 3.40 

Superstar sprinter BATTAASH 9/4 makes it debut for the year and if fully wound up it should take this race but I am still not convinced this course is its favoured one but it has won here and in a fast time so it should be up to the task and I expect for a 16 runner race it will be a fairly short priced favourite, it is forecast on the tissue prices to be a 15/8 shot which if we knew it was 100% ready for this race would be a steal and it did win first time out last year so I will be backing it at the price and even better now that its drifted a little bit. 

Battaash 9/4 4th -1pt

Total -1pt

THIRSK 5.10 

There is 6 horses in this 12 runner race that have been known to lead before so it should be a fast and furious race, I will look to lay Albegone 9/2 and Debawtry 13/2 if single figure prices who I think will both need a longer distance to show their worth, True Hero has a time when it got a good tow in a fast run affair from 2019 that would make it my 2nd top rated but it hasn't won since 2018 but is a versatile sort when it comes to racing tactics, of the front runners maybe Sambucca Spirit might do best and looks to be drawn well in stall eleven, my pennies will be riding on BOUDICA BAY 9/2 who can track the leaders or be held up but stall 1 might not be helpful but if getting the rub of the green it has a chance to get back to winning ways. 

Boudica Bay 17/2 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

BRIGHTON 5.45 

Only 7 runners and I will be looking to lay both Mahale 7/2 and Top Boy 8/1 as neither seem to like fast good to firm ground and with 2 known front running types in the race they might get outpaced in the early stages and then not be able to get back into contention in this race, Big Time Maybe is one of the front running types and comes out 2nd best on my figures but the other front running type is THEGREYVTRAIN 11/2 who also happens to be my top rated and if this one does get to the front it ought to prove very hard to catch and has good 23% trainer stats and even better 38% jockey stats making me think the connections are expecting it to get back to the winners enclosure in this race. 

Thegreyvtrain 11/2 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

BRIGHTON 6.50 

A 5 runner race but again I have marked down 2 horses to lay as both Sir Oliver 15/8 and Shoot To Kill 7/2 can struggle to stay the sixth furlong in a fast run race and there is 2 known front runners in this race and they are my 2 top rated horses, Doc Sportello is my 2nd top rated and could be the one for the forecast but my money will be riding on the top weight KENDERGARDEN KOP 11/4 who has good trainer and jockey stats and I'm hoping it can lead all the way.

Kendergarden Kop 11/4 2nd -1pt

Total on the day -8pts

2:11 Bath Racing Tips (3rd May)

BATH 2.11 

A six runner dash with two known front runners and one of them Michaels Choice is my 3rd top rated on recent times and 4th top overall, I will look to lay Bay Watch who may need further to show its best form and its best time over this distance doesn't put it in my top 4 ratings, Secfetfact comes out 4th top on recent times but 3rd top overall, Second Collection is my 2nd top rated using a time from Windsor last year but hasn't shown much in its four runs this year, my money will be riding on UNION ROSE 9/2 who is my top rated on just 2021 times but that is only good enough 4th top overall but has a time over this c/d from 2020 that makes it my top rated and it is the other possible pacesetter and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and has good trainer/jockey stats so I'm hoping that is a positive for their chance in this race. 

Union Rose 8/1 6th -1pt

Total -1pt

BATH 3.56 

Another six runner dash and again there's two known front runners, I would look to lay Cherish as it usually handicaps itself by being slowly away, Arzaak could lead but has poor trainer/jockey stats it does come out 3rd best on my figures, the other front runner is THEGREYVTRAIN 10/3 who with its apprentices 5lb claim only 1lb off of top spot and will be carrying some of my money, top rated is Katherine Place but it is held by my selection on their last run and the trainer has a poor 1-23 win ratio with their older horses at this course which is off-putting, looking at the jockey stats it is the opposite with a good 20% win ratio, I will go with the form from their last race and hope that the selection can lead from start to finish.

Thegravytrain 10/3 6th -1pt 

Total on the day -2pts

12:50 Lingfield Racing Tips (6th March)

LINGFIELD 12.50 

A ten runner race over the minimum trip but surprisingly only the one known front runner amongst them that being Big Time Maybe 8/1 and this one has a time from 2020 that could be good enough from the front to hold on for a place but not quite an each way price in my thinking, King Robert 4/1 has a time from Kempton last year that could see it going well here but its best time over this c/d is quite a few spots slower and then not good enough to be in my top four ratings and looks too short in the betting in my opinion, Lady Florence 6/1 is well weighted on its best time over this c/d recorded last year but isn't big enough to back each way, Shining 11/2 has a c/d time from 2019 that would put it in my top three ratings but has been quite a bit below that recently so another that looks a bit shorter than I would have expected, Something Lucky 16/1 has a fast’ish time from last year that would see it make the frame but hasn't shown much in its three runs this year and I am hoping that the stall 1 draw can rejuvenate the form of THEGREYVTRAIN 9/2 who can be held up or track the leaders and has been found a good opportunity to go one place better than when it finished second on its last run over this course and distance. 

Thegreyvtrain 6/1 1st +6pts (Betfair SP 7)

Total +6pts

LINGFIELD 1.25 

On paper a nice class 2 race with nearly 12k to the winner but a poor turnout of only 7 runners, luckily there is 2 known front runners, so it should be a true run race, and Lihou from stall 3 is one of those likely to try and lead but this one maybe a bit outclassed at this level but could still run reasonably well without winning, the other possible leader in the race is Ornate who comes out 2nd top rated using my speed ratings on its best time which was recorded in 2020 so could prove hard to catch for some of this field and is coming out of stall 4 so should have every chance of leading or at least contesting the lead, I am hoping that ROYAL BIRTH 12/1 (EW) from stall 5 can get a good tow into the race by the likely leaders and then stay on the stronger at the business end of the race and the jockey booking looks significant as he has a 20% win ratio on this stables older horses but with only two places up for grabs its maybe not worth doing each way.

Royal Birth 12/1 4th -2pts

Total on the day +4pts

3:55 Lingfield Racing Tips (14th September)

LINGFIELD 3.55 

This looks a poor race in the fact that those that have good speed figures are not in the best of form or vice versa, there's nothing I could really lay with any confidence but there is 3 horses that have pieces of form that are a few spots higher than the rest of the field but which one of the 3 will win I'm not sure, Swell Song has a time from 2019 that makes it my 2nd top rated but the trainers 1-29 record and the jockeys 0-3 doesn't inspire confidence so maybe its waiting for another target, Katherine Place is 2nd top on just 2020 times and 3rd best overall but the trainer is 0-14 at this course which once again is a little off-putting, I have no option other than to side with THEGREYTRAIN 7/2 who is one of only 2 known front running types in the race and I''m hoping it can lead all the way here. 

Thegreytrain 7/2 2nd (-1pts)

Total: -1pt

BATH 4.35 

This looks a nice class 4 affair with 9 runners, I will look to lay (So Sharp unless theres some strong support for it as I think it might need further to shine and Union Rose who won for me last time out but I'm not sure it will handle this rise in class) Coronation Cottage could be added to the lay list because of the class factor but it looks to be an outsider so probably no value in laying it, Top Breeze, Thegreatestshowman and Star Prize could run well but I'm hoping that DILIGENT LADY 9/2 can get to the front and stay there for the duration of the race and it has good trainer and jockey stats making me think connections are expecting a big run here. 

Diligent Lady 9/2 7th (-1pt) 

Total -1pt 

BATH 5.10

If the tissue prices are to be believed then I could lay (Illustrious Spirit + Bold Decision + A Go Go + Shani + Amberine) who are all priced 8/1 or under which looks to be the value cutoff point in this race, Jaganory is my 3rd top rated and a possible pacesetter and Stopdwortlnletmeoff my 2nd top rated could do best of those racing from off the pace but for the 3rd race today, so going for the hattrick of front runners, I'm hoping that ARCHIMEDES 16/1 can get to the front and lead all the way but at the price available I will be backing it each way. 

Archimedes 16/1 7th (-2pt)

Total -2pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.20 

I'm going for the full house today, Kath's Lustre and Hard Solution are just outside my top 3 ratings, using 2019 times Ustath is 3rd top and Awsaaf 2nd top so they could make the frame, Precious Plum is joint top on just 2020 times but the figure isn't good enough to make the frame but it is one of 2 known front running types in the race but it might not be able to do enough to hold on for a place as the other front runner is YOU'RE COOL 15/2 who is joint top rated on just 2020 times but its best time from 2019 would see it winning cosily plus this is an easier race than its been racing in recently and hopefully I've found the 4th horse that will lead all the way for the full house.

You're Cool 10/1 8th (-1pt)

Total on the day  -5pts

2:25 Newcastle Racing Tips (2nd August)

NEWCASTLE 2.25 

Only 8 runners but a competitive affair, the two 3yo’s look unfancied in the tissue betting which is helpful and one of them Rayong, along with Graphite could be ones to lay, races as though this trip might be too far for it, if DANZENO 5/1 can reproduce its best time from Chelmsford onto this Tapeta surface it would win the race and I will back it, but I will have to back YAFTA 4/1 as it could possibly lead all the way here as its the only known frontrunning type in the race and if getting to the front should prove very hard to catch, the trainer has a 30% win ratio with all the stables horses at this course with 7 winners from 23 runners and its record is 2-4 with their older horses, while the jockey has a 22% with 6 winners from 27 rides so everything points to connections expecting to win this race and will be carrying my money. 

LEICESTER 5.10 

You might have gathered with sprint races, plus it makes logical sense if you think about it, I love frontrunners and this race could well be won from the front, there's few lightly raced sorts so any stakes cannot be at full strength but I will look to lay (Aquadabra + Undercover Brother + Big Time Maybe), Cool Strutter is my 4th top-rated and its best time was from this year over this c/d which has to count for something, Alba Del Sole comes out 3rd best while my 2nd top-rated is Dahik, all 3 of them like to track the leaders and then stay on at the finish, there's 3 known frontrunners and I think if THEGREYVTRAIN 20/1 (EW) does get to the front it will prove hard to catch and its best time came from Bath this year and has good trainer/jockey stats, I am surprised its such a big price so I will have an each-way punt on it.