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Sunday, 1 August 2021

2:22 Thirsk Racing Tips (1st August)

THIRSK 2.22 

5F Class 4 

JOHN KIRKUP 11/2 trainer has had 5 -41 in the last 2 weeks and stats 9% win ratio all runners 5% older horses only, can be held up or track the leaders,may prefer some cut in the ground, so one I would look to lay in the going is good or better.

STARS IN THE NIGHT 6/1 usually tracks the leaders, trainer has 4-24 record in last 2 weeks, trainer stats 13% and 15% for just older horses, jockey stat 15% both age groups, another I would look to lay.

ROYAL CONTEX usually tracks the pacesetters, trainer 5-41 in last 2 weeks, trainer stats 9% all horses but only 5% with older horses, jockey is 12% and 10%, poor recent form and another I would like to lay IF its a single figure price.

READY FREDDIE GO 3yo again likes to track the early pace, trainer is 1-10 in last 2 weeks, trainer stats, 4% overall, 6% for just 3yo’s, 0-23 for older horses, jockey 21% overall, 25% 3yo’s and 20% for older horses, comes out 4th top so could possibly make the frame.

PRINCESS POWER 6/1 trainer is 2-38 for last 2 weeks, trainer stats 7% overall and 4% with older horses, jockey stats 9% overall and 12% on older horses, my 3rd top rated and will be trying to stay on strongly nearing the finish but isn't really an each way price.

QUEEN OF KALAHARI 13/2 trainer is 1-11 last 2 weeks, trainer stats 13% and 15%, jockey stats 14% and 18%, last won in 2019 and another i would look to lay at the price.

SHALAA ASKER 3yo trainer is 1-9 in last 2 weeks, trainer stats 1-11 overall, 0-4 with 3yo’s, 1-3 with older horses, jockey stats 8% overall, 6% with 3yo’s, 8% with oder horses, is my 2nd top rated and usually tracks the leaders.

LOST MY SOCK 8/1 3yo trainer is 9-87 in last 2 weeks, trainer stats 8% overall, 7% with 3yo’s, 12% with older horses, jockey stats 12% overall, 13% with 3yo’s, 14% with older horses, usually runs in midfield but may find this too far if there's a fast early pace so maybe a possible lay.

KOROPICK trainer is 0-4 in last 2 weeks, trainer stats 0-11 overall, jockey stats 0-5 overall, races midfield, poor recent form and hasn't won since 2017 and a big outsider.

SUMMARY: I have mentioned a possible lay about 6 of the 9 runners the reason I am undecided is because of the lack of known front runners so any stakes will be kept low, I am hoping for at least a decent early pace (something has got to lead so lets hope more than one horse changes its usual racing tactics and they take each other on for the lead) Koropick has a fast time in a lower class race but hasn't won since 2017 and that time is looking a fluke when it got carried along in a fast run race and I'm doubting it can repeat that time, Ready Freddie Go is my 3rd top rated who has poor trainer stats but good jockey stats so I'm not sure which set of data is correct for here but could make the frame, Princess Power is my 2nd top rated and does need a fast pace to aim at and if there is a good early pace it could with a clear run make the frame but my money, well pennies, will be riding on the 3yo SHALAA ASKER 4/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish but if the early pace is a slow one then anything could win so caution is the keyword. 

SHALLA ASKER 4/1 1PW 5/1 8th -2pts 
LOST MY SOCK 8/1 2PL Lost +2pt
QUEEN OF KALAHARI 13/2 1PL lost +1pt

Total on the day +1pt

PLEASE CHECK THE GOING BEFORE BETTING AS ALL MY ANALYSIS IS DONE USING GOOD OR FASTER GROUND

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