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Thursday, 19 August 2021

3:25 Musselburgh Racing Tips (20th August)

MUSSELBURGH 3.25 

MACHREE 5/1 is one of 3 known front runners in this race and is dropped in class to run here and if hitting the front could be hard to catch so has to be worth a wager.

NEVER DARK 9/1 usually likes to track the leaders but time wise it needs to improve a few spots but is a quite consistent sort but I would look to lay the win part.

PRIMOS COMET 9/2 is top rated on my figures and it recorded its best time earlier this year over this course and distance which is always a bonus.

MELODY KING 3/1 usually runs on strongly at the finish of its races but only comes out joint 3rd top on my figures so could make the frame but maybe poor value to win this race.

AFANDEM 16/1 comes out in 2nd top spot but this one doesn't like really fast good to firm ground so could go well here and possibly make the frame.

ECONOMIC CRISIS 16/1 another one that doesn't like really fast good to firm ground so could like this surface but needs to improve a bit time wise.

DENZIL'S LAUGHING 18/1 a possible pacesetter but maybe not quick enough to keep up with the other 2 that like to lead and will be an outsider.

REFUGE 10/3 the other one that I think could set the pace but its best form comes at a lower class of race than this one so I will lay it especially at the price. 

SUMMARY: A nice race for a class 5 affair,I would look to lay Refuge 10/3 who has been running well lately but in lower class races and could struggle here, if the top weight MACHREE 5/1 gets to the front it could prove hard to catch and is dropped in class to run in this race but I will also be backing my top rated horse PRIMOS COMET 9/2 who should have ideal ground, as long as it doesn't rain, and is usually held up for a late run and likes a fast pace to aim at so everything could fall into its lap here but i will backing the two selections to cover the angles.

Primo's Comet 9/2 3rd  -1pt
Machree 11/2 5th -1pt 

Lay bets Never Dark -7.5pts, Refuge +1pt 

Total on the day -8.5pts

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