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Friday 15 October 2021

6:30 Wolverhapton Racing Tips (16th October)


Only 7 runners in this class 4 race but I cannot find anything of value to lay as I think both Amor De Mi Vada and Aunt Agatha will be the two biggest outsiders, I think the early pace might well be set by Algheed who I think might need a longer trip to show its best but I doubt it will tear off hell for leather and hope then to outstay the field so it could be a hard call to say what will happen with this one, ARAMIS GREY 9/4 has been known to lead before if nothing else wants to so could make sure it is a decent early gallop and is my top rated on just 2021 course and distance times and its best time from Chelmsford also makes it top rated but that's a different surface but if getting to the front in this race it could prove hard to catch, RESTLESS ENDEAVOUR 6/1 has only a slow time from its sole course and distance experience but its best time from Newcastle which makes it my top rated on this Tapeta surface and it has won going round a bend before so there's no reason why it shouldn't like this course, DUBAI HOPE 15/8 is making its handicap debut after winning last time out here but over 7 furlongs, I do think this shorter trip could see it in an even better light and has faded before over 7 furlongs so this drop back in trip just might serve it well but I expect it will be the favourite, so I will hopefully be able to dutch all 3 runners to make a profit from the race as I cannot narrow it down to anything less than the three highlighted. 

Dubai Hope 7/2 1st +3.5pts + EX £11.40
Aramis Grey 5/2 2nd -1pt 
Restless Endeavour 6/1 6th -1pt

Total +1.5pts


A 10 runner race where I can see 3 which are front running types but I think they will be setting it up for something coming from off the pace, I will look to lay both Brazen Belle 5/2 and The Gloaming 13/2 if they are single figure prices which they are forecast to be, I think the former may be better over further and just might get outpaced in this race and the same applies to the latter and this one is also hasn't won or been placed in a race on any of the All-Weather tracks from six previous attempts, my money will be split between TOPLIGHT 7/1 (EW)  who is my top rated on just this years course and distance times and will probably be my main bet as the trainer does well at this course with its 3yo’s but I do have BILLY DYLAN 20/1 (EW) rated higher but it hasn't been in great form lately and the trainer is 0-34 in the last 5 years at this course and the jockeys 0-7 for the stable is enough to put me off backing this one on its own and I am hoping I can have 2 each way bets in this race with my stakes tilted heavily in favour of Toplight.

Billy Dylan 22/1 2nd +3.4pts
Topflight 8/1 5th -2pts 

Lay bets: Brazen Belle +1pt, The Gloaming +1pt 

Total +3.4pts

Total on the day +4.9pts

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