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Thursday 14 October 2021

7:00 Newcastle Racing Tips (15th October)


To be honest this isn't a great handicap and in this 1st division only 3 horses have a time fast enough to be recorded on my graphs, I will look to lay Muatadel 6/1 who has only slow times over this distance on this surface and may need to change surfaces or drop back to a shorter distance maybe even both, there is so many if’s but’s and maybe’s about the 3 horses with ratings I will be having a small each way punt on all of them, QAARAAT 18/1(EW) is my 3rd top rated using a time from earlier this year and is capable if in the right mood but the stable hasn't had a winner in the last 2 weeks from 14 runners so isn't in great form, DYLANS LAD 8/1 (EW) comes out 2nd best using a time from Wolverhampton but hasn't ran here before but could be very competitive if taking to this course it has good trainer/jockey stats so might be the one to rely on more than the other pair but is the shortest price, top rated is CHARLEMAINE 14/1 (EW) who hinted at a return to form when 3rd last time out the trainer is 0-4 in the last 2 weeks and its 130 days since the stable last had a winner so tread carefully in this race as it wont take much winning. 

Dylan's Lad 8/1 7th -2pts 
Charlemaine 14/1 8th -2pts 
Qaaraat 18/1 Unp -2pts 

Lay bet Mutadel (not given as Eric doesn't lay horses over 9/1 SP) 

Total -6pts 

NEWCASTLE 7.30 Division II

Isn't much better with just 4 horses with recorded times but I have seen something to lay the top weight Foreseeable Future 4/1 only recorded a slow time from its only course and distance run and I think it will be better when tried over a longer trip, I would also have looked to lay Cuppacoco and Angel Eyes if they were single figure prices, the 3 with recorded times and could run well are One For The Ladies, Lucky Beggar my joint 3rd top rated pair, and Oakenshield who I've got rated just 2lbs higher in 2nd top spot but I am going to take a punt on ROCKLEY POINT 18/1 (EW) who is the only known front running type in this race and if allowed to set its own pace it could prove hard to catch and at the price it has to be done as an each way punt.

Rockley Point 20/1 Unp -2pts 

Lay bets: Forseeable Future +1pt

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -7pts 

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