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Sunday 6 March 2022

5:30 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (7th March)


There's 3 sprints but not a lot to write about individual horses so I will go with 3 summary accounts and just give the essentials for each race. I have a feeling the top weight Abduction 4/1 might be the favourite for this race after winning last time out over this distance at Lingfield where it recorded a good rating which would see it with a chance here but it form on this Tapeta surface hasn't been up to that level so I think it might be vulnerable and might be worth taking a risk and laying it, another to lay could be Some Nightmare if its a single figure price it needs to improve a bit time wise the jockey is 1-37 for the stable on the AW tracks and the trainer hasn't had a winner in the last 2 weeks, El Hombre and Royal Advice could go well if reproducing their best ratings but I will be hoping that WATER OF LEITH 7/1 from stall 8 can get a nice tow into the race with fast starters in stalls 9 and 11 and gain a good position from which to attack late on in the race, the trainers record for the last 2 weeks is 6-22 which isn't bad and could be added to in this race. 

Water Of Leith 7/1 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet Some Nightmare +1pt 

Total 0pts


The 1st division of one of the low grade stakes races for horses rated 50 or lower and they all carry the same weight so Mr Pc and Nellie French who are the only ones rated 50 should have a small advantage and it might pay dividends with having a small bet on NELLIE FRENCH 3/1 just for that reason alone as its my joint 2nd top rated on recent c/d speed figures but the price isn't really much value, Qaaraat 3/1 can run a decent race when in the mood but lately its ability to win a race seems to have deserted it and at that price I would look to lay it but if it goes off around the 5/1 mark then I wouldn't be laying it, the top weighted horse BILLY DYLAN 14/1 has a time from 2021 that makes it my top rated but I am not sure if that was a bit of a fluke time where it got carried along in a fast run race but might be worth having a small each way covering bet just in case it can reproduce that speed figure. 

Billy Dillan 14/1 2nd +1.8pts 
Nellie French 4/1 6th -1pt 

Total +0.8pts


This division isn't much better, there are 2 horses in this race rated 50, Raabeh and San Juan, the former won last time out so I expect it will be to the fore in the betting and might not represent value, I think both Dirchill 3/1 and Giant Steps 5/1 might need a longer distance to show their best so may be worth laying at shortish prices I have tipped up Rockley Point on more than one occasion and it has been poor for quite some time now and if I leave it alone here its bound to spring back to form so maybe worth having a small covering bet especially if its a big price, most of my money will be riding on SAN JUAN 8/1 who is my 3rd top rated on recent c/d speed figures and the best rating for those that have run on the new Southwell Tapeta surface. 

San Juan 8/1 5th -1pt 

Lay bets Dirchill -2.75pts, Giant Steps +1pt

Total -2.75pts

Total on the day -1.95pts

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