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Saturday 9 April 2022

5:30 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (9th April)


MOBARHIN been in good form but hasn't any form on this surface either here or Newcastle and its best Lingfield time on Plytrack isnt quite good enough for the win but could make the frame. 

REBEL REDEMPTION is one of three known front runners in this race and comes out 2nd top rated using its best course and distance speed figure and could make the frame. 

LILKIAN I think this horse is much better on the other artificial surface and its best from 2020 wouldn't see it winning thus race but is in good form lately. 

GUNMETAL another possible pacesetter but hasn't been in form in its latest runs and its best rating from 2020 might see it make the frame but is 0-8 so far on the AW tracks. 

BATCHELOR BOY the 3rd of the known front running types in this race but time wise its a bit short of the mark and I expect an outsider in this race. 

ALABLAQ is my top rated on recent Tapeta speed figures and its 7th place finish last time out is a bit better than it first looks and could get a good early position from which to attack late on. 

IDOAPOLOGISE hasn't a recorded rating form its sole run over this course and distance but its time from Southwell wasn't too bad but I expect it to be an outsider in this race. 

INTERVENTION had been in good form but I think its now in the grip of the official handicapper and might be worth taking on with a lay bet if a shortish price. 

VOLTAIC may be better when racing over further and has poor jockey stats for this race and might be one to take on with a lay bet. 

SUMMARY: There should be a true early pace which is always a help to analyse a race, I think Rebel Redemption will do best of those racing to the fore and should at least make the frame if reproducing the rating it did when winning the time before last and if allowed an easy lead could possibly lead all the way, I could look to lay Lilkian 10/3, maybe the wrong surface, Intervention 11/4 who might be in the grip of the handicapper and Voltaic 11/2 who may be better racing over a longer distance, my money will be riding on ALABLAQ 8/1 who has been running better than its bare form lines suggests and has decent jockey stats.

Alablaq 8/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bets Intervention -9pts, Lilkian +1pt, Voltaic +1pt 

Total on the day -8pts

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