A class 6 race with 12 entered but not one of them is known as a front running type which always worries me from the start and means my stakes will be kept in check, if there's good early gallop then Mews House 15/2, Morty 14/1 and Billian 9/1 could struggle to stay the distance although the latter does come out in 2nd top spot on my figures but it best time was recorded on flatter course than today's course which is quite undulating, I will be hoping the 3yo LIV LUCKY 4/1 can go one better than when finishing 2nd last time out over this distance at Hamilton and is my top rated for this albeit that that's only by 2lbs but the trainer does have a good record with horses at this course.
Liv Lucky 5/1 8th -1pt
Total -1pt
SOUTHWELL 4.05
For a class 3 race this one is quite dire, there is a couple of front running types who happen to be my 3rd and 2nd top rated using just times recorded at this course since the new Tapeta surface was laid down and they are Rebel Redemption 20/1 who hasn't been in great for lately and Twilight Madness 9/2 who runs quite consistently well enough to make the frame but finds it hard to win a race but either or both could make the frame and be each way prospects, I'm not sure if I can find anything of value to lay in this race, I will be pinning my hopes on BADRI 7/1 who is a hold up type and this race could be run to suit it, the trainer Scott Dixon has four running in this race, which one they think will win is hard to judge but they do have the front running Rebel Redemption but they might be setting it up a strong finishing which should suit where my money will be riding.
Badri 7/1 1st +7pts
Total +7pts
Total on the day +6pts
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