A class 4 race with just 7 runners where I expect the favourite to be Lihou and it should be the one to set the pace to the race, I think Vespasian, Alafdhal, Watermelon Sugar and Gannon Glory are all better prospects when racing over a longer distance but I think if either MICK'S SPIRIT 6/1 or POP DANCER 16/1 can repeat their best ratings they could stay on strongly at the finish and catch the leader nearing the finish and I will split my stake between these two runners and it would have been an each way wager on the latter if there had been 8 runners and 3 places up for grabs but with 7 runners I will back them both to win.
Pop Dancer 28/1 4th -1pt
Mick's Spirit 6/1 7th -1pt
Total -2pts
LINGFIELD 4.35
Down to class 6 but still only 7 runners and only 1 known front running type, Astro Jakk 11/2 might need further to show its best and might be worth laying in this race as might Battle Point 13/2 who seems a slightly better horse on the Tapeta surface, Lilkian won for me last time out but is only 4th top rated in this race but we know its in tip top form which is always a positive, Man On A Mission has also been in good form and is my 3rd top rated in this race, Hey Ho Lets Go sits in 2nd top spot and usually likes to track the leader who in this race will hopefully be PABLO DEL PUEBLO 7/2 who is also my top rated and if leading it should prove a very hard nut to crack and the jockey booking looks significant with a 2-9 win record for the stable so this might be worth a slightly higher win stake than the normal.
Pablo Del Pueblo 7/2 1st +3.5pts
Total +3.5pts
LINGFIELD 5.10
A field of 9 for this class 6 sprint with just 1 known front running type, I've got negatives against 5 of the runners and one of the remaining 4, Perfect Symphony hasn't been in good form lately and hasn't won since 2021 so could be added to the list of negatives and I might be tempted to lay any of them if of value to do so. Oxygen Thief comes out in joint 2nd top spot but it has never won over this distance but that may have been a flukey time when getting carried along in a fast run race, that leaves me with Navy Drums 5/4 who is the other joint 2nd top rated horse plus its the 1 I expect will set the pace to the race and could lead all the way for victory but I expect it will be a hot favourite so I might take a risk with PANDEMIC PRINCESS 25/1 (EW) who will hopefully be an each way price and if able to reproduce its best Chelmsford time at this course then could run on and would catch the leader just before the line.
Pandemic Princess 66/1 8th -2pts
Total -2pts
Total on the day -0.5pts
No comments:
Post a Comment