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Sunday 2 April 2023

5:15 Lingfield Racing Tips (3rd April)


A field of 9 for this class 6 sprint where I think the early pace might be set by Sir Rodneyredblood 13/8 who I expect will be the favourite as it won for me last time out but the handicapper might have caught up with it now and its only 3rd best on my speed ratings but is my top rated on just 2023 ratings so it could win again but I don't think it will value to back and I will side with my ratings and hope the others can reproduce their best 2022 ratings. If Okaldi is a single figure price I would look to lay it as I think it will need further to see it at its best while Hit Mac 13/2 finds this trip too far especially when there's a fast early pace which I expect here so another on my lay list. Come On Girl 9/2 is my 2nd top rated and has been running ok recently but time wise has been a good few spots below its best from 2022, BOBBY ON THE BEAT 9/1 (EW) is my top rated and looks to be coming into form and being drawn just on the outside of the likely leader it could get a good tow into the race and then stay on the stronger at the finish and its just about a big enough price to go with an each way punt but its a race where my stakes will be kept to a minimum. 

Bobby On The Beat 9/1 1st +10.8pts

Lay Okaldi +1pt, Hit Mac +1pt 

Total 12.8pts


A field of 10 for this class 5 sprint where the early pace will be set by either Murbih 7/2, but I doubt it can lead all the way for the victory and at this price might be worth taking the risk and laying it, or TATHMEEN 11/1, the former is a natural front running type while the latter is capable of leading but is also quite versatile when it comes to racing tactics and is better drawn in stall 9 and if getting to the front it could prove too hard to catch. I will look to lay both JR Cavagin 9/1 who may find the distance too far for it with a decent early gallop and Rhythm 10/1 who needs to improve a good few spots on its best AW rating and may need this run for fitness if they are single figure prices. Glorious Rio 9/1 is my 4th top rated and looks likely to stay on at the finish but most likely too late to get the victory but could make the frame, Atholblair Boy 11/2 won last time out 10 days ago and comes out 3rd best on my figures so knowing its in tip top form it could go well here but I doubt it will be an each way price, The Dunkirk Lads 14/1 is only a 4yo but is my 2nd top rated and likes to track the leaders and would have been worth an each way interest if it wasn't in such poor form recently.

Tathmeen 11/1 2nd -1pt 

Lay bets Rhythm -8.5pts, Murbih +1pt 

Total -8.5pts

Total on the day +4.3pts

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