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Tuesday 16 May 2023

2:25 York Racing Tips (17th May)

YORK 2.25 

I must be mad trying to analyse a 23 runner class 2 sprint handicap, firstly as usual I'm not sure what the going will be, it's forecast to be good ground (then so was Musselburgh on Monday where my eyes and the times tell me it was definitely on the soft side of good more likely good to soft and maybe even soft in places) so as usual watch an earlier race to make sure the going is at least good or better. Secondly is there any draw bias at York, I think sometimes it favours high numbers but if they split into two or more groups I'm not sure where or if there will be a bias so I doubt I can find anything at a single figure price to lay and those that I would lay are not going to be worth the risk ratio. I can see 3 known front running types in this race with 2, Hyperfocus and Mr Wagyu being drawn high and if the bias is for those drawn high either of this pair could do enough to make the frame, and just one drawn low in the shape of LETHAL LEVI 16/1 (EW) and I will be having a small each way bet on it, there's nothing in the trainer or jockey stats that tell me to leave it alone so it might be worth taking on the risk of the draw. 

Lethal Levi 16/1 2nd +3pts

Total +3pts

YORK 3.00 

A more manageable field of 11 for this Group 2 sprint where I can see 2 known front running types and this race could be won from the front, if Azure Blue 10/1 and Marshman 9/2 are single figure prices I will lay them as I think both of them will be outclassed at this level of racing. Creative Force is my 4th top rated using a 2021 rating but didn't run up to that mark last year, Art Power is a front running type and my 3rd top rated coming out of stall 7 so could go well here and might be worth an each way punt if its a big price, Comanche Falls sits in 2nd top spot and this one seem to want fast good to firm ground so it should be ok here and another possible each way punt but I will be hoping that from stall 11 EMERAATY ANA 14/1 (EW)  can lead all the way, it has won before when returning after a break from racing so I'm hoping for a repeat here and I will be backing it and if an each way price then all the better.

Emeraaty Ana 18/1 9th -2pts 

Lay bet Marshman +1pt

Total -1pts 

Total on the day +2pts

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