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Thursday 21 December 2023

3:50 Southwell Racing Tips (22nd December)

SOUTHWELL 3.50 

The early pace to this race could be set by Khabib 7/2 and/or Level Up 25/1 but the latter has been in poor form in its recent runs so I expect the former to be the pacesetter here and if able to reproduce its best of 2022 it would lead all the way for the win but its best of this year has been 6lbs lower which still gives it an each way chance especially if its allowed an easy lead, but they don't happen often over the minimum distance which we have here, it beat Twilight 5/2 2 runs ago in a photo finish and the latter is weighted to overturn that form in this race so another possible each way wager but that was a class 5 race so they are both up in class here and I'm never convinced many horses can reproduce the same level when upped in class although many do run well. Reigning Profit is another that would go well if reproducing its best 2022 rating but so far this year its best has been 24lbs below that standard and I expect it will be an outsider, my money will be riding on POP DANCER 6/1 who has won at this level and can be held up at the rear or in midfield and then stay on the stronger nearing the finish and today its housed in stall 5 right next door to Khabib so should be a good tow into the race before proving the stronger.

Pop Dancer 20/1 5th -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt

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