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Showing posts with label Agueoroo. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Agueoroo. Show all posts

Monday, 19 April 2021

1:45 Epsom Racing Tips (20th April)

EPSOM 1.45 

Only 6 runners over the fastest course in the country, Green Power hasn't shown much worthwhile form in its latest runs, Spoof may not want good to firm going the same applies to Recon Mission and this one might also prefer a longer trip, Militia has been known to lead before but its another that doesn't want really fast ground which again also applies to Duke Of Firenze so I am hoping that DARK SHOT 5/1 can lead from the off and then prove hard to catch and a repeat of its best time from Leicester last year would be good enough to win this race. 

Dark Shot 5/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.20 Div I

This looks by far the better of the 2 divisions of this class 6 race, I would look to lay (Creek Harbour 10/1) if it becomes a single figure price, AT YOUR SERVICE 12/1 comes out top rated on just 2021 times and 3rd top on overall figures and it usually stays on strongly at the business end of its races, in stall 2 is DODGY BOB 16/1 who likes to set the pace and has a time from 2019 that would make it my 2nd top rated and they have employed an apprentice jockey to help their cause, sticking with times from 2019 ENGLISHMAN 33/1 comes out in top spot on overall figures and the jockey has a 17% win ratio for the stable on its older horses, so I will have to dutch all 3 of them with each way bets. 

Dodgy Bob 50/1 EW 5th -2pts 
Englishman 33/1 EW 6th -2pts
At Your Service 12/1 EW 9th -2pts 

Lay bets: Creek Harbour +1pt

Total -5pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.50 Div II 

Not the best of races even for the class, firstly I will look to lay (Dubai Elegance 11/2) as long as it is a single figure price as this trip might be too far for it and there is at least one known front runner in the race, only the top weight KATELLI 10/3 has recorded a rating on my figures for this year so has to be considered as a possible winner and the apprentice jockeys record is 1-3 for the stable so they could be expecting a big run, MIRACLE GARDEN 9/2 has a fast c/d time but it was recorded back in 2019, the apprentice riding this one is 1-2 for the stable, in top spot is AGUEROOO 4/1 but again the time comes from 2019 and the jockey has a 17% win ratio on the stables older horses, so it looks like all 3 sets of connections are expecting a big run so I will dutch the 3 of them.

Katelli 6/1 2nd -1pt 
Aguerooo 4/1 3rd -1pt 
Miracle Garden 9/1 4th -1pt

Lay bet: Dubai Elegence +1pt

Total -2pts

Total on the day  -8pts

Friday, 27 December 2019

1:50 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (27th December)


WOLVERHAMPTON 1.50 

THREEFEETFROMGOLD has only slow times at this distance and might need further.

LAUBALI likes to track the leaders but not well drawn in stall 10 but is my joint 3rd top-rated on its best time from 2018.

ARCAVALLO a possible pacesetter out in stall 12 but maybe ok in the make-up of this race but hasn't been in good form lately.

DARING GUEST has the plum draw so it should be able to get a good early position just behind the leaders on the rails and is my 4th top-rated.

KRAKA is on a losing run of 13 which isn't ideal and has only 1 win from 17 attempts on the AW tracks. 

SPIRIT OF WEDZA could feasibly set the pace here from stall 6 but isn't in my top 4 speed figures so might be setting it up for a finishing type.

MYTOWN CHICAGO has only slow c/d times to its name and it would need to improve on its best time and may prefer a longer trip to show its worth.

ROCK BOY GREY hasn't any distance form to work with but its turf form points to it wanting a longer distance before it has a chance to win.

THE GROOVE would need to improve timewise to win this race and its another in the race that might do better over a longer distance.

GLOBAL MELODY hasn't any form on this Tapeta surface and I doubt this surface will suit it.

AGUEROOO is my top rated but stall 13 is as bad as it gets but could feasibly follow the stall 12 horse across to the rails and it would then have a winning chance.

THE LACEMAKER hasn't any course form from 2019 but its best from 2018 would put it in 2nd top spot and is trying to make this a hat-trick of wins. 

LANDING NIGHT might find this trip too far with a couple of known frontrunners in this race,

SUMMARY: There's a few in this race that could possibly make the frame with a few of the higher-rated horses not berthed well in the make-up of this race, with THE LACEMAKER 9/2 being my 2nd top-rated and being in cracking form I cannot let it run without some of my money on it but I will also be backing *AGUEROOO 12/1 who is my top rated and showed a glimmer of returning to form when finishing it 4th on its last run. 

* NR
The Lacemaker 16/1 Unp

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.40 

This 5-furlong dash has 5 of the 10 runners that have been known to lead before, the speed/form lines are crossed from all sorts of angles and add on the 4 horses that are on double-figure losing runs it's hard to be very confident, if BERNIES BOY 9/2 can reproduce its Newcastle time here round a bend it would win this race but I'm not sure if it's really big enough in price to take the risk if it drifts to 6/1 I would be happy going with an each-way punt.

Bernies Boy 9/1 Unp

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