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Showing posts with label Crimson Sand. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Crimson Sand. Show all posts

Saturday, 2 July 2022

3:55 Chelmsford Racing Tips (3rd July)

CHELMSFORD 3.55 

ABOVE its best speed figure recorded here is good enough to make it my joint 3rd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders and could make the frame. 

AYR HARBOUR this one has poor form on its recent exploits and a longer distance might help this ones causes but not for me in this race. 

STRONG POWER I am not convinced this one really is a 6 furlong horse and its speed figures over this distance back up that theory so another I don't fancy in this race. 

PRINCESS SHABNAM a 3yo who is one of the two known front running types in this race and it comes out in 2nd top spot on my figures so should do enough to make the frame.

MOHAREB is the other front running type but has only produced relatively low speed figures since 2020 so another I cannot fancy to win here. 

TOLSTOY a 3yo who hasn't any form on the All-Weather tracks to its name but I think a slower surface might suit this one so one I could lay if value to do so. 

CRIMSON SAND has good trainer stats while its the jockeys first ride for the stable at least on the AW tracks and comes out top on my own unique speed figure ratings. 

SHANKO this 3yo comes out as the other joint 3rd top rated and likes to track the leaders so could make the frame. 

EL HADEEYAH another 3yo who likes to track the leaders but needs to improve time wise to win this race. 

SUMMARY The early pace could be set by Princess Shabnah and being my 2nd top rated it could prove hard to catch, I will be looking to lay Ayr Harbour 7/2 and Strong Power 9/1 if they are of value to lay but I will be siding with CRIMSON SAND 4/1 to be the winner the trainers good stats make me think connections are expecting it to go well and a repeat of its best rating recorded earlier this year would be good enough to win this race.

Wednesday, 1 June 2022

6:35 Chelmsford Racing Tips (2nd June)

CHELMSFORD 6.35 

HELLO ME 15/2 be held up or track the leaders and my second top rated and has what looks a positive jockey booking but may need some luck in running in the early stages of the race.

DUBAI HOPE 2/1 is one of the two known front runners in this race and has the stall one draw which gives it the edge and is the highest rated of the two front running types. But hasn't any form over this course and distance so I couldn't back or lay this one. 

EMPEROR SPIRIT 11/2 I couldn't back or lay this one either even though I do think this one needs a longer distance to show its best form but this race could feasibly be run to suit its racing style. 

CRIMSON SAND 7/2 usually likes to track the leaders and with the apprentices 3lb claim it comes out as my top rated and in the make-up of this race stall 6 could prove ideal for it and the trainer has a 20% win ratio at this course. 

JACKS POINT 9/1 is my third top rated using a rating from Lingfield, it hasn't run over this course and distance before, I think it will be trying to stay on nearing the finish a longer trip might help its chances. 

TWILIGHT MADNESS 15/2 is the other known front running type and drawn in stall five and it did record its best rating over this course and distance this year but does need to improve time wise to win this race. 

EHRMANN 7/1 I think this one might need a longer distance to show its best form and I will be looking to lay it if its a single figure price but as it has good jockey stats it wont be a big stake lay. 

SUMMARY: The only sprint for me today as the soft ground scuppers my races on grass, with the two known front running types drawn in stalls one and five those drawn in stalls two three and four might suffer interference in the early stages of the race and put them at a disadvantage, if Ehrmann 7/1 is a single figure price I would look to lay it, from stall six CRIMSON SAND 7/2 should be able to get a good position just behind the leaders from which to attack nearing the finish and then prove the stronger.

Crimson Sand 7/2 2nd -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt