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Showing posts with label Cuppacoco. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Cuppacoco. Show all posts

Friday, 5 August 2022

2:10 Ascot Racing Tips (6th August)

ASCOT 2.10 

Not a bad looking class 2 dash where half of the 10 runners have been known to lead before so I expect it will be fast and furious if that's possible over this stiff course, I think it will be a race where I will back one of the likely pacemakers and one that comes from off the pace to cover the angles, Hurricane Ivor 10/1 would need to improve on its best 2021 rating to win this race and hasn't shown anything worthwhile in its 3 runs this year so could be worth laying if a single figure price, King Of Stars 11/2 is my 4th top rated and a possible pacesetter and could make the frame if others falter but isn't really an each way price, Count D’Orsay 7/1 is my 3rd top rated but doesn't seem completely at ease on fast good to firm ground, i have joint top rated horses in LAMPANG 12/1 (EW) who likes to run from the front and recorded its best time at Hamilton last year so should be ok on this course, DUBAI STATION 16/1 (EW) usually likes to track the leaders before staying on the stronger in the closing stages and this race could be run to suit it as the early pace could be too fast and then some would fade nearing the finish but neither of my 2 bets have good trainer stats but luckily they are both each way prices so I will be having two each way wagers. 

Lampang 12/1 3rd +1.4pts
Dubai Station 16/1 9th -2pts 

Total -0.6pts

REDCAR 4.02 

This is a typical class 6 stakes race which wont take much winning, and most have not been in great form of late and only 4 horses have wins over this distance to their name and 3 of those wins are course and distance winners, Newgate Angel could set the pace to the race it would need to improve time wise to win the race but could do enough to make the frame so maybe worth an each way punt, Stroxx is my 3rd top rated but hasn't ever won over today's distance but could possibly make the frame, Koropick comes out in 2nd top spot but once again hasn't won over this distance so my money will be riding on CUPPACOCO 7/2 who is my top rated and ran well last time out when finishing 2nd and has been found an ideal opportunity to go one better here and get back to winning ways. 

Cuppacoco 11/2 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

LINGFIELD 7.05 

One front running type in this race is Enduring who could go well from the front and might be worth an each way interest if allowed to set a slower early pace but I doubt it will be allowed an easy lead in this race,, *Iconic Knight 6/1 won last time out over a furlong further than today's distance so might get outpaced here in the early stages but does come out in 3rd top spot using a Tapeta rating but that surface does seem to suit it better and maybe worth laying in this race, my 2nd top rating is Pablo Del Pueblo 12/1 who is the other horse known to lead before and could go well here after running on turf in its last few races and doing very little in its last 3 runs but the switch to this Polytrack surface could rejuvenate it and might be worth an each way interest but my money will be on COME ON GIRL 11/2 who is a course and distance winner and my top rated and the jockey booking looks a positive as he has a 27% win ratio on all the stables runners and 50% win ratio on the stables older horse, he won on the horse 2 runs ago but it was beaten last time out with an apprentice taking the ride but the switch back to today's jockey makes me believe connections are expecting it to get back to winning ways in this race.

*NR

Come On Girl 6/1 1st +6pts

Total 6pts

Total on the day +4.4pts

Monday, 11 July 2022

2:40 Beverley Racing Tips (12th July)

BEVERLEY 2.40 Div I

What a poor start to the days sprints, a 12 runner race but not one known front running type amongst them which automatically puts me on the back foot, I will look to lay Enraged 7/2 who races as though a longer distance would suit it better and this race doesn't look likely to be run to suit its style, as for the winner I have narrowed it down to 3 runners, BRAZEN BELLE 11/1 is my top rated and won at this distance 2 runs ago at Ripon and then didn't stay the 6th furlong in its last run but the trainer is 0-11 at this course and the jockey is 0-5 for the stable so I couldn't back just this one here, HOT SCOOP 13/2 is my 2nd top rated and will be trying to stay on at the finish so a low early pace might not suit, it also has poor trainer 0-4 and jockey 0-6 stats and its been 38 runners over the last 288 days since the stable last had a winner, my 3rd top rated ELZAAL 6/1 has slightly better trainer/jockey stats and the trainer has had 4 winners in the last 2 weeks, there is only 3lbs between my top 3 ratings so any could win but my stakes will be kept low. 

Elzaal 6/1 3rd -1pt 
Brazen Belle 11/1 Unp -1pt 
Hot Scoop 9/1 Unp 

Lay bet Enraged -4pts

Total -7pts

BEVERLEY 3.10 Div II 

This 2nd division isn't much better apart from the fact it has 2 known front runners, pity there wasn't one in each division, of the 2 I expect Newgate Angel to do best and if allowed an easy lead it could do enough to make the frame as its my 3rd top rated, I will look to lay Gorgeous General 7/1 who has only slow times on turf and is 0-16 on grass and I doubt that will change here, there two 3yo’s Primo 7/2 and Chant For More 9/1 who could be worth laying but I am adverse to laying these youngsters especially when there looks to be a safer lay in the race, Mokaman is my 2nd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders and could stay on to make the frame but i will be backing CUPPACOCO 12/1 (EW) who can be held up or track the leaders and if able to reproduce its best rating from 2021 at Thirsk it would win with a bit in hand and has good trainer/jockey stats with their elder horses with a double figure price on offer it has to be an each way wager. 

Cuppacoco 14/1 Unp -2pts 

Lay bet Gorgeous General +1pt

Total -1pt

CHELMSFORD 8.50 

Nine runners with just one known front running type in the field, I will look to lay Amasova 9/1 who does its best ratings over shorter distances, Bomb Squad does come out 2nd best but that's using a time recorded on the Tapeta surface at Wolverhampton and drops to 3rd best on Polytrack figures only using a time from Kempton but I think a longer trip might suit it better, The Nail Gunner 5/2 has only slow times to its name both here and at Kempton so could be another one to lay especially at such a relatively short price, Brazen Arrow comes out in 2nd top spot on Polytrack times while the one I will be punting on is I AM A DREAMER 14/1 (EW) who is my top rated using a course and distance time it recorded last year and is the front running type I mentioned earlier and if getting to the front and fully fit it could lead all the way for the victory but at the price on offer it has to be an each way bet.

I Am A Dreamer 14/1 7th -2pts 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -10pts

Wednesday, 25 May 2022

3:10 Haydock Racing Tips (26th May)

HAYDOCK 3.10 

A field of 12 runners with 4 known front runners amongst them and Modular Magic my 5th top rated and Sound Reason my joint 3rd top rated could do best of those front runners, Duke Of Firenze is the other joint 3rd top rated and is usually held up for a late run but doesn't like the going to be really fast, Street Life actually comes out as my 2nd top rated but that was recorded in a lower class race and might struggle now upped in class, my money will be riding on *BALLINTOY HARBOUR who likes to track the leaders and then stay on resolutely at the finish and this one likes the going to be good to firm so it should be okay in this race. 

*NR

RIPON 4.25 

The early pace will most likely be set by Ustath who is my 4th top rated so I doubt it will be able to do enough to hold for the win, the top weight Lost My Sock 4/1 might be a better prospect when racing over a longer distance as it stays on nearing the finish over this distance but usually not quickly enough to win and may struggle again here with just 1 known front runner in the field, Mokaman 5/1 comes out in 3rd top spot and likes to track the leaders before staying on at the finish but there is only 2 places up for grabs so not of value to do each way Orchid Rose is a hold up type and sits in 2nd top spot, I will be having a small wager on CUPPACOCO 10/1 who looks the value call of the race, the jockey has a 17% win ratio on the stables older horses but the trainer is 0-31 at this course which is the main reason for just a small bet.

Cuppacoco 12/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt 

Wednesday, 2 October 2019

7:55 Newcastle Racing Tips (2nd October)


NEWCASTLE 7.55 

There's quite a few relatively lightly raced sorts in the race which will automatically temper my bets then add on the fact there's no natural front running types in the race it looks more and more like a race to leave alone BUT, yes it is a big but, I think i might have found something of value in the race, Be Proud ran on well when winning here last time out but that was over 5 furlongs not the 6 furlongs of this race but being a 3 year old it could improve enough to win this but I couldn't back it if its the 5/2 price forecast on the Sporting Life, Scandanavian lady another 3 year old won last time out but that was a slow run affair, Mansfield has a time from Wolverhampton last year that would make it competitive, my money will be riding on DANDY HIGHWAYMAN 10/1 who I will back each way as its best time over this c/d from last year would make it my top-rated and could go well in this race. 

Dandy Highwayman 10/1 2nd

NEWCASTLE 8.25 

Another race not to get too heavily involved in betting wise but I've hopefully found an each-way shot that could win me a few pounds, Young Tiger has a time from 2017 that would put it into the mix but its not been anywhere near that time since then and I can't find any reason why it should win here, the same applies to One Boy using a 2017 time, there's a couple that has been known to lead before so in this weak race Independence Day could go quite well but my money will be riding on CUPPACOCO 16/1 hoping this topweight can lead all the way and get back to winning ways and it does have good trainer/jockey stats to add to its chances and at the price I will be having an each-way wager in this race.

Cuppacoco 18/1 2nd