4:02 Newcastle Racing Tips (6th October)

NEWCASTLE 4.02 

A poor apprentice jockeys race where the early pace could be set by Spartan Fighter who is the only known front running type in the race but it would need to improve time wise to win the race unless it can reproduce its best course and distance rating from 2021 but has been well below that level since then, I'm not convinced that Kat's Bob 15/2 likes this surface so I will lay it if a single figure price, After John 9/4 is only my 4th top rated using a 2022 rating and is usually held up for a late run but looks very poor value at the price, South Dakota Sioux occupies the 3rd top spot and its another that's usually held up for a late run, Claim The Stars comes out 2nd best on my unique speed ratings but that's using a rating recorded at Southwell last year, can be held up or track the leaders but my money will be riding on CARIBBEAN SUNSET 6/1 who is another that's usually held up for a late run and this one recorded its best rating this year which is always a bonus. 

Caribbean Sunset 6/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bet: Kat's Bob -4pts

Total -5pts

NEWCASTLE 8.15 

The early pace in this race could be set by my 3rd top rated horse in the shape of Another Angel and could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead but there is at least 5 other runners that like to track the leaders so they should ensure its a true gallop from the off. There is five 3yo’s in this race and I can find a reason to lay every one of them but because of their age they will be kept to low stake lays if they are of value to do so, I've got joint top rated horses in this race LADY CELIA 4/1 who recorded its best rating here last year but has been a few spots below that level so far this year and races as though further would suit it better while ELZAAL 2/1 usually likes to race in the rear or midfield before staying on strongly at the finish and this ones best rating was recorded over this course and distance this year which is usually a positive but to be honest they are both a shorter price than I was expecting and don't really represent value.

Elzaal 7/2 2nd -1pt 

Lady Celia 9/2 4th -1pt 

Lay bets: He's An Angel +1pt, King Of The Jungle +1pt 

Total 0pts 

Total on the day -5pts

4:40 Newcastle Racing Tips (23rd September)

NEWCASTLE 4.40 

A class 6 race with a full house of 14 runners with a couple of known front running types which should make things easier but to be honest I cannot narrow it down to anything less than 3 possible winners and even then I say keep your stakes low, so maybe the best way to make a profit from this race is to lay one of the entrants and I will look to lay Anconagua Mountain 9/2 who is usually held up for a late run but is held on recent form by Coleys Koko and needs to improve time wise to win this race and its only got relatively slow times on good to firm ground on turf plus the trainer only has a win ratio of 3% at this course, COLEY'S KOKO 12/1 is one of the trio that could win this race and if it can reproduce its best turf rating it would win this race a shade cosily so at the price has to be worth an each way punt at the price, JOSHUA R 4/1 usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish my third horse is ELZAAL 11/2 from stall 10 who can be held up or track the leaders and a high draw is usually a help over this straight course, I will be backing all 3 of them but not to high stakes. 

Elzaal 11/2 1st +5.5pts 

Coley's Koko 20/1 5th -1pt

Joshua R 6/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bet Aconagua Mountai +1pt 

Total +4.5pts

NEWCASTLE 8.15 

Up one level to class 5 with 3 known front running types but another race very hard to narrow down to anything less than 3 horses so maybe another race where the best way to make money will be laying Robasta 6/1 who may need further to show its true worth and its one run on this Tapeta surface at Wolverhampton it didn't show much at all which puts me off its chance here and its win on Polytrack at Kempton was a relatively slow time which didn't register on my figures, GLORIOUS RIO 12/1 (EW) could be the one to do best coming from off the pace and the horse has won 3 from 13 races on an artificial surface so has to be worth an each way wager, MAJESTIC MAN 11/2 is one of the possible pacesetters coming out of stall 4 so if low numbers are best then that's covered that angle while my other front running POLITICS 14/1 (EW) is coming out of stall 13 covering that angle if the high numbers are best on the day and looks worth another each way punt.

Majestic Man 17/2 2nd -1pt 

Glorious Rio 12/1 4th -2pts 

Politics 14/1 Unp -2pts 

Lay bet Robasta +1pt 

Total -4pts

Total on the day +0.5pts

2:45 Chelmsford Racing Tips (24th July)

CHELMSFORD 2.45 

A nice class 2 race with 12 runners and 3 of them have been known to lead before and all 3 of them, Emperor Spirit, Tomouh and If You dare, are my co-fourth top rated horses so they will be setting the race up for something coming from off the pace, Wonder Elzaam is my 3rd top rated with Marks Bear sitting in 2nd top spot but this ones jockey is 0-18 for the stable so I will be hoping that DUBAI STATION 11/2 who is a hold up type can get a clear run when attempting to make its move and is 2 from 2 on an artificial surface. 

Dubai Station 11/2 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt

PONTEFRACT 3.30 

A six runner race where Equiano Springs looks the most likely one to set the pace to the race and being my 2nd top rated horse it could prove hard to catch for most of the runners and if allowed an easy lead it could possibly pinch this race from the front, I would look to lay both *Gumdrop and Persuasion 5/1 if of value to do so, the former is a hold up type and time wise would need to improve a good few spots while the latter may need a longer distance to show its best form and this race might not be run to suit it, the one I will be backing needs good to firm ground to show its best so if the going is as required then BAY BREEZE 10/1 who usually likes to track the leaders ought to finish the stronger and get back to winning ways. 

*NR 

Bay Breeze 10/1 3rd -1pt 

Lay bet Persuasion +1pt

Total 0pts

PONTEFRACT 5.15 

A lowly class 6 dash with 11 runners and 3 known front running types and two of them, Imperial Khan and Canaria Prince are my joint 4th and 3rd top rated horses so could possibly do enough from the front to make the frame, the betting will decide whether I find anything worthwhile to lay but it looks unlikely, Young Tiger is my other joint 4th top rated but not be able to pick up the leaders early enough to win this race, Stroxx is well weighted on its best form and usually runs ok but doesn't win as often as it possibly should, I will be siding with ELZAAL 5/1 who can be held up or track the early pacesetters and will be trying to pick up the leaders as the finish approaches and its best time from Ripon earlier this year would see it winning and the trainer does have a decent strike-rate at this course.

Elzaal 11/2 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -2pts

2:40 Beverley Racing Tips (12th July)

BEVERLEY 2.40 Div I

What a poor start to the days sprints, a 12 runner race but not one known front running type amongst them which automatically puts me on the back foot, I will look to lay Enraged 7/2 who races as though a longer distance would suit it better and this race doesn't look likely to be run to suit its style, as for the winner I have narrowed it down to 3 runners, BRAZEN BELLE 11/1 is my top rated and won at this distance 2 runs ago at Ripon and then didn't stay the 6th furlong in its last run but the trainer is 0-11 at this course and the jockey is 0-5 for the stable so I couldn't back just this one here, HOT SCOOP 13/2 is my 2nd top rated and will be trying to stay on at the finish so a low early pace might not suit, it also has poor trainer 0-4 and jockey 0-6 stats and its been 38 runners over the last 288 days since the stable last had a winner, my 3rd top rated ELZAAL 6/1 has slightly better trainer/jockey stats and the trainer has had 4 winners in the last 2 weeks, there is only 3lbs between my top 3 ratings so any could win but my stakes will be kept low. 

Elzaal 6/1 3rd -1pt 

Brazen Belle 11/1 Unp -1pt 

Hot Scoop 9/1 Unp 

Lay bet Enraged -4pts

Total -7pts

BEVERLEY 3.10 Div II 

This 2nd division isn't much better apart from the fact it has 2 known front runners, pity there wasn't one in each division, of the 2 I expect Newgate Angel to do best and if allowed an easy lead it could do enough to make the frame as its my 3rd top rated, I will look to lay Gorgeous General 7/1 who has only slow times on turf and is 0-16 on grass and I doubt that will change here, there two 3yo’s Primo 7/2 and Chant For More 9/1 who could be worth laying but I am adverse to laying these youngsters especially when there looks to be a safer lay in the race, Mokaman is my 2nd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders and could stay on to make the frame but i will be backing CUPPACOCO 12/1 (EW) who can be held up or track the leaders and if able to reproduce its best rating from 2021 at Thirsk it would win with a bit in hand and has good trainer/jockey stats with their elder horses with a double figure price on offer it has to be an each way wager. 

Cuppacoco 14/1 Unp -2pts 

Lay bet Gorgeous General +1pt

Total -1pt

CHELMSFORD 8.50 

Nine runners with just one known front running type in the field, I will look to lay Amasova 9/1 who does its best ratings over shorter distances, Bomb Squad does come out 2nd best but that's using a time recorded on the Tapeta surface at Wolverhampton and drops to 3rd best on Polytrack figures only using a time from Kempton but I think a longer trip might suit it better, The Nail Gunner 5/2 has only slow times to its name both here and at Kempton so could be another one to lay especially at such a relatively short price, Brazen Arrow comes out in 2nd top spot on Polytrack times while the one I will be punting on is I AM A DREAMER 14/1 (EW) who is my top rated using a course and distance time it recorded last year and is the front running type I mentioned earlier and if getting to the front and fully fit it could lead all the way for the victory but at the price on offer it has to be an each way bet.

I Am A Dreamer 14/1 7th -2pts 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -10pts