5:45 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (30th December)

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.45

A strange class 4 race there's only 7 runners but 4 of them have been known to lead before so it should be a fast run affair, the 2 form horses are Starshiba 3/1 who is upped in class and time wise needs to improve a good few spots to win at this level and Baldomero 3/1 who seems to be a weak finisher as it seems to give its best virtually every time but hasn't won any lately, this is a slight drop in class but it has raced at this level recently without success plus it has recorded its best ratings on the Polytrack surface which is enough for me to leave it alone but I couldn't lay it and truthfully the opposition isn't in the best of form. I will take a punt on GULLIVER 9/1 who looks the value call as it is a course and distance winner, its top rating comes from Southwell but it hasn't run here recently and this one can deploy any tactics to win its races and maybe from stall 2 it will get away smartly and gain control of the rails and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch and if held up it will have the fast pace which it likes to aim at where the leaders could be tiring nearing the finish and then it can run on strongly and prove the stronger.

Gulliver 9/1 3rd -1pt 

Total on the day -1pt 

3:15 Newcastle Racing Tips (11th November)

NEWCASTLE 3.15 

The early pace to this race could well be set by Magical Spirit and this one could be a slightly hidden danger if allowed an easy time at the front of the field as its best time on turf would make it my 3rd top horse in this race so might be worth an each way punt. Gweedore 6/1, Brewing 4/1 and Zip 6/1 all race as though further would suit them better so may get outpaced in the early stages and not make up the deficit in time to win this race and ones I will be looking to lay here and I could add Bielsa 7/1 to my lay list as time wise using both All-Weather and Turf ratings it needs to improve to be able to win this race. Roman Dragon is my 4th top rated so could go well and possibly make the frame if others falter, sometimes Monsieur Kodi can struggle to stay this distance but in the make-up of this race it might run ok but I somehow doubt it will be an each way price but i will be relying on GULLIVER 16/1 (EW) who has won 5 times on an artificial surface but admittedly hasn't run on this course before but a repeat of its best rating from Southwell the last time it ran on an All-Weather surface it would be winning this race a shade cosily and it worked last time it won after running on turf and then the switch back to the All-Weather surface brought it instantly back to form I'm hoping for a repeat here but at such a big price it has to be an each way punt.

Gulliver 16/1 7th -2pts 

Lay bet: Bielsa +1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 7.30 

This race looks likely to be won from the front as all 4 known front running types are in my top 5 ratings so as long as they don't push each other too hard and then tire badly nearing the finish a lot of horses wont get competitive in this race, if Shalaa Asker 7/1 is a single figure price I will look to lay it as with a fast early pace it can struggle to stay the distance, Holkham Bay stall 7 is my 5th top rated, Buccacay stall 1 is my 4th top rated so could gain control on the rails which will help its cause so may be worth an each way interest if of value to back each way, Hello Me is the one that could prosper if they go off too fast as its my 3rd top rated but its best rating of this year would plummet it down my list, The Waiting Game stall 10 is my 2nd top rated and has won its last 5 races starting off on an official rating of 48 and won last time out rated 75 and is up another 3lbs here it doesn't have to lead which could be helpful seeing it s pretty bad draw but I wouldn't pt anyone off of backing it as it could still be improving but I will stick with the proven and put my faith in CUBAN BREEZE 12/1 (EW) stall 8 who can front run or be held up and it finished fast behind The Waiting Game when beaten a short head and is 2lbs better off on that run which is plenty to reverse that form and finished 3rd last time out in a very fast run race so it has a good chance to get back to winning ways here but at a double figure price it has to be given as an each way bet.

Cuban Breeze 12/1 1st +15pts

Lay bet: Shalaa Asker +1pt 

Total +16pts

Total on the day +15pts