A field of 13 but not one known front running type amongst them which is always a bugbear when trying to analyse a race, if there was guaranteed to be a fast early gallop I would have looked to lay both Prodigious Blue and Kendred Fire despite them being 3yo’s but I might look to lay As If By Chance 7/2 at the price as it looks way too short for its chance of winning and Classy Al but with the lack of known pacesetters I cannot lay anything because if it turns into a 2 furlong dash anything could happen, Surprise Picture 12/1 and Mutanaaseq 20/1 my 5th and 4th top rated horses could make the frame if others falter, 3rd top spot goes to Lost My Sock 14/1 who looks as though a longer distance would suit it better so this race might not be run to suit it, Captain Vallo 12/1 usually likes to track the leaders and comes out in 2nd top spot,my top rated is HAIL SEZER 12/1 who was a beaten favourite last time it ran and now seems to be a bigger price than its chance of winning the race and a reproduction of its best rating recorded at Carlisle last year would see it winning this race a shade cosily as usual with the price on offer it has to be an each way wager but my stakes wont be at full strength with the lack of known early paced sorts in the race.
Hail Sezer 16/1 1st +20pts (That's what we like to see)
Total +20pts
REDCAR 7.20
Div I: I can only see Cuppacoco 7/1 as a front running type in this race and being my 2nd top rated it ought to prove hard to catch if getting to the front and it has finished 2nd in both of its last 2 starts and I'm hoping that will happen here and it could be the one to do for the forecast, I doubt there will be anything of value to lay as my top 4 ratings are the only horses forecast to be single figure prices, Dreamcasing 9/4 is my 4th top rated and usually stays on at the finish and could make the frame but I don't think it will win the race so maybe worth laying the win part at such short odds, Dirchill comes out in 3rd top spot and can be held up or track the leaders and another possible each way bet but my money will be riding on HURSTWOOD 11/4 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and the jockey booking looks a positive move making me think connections expect it to follow up its win last time out.
Hurstwood 4/1 1st +4pts
Total 4pts
REDCAR 7.50
Div II: This is the slightly worse division but once again I can only see one known front runner in the race in the shape of Quercus who is my 3rd top rated mainly because there is only 3 runners with a recorded speed rating and would need to pinch the race from the front but I can't quite see that happening but it could do enough to make the frame, the only horse of value that I can see to lay is Birdie Bowers who might find the distance too far on turf as it seems much better on the AW surfaces, Aconcagua Mountain is my 2nd top rated and is usually held up for a late run and could make the frame but I will be relying on the top weighted ISLE OF DREAMS 3/1 who has been found a good opportunity to complete its hattrick and it usually tracks the leaders before staying on the stronger at the finish.
Isle Of Dreams 3/1 1st +3pts
Total 3pts
Total on the day +27pts (Exceptional tipping from the Sprint King)
340/1 Treble!!!!!!!
