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Saturday, 28 September 2019

6:50 Chelmsford Racing Tips (28th September)


CHELMSFORD 6.50 

It looks like the weather will scupper any plans to have a bet this afternoon so thanks for the AW tracks, its a shame there's only 6 runners in this class 2 conditions race and with no known frontrunners in the race its still a tricky race to solve, if there is a fast early pace then both Royal Birth and Harry's Bar may struggle to stay the 6th furlong while Peggie Sue may prefer a slower surface to show its best, Tropics would need to improve timewise to win this race which leaves me with SHIMMERING DAWN 4/1 who is top-rated on 2019 times and LANCELOT DU LUC 5/2 who comes out top overall using its best 2018 time but hasn't any course form this year to work with, so I will have to go with backing them both. 

Shimmering Dawn 4/1 4th
Lancelot Du Luc 7/1 3rd

CHELMSFORD 8.20 

There's a lot of conflicting form lines here but I have come to a conclusion, Roundabout Magic would be top rated using its best times from Lingfield last year but a losing run of 16 and the jockeys 1-54 win record on this stables older horses are putting me off, Camino is well weighted on its best form at Lingfield but its 0-22 record on the AW tracks puts me off, Precious Plum is 2nd top-rated on this years times and could be the favourite, Kath's Lustre’s losing run of 15 is off-putting and may prefer a longer trip to shine, my money will be on RED STRIPES 15/2 who is the only natural-looking frontrunner in the race has had some luck in getting drawn in stall 1 so I'm hoping it can get out quickly gain control of the rails and lead all the way and it looks positive with the 5lb claiming apprentice who has a good record for the stable.

Red Stripes 15/2 1st 

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