2:10 Beverley Racing Tips (22nd April)

BEVERLEY 2.10 

A decent class 5 dash (5 furlongs) with 11 runners and to make it that much more difficult there is a known front runner in the field, Nibras Again 4/1 has a time from 2019 that would see it competing to make the frame but last years best was quite a bit below that level time wise and looks poor value on recent times, Ventura Flame 16/1 recorded a time at Musselburgh this year but I think it might have got towed along in a fast run race and the form might be questionable, which is reflected in the price, Debawtry 9/1 my joint 3rd top rated on overall figures has that time from 2019 that would put it in the mix but hasn't shown much since but admittedly from very little racing and I think its better when raced over further, Star Prize 12/1 is 2nd top rated on recent, 2020/21, times but drops to joint 3rd on overall figures, I tipped up DAPPER MAN 7/2 on Monday when it finished 2nd at Pontefract after winning impressively the time before that at Ripon, it is the only known front runner in the field and could lead all the way here and a repeat of its time from Ripon would see it back to winning ways. 

DAPPER MAN 1PW 7/2 4th -1pt

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 6.15 

Only 6 runners where Breath Of Joy 4/1 can lead if nothing else wants to but is versatile with its racing tactics and comes out 2nd best on my figures using its best time from Kempton in 2020 so could go well, Mountain Brave is the more natural front running type but seems to want to set a slower pace and its overall times have been poor, Raaeb 2/1 comes out 3rd best on my figures but that's using a Newcastle time, which is a different surface, but hasn't raced here before meaning it will have to improve for the switch to this course to win this race but that doesn't mean it cant improve but as usual I will stick with the proven and I certainly couldn't back it at the price, Corinthia Knight 8/1 has only slow recent times to its name even when it won while Punchbowl Flyer 8/1 might prefer a slower surface which leaves me with the one i will be backing, SHIMMERING DAWN 2/1 who can be held up or track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish and if able to reproduce its best time from 2020 over this c/d it would see it winning a shade cosily. 

SHIMMERING DAWN 3PW 2/1 5th -1pt

Total on the day -2pts

3:40 Lingfield Racing Tips (14th November)

LINGFIELD 3.40 6F LISTED 

What a cracking race, I might not be saying that after the race, there's 12 runners and 2 known front running types and Highland Dress from stall 1 could be the one to set the pace but I doubt it will stay there long enough to win the race unless it gets an uncontested lead and then it might do better than i think, i can only see two horses i would lay but I suspect they will be at least double figure prices, Good Effort, Soldiers Minute, Burmese Waltz, Sunday Star and Jovial could all go well here and i certainly wouldn't put anybody off backing any of them, the horse that is my top rated using a time from Chelmsford is SHIMMERING DAWN 11/1 (EW) it has never run at this course before but its best time at Kempton would also make it my top rated, this one has a trainers win stats of 21% while the jockey is 20% on anything from the stable it goes up to 36% when riding the stables older horses and hopefully from stall four it can get a good early position from which to attack late on and at a double figure price it has to be given as an each way punt. 

Shimmering Sea 16/1 8th (-2pts) 

Total: - 2pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.30 5F Class 5 

I can see 3 front running types in this dash and also 3 that I could lay but I think Bahuta Acha might be the only one of the 3 at a single figure price, there are a few that have some piece of form that would make them competitive, Secretfact isn't well drawn in stall 10 and may struggle to get a clear run, Klopp usually stays on strongly at the finish over this distance and could possibly at least make the frame, the 3yo May The Sixth is top rated on just 202 c/d times but that time is quite a few spots below the ratings of others in the race from elsewhere, Shamshon is a possible pacesetter and could go quite well but its best time was from 2018, YOU'RE COOL 16/1 (EW) is my joint top rated and one of the possible front runners so it could prove hard to catch and it would be sole selection if it wasn't for the jockeys 1-29 record on the stables older horses, the bottom weight ROUNDABOUT MAGIC 14/1 (EW) is the other joint top rated admittedly that time was recorded in 2018 but it hasn't run over the c/d since that year, the trainer has an 18% win ratio at this course and the jockey is 2-4 for the stable which makes me think they are expecting a big run in this race both of them are double figure prices so i have to suggest backing them both each way.

You're Cool 16/1 3rd (+2.2pts)

Roundabout Magic 18/1 5th (-2pts)

Total: +0.2pts

Total on the day: -1.8pts

2:40 Wolverhampton Racing Tips & Lay Bets (10th June)

WOLVERHAMPTON 2.40 

Quite a tricky race mainly due to a lack of data to work with for several of the runners which usually means a more experienced horse is top-rated, I will look to lay (Jem Scuttle + Valentino Sunrise). I can only find one known frontrunner in the race so if allowed an easy lead PEACHEY CARNEHAN 12/1 (EW) could run a big race and worth a small each-way bet, it is my joint top rated on a 2018 time but its best from last year was 9lb lower but it could steal this race from the front hopefully an each-way chance but this stable has another entry in PUCHITA 18/1 (EW) my 3rd top-rated and the stables usual jockey has chosen to ride this one, so another each-way chance at the odds, I will also be backing *ONE ONE SEVEN 6/1 who ran well when finishing 2nd on its last run but the jockeys 1-16 record for this stable is a little off-putting, I cannot see any way other than to dutch all 3 horses and each way if their price permits. 

*NR

Puchita 18/1 3rd (+2.6) 

Peachy Carnehan 16/1 6th (-2pts)

Lay bets: Jem Scuttle +1pt, Valentino Sunrise +1pt

Total: +2.6pts

KEMPTON 8.00

I am not too keen on this race, there's only 8 runners and the bottom 3 are 3yo’s who could be better than they have already shown, BUY ME BACK 5/1 could go well as it won over this c/d this year but if JAMAHEERY 9/2 from the powerful R Hannon stable can reproduce its Yarmouth time it would be winning here while the best of the older horses look to be SHIMMERING DAWN 7/2, I do think the winner will come from these 3 and dutching them looks the answer to me. 

Shimmering Dawn 7/2 2nd (-1pt)

Buy Me Back 16/1 6th (-1pt)

Jamaheery 9/2 7th (-1pt)

Total: -3pts 

KEMPTON 8.30 

A field of 10 runners with no known frontrunners which always makes things hard to analyse to completion, I can find a couple to lay (Pedestal + Three Little Birds) Inexes may need further or a slower surface but the jockeys good stats for the stable means I'm not confident enough to lay it, I can also see a few that will run well, the bottom weight Di Metteo has only slow times at this c/d but its best time from Wolverhampton would make it top rated but I will stick with the proven on this surface, Inaam’s best time from Lingfield would put it in the mix but it's one run at this c/d was poor, Nezar will be staying on at the finish, my money will be riding on PRIVATE MATTER 7/1 who can be held up or track the leaders but my stakes will be kept low because of the lack of known early pace.

Private Matter 7/1 4th (-1pt)

Lay bets: Pedestal +1pt, Three Little Bird +1pt

Total: +1pt

Total on the day: +0.6pts

6:50 Chelmsford Racing Tips (28th September)

CHELMSFORD 6.50 

It looks like the weather will scupper any plans to have a bet this afternoon so thanks for the AW tracks, its a shame there's only 6 runners in this class 2 conditions race and with no known frontrunners in the race its still a tricky race to solve, if there is a fast early pace then both Royal Birth and Harry's Bar may struggle to stay the 6th furlong while Peggie Sue may prefer a slower surface to show its best, Tropics would need to improve timewise to win this race which leaves me with SHIMMERING DAWN 4/1 who is top-rated on 2019 times and LANCELOT DU LUC 5/2 who comes out top overall using its best 2018 time but hasn't any course form this year to work with, so I will have to go with backing them both. 

Shimmering Dawn 4/1 4th
Lancelot Du Luc 7/1 3rd

CHELMSFORD 8.20 

There's a lot of conflicting form lines here but I have come to a conclusion, Roundabout Magic would be top rated using its best times from Lingfield last year but a losing run of 16 and the jockeys 1-54 win record on this stables older horses are putting me off, Camino is well weighted on its best form at Lingfield but its 0-22 record on the AW tracks puts me off, Precious Plum is 2nd top-rated on this years times and could be the favourite, Kath's Lustre’s losing run of 15 is off-putting and may prefer a longer trip to shine, my money will be on RED STRIPES 15/2 who is the only natural-looking frontrunner in the race has had some luck in getting drawn in stall 1 so I'm hoping it can get out quickly gain control of the rails and lead all the way and it looks positive with the 5lb claiming apprentice who has a good record for the stable.

Red Stripes 15/2 1st