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Wednesday, 30 October 2019

4:40 Kempton Racing Tips (30th October)

KEMPTON 4.40 

SWISS PRIDE my top-rated on 2019 course and distance times and to move it even further clear is the apprentice jockeys claim.

MUJAASAM has a time from 2018 that would make it my top-rated but it needs to improve timewise on what it's done so far this year.

POUR LA VICTOIRE hasn't any c/d form to its name from this year but its old form from 2016 would put in the mix and has been in decent form on the turf recently.

STEELRIVER comes out 3rd best on my figures and I think its purple patch of form is on the decline as it gets in the grips of the handicapper.

FLOWING CLARETS is 0-16 on the AW tracks which is off-putting and I'm not sure this surface suits it and a longer trip could help.

PETTOCHSIDE hasn't shown much timewise since 2017 and it's another who I think doesn't really like this surface.

SWENDAB can lead but can struggle to stay this trip if there's a fast early pace but if allowed to dictate it can't be ignored.

SUMMARY: The only sprint of the day is a class 5 claiming affair that's a quite open race, Swendab is the only known frontrunning type but this ones a lot better at 5 furlongs so if pushed for the lead it could/should fade but could be dangerous if allowed to dictate a slow enough pace and then kick from the front, Steelriver had a very long losing run to its name and then hit a rich vein of form but looks on the decline again now, Mujaasam is top-rated using its best 2018 time but has not run here for quite a while, my pittance will be riding on the topweight SWISS PRIDE 2/1 a 3yo that could still improve and the apprentices 7lb claim could be enough to sway things in its favour but my stakes won't be at full strength.

Swiss Pride 2/1 1st 

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