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Wednesday, 27 November 2019

2:00 Southwell Racing Tips (27th November)

SOUTHWELL 2.00

Just 8 runners in this class 5 claiming race but there is a couple of frontrunning types so it should be a true run affair, Awsaaf in stall 2 has led before but only when allowed to set its own slow pace but won't be given an easy ride here, The Right Choice is my 2nd top-rated by just 1ib but its 0-7 on the AW tracks so maybe it can/will make the frame but maybe not win which is what I will hope as I will be having a bet on FALCAO 11/2 who is a frontrunning type and in stall 3 it could get away quickly and gain control on the rails and then prove very hard to catch and the apprentice jockeys 3lb claim could make all the difference.

Falcao 20/1 4th  

SOUTHWELL 3.40

I am not a fan of these amateur riders races and there's not much to say about most of the runners so I will concentrate on my top 3 ratings, Letmestopyouthere 11/2 comes out 3rd best using its best time from 2018 but hasn't run here this year but the horse’s 1-31 record on the AW doesn't inspire confidence but it does look a significant jockey booking so it could go well, my 2nd top-rated is Vallarta 15/2 but its another with a poor win ratio on the AW standing at 1-17, top on my figures is the topweight GLOBAL MELODY 7/1 but its 0-4 on its runs over this c/d and 1-11 on all the AW tracks, so with niggling doubts about all 3 I've mentioned I will back my top rated and then have 2 small covering bets on my 2nd and 3rd top-rated horses as a sort of insurance but my stakes will be kept low.

Global Melody 11/1 3rd

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