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Tuesday, 19 November 2019

4:25 Kempton Racing Tips (19th November)


ICE CAVE has only slow times at this distance winning last time out over 7 furlongs and it may not be in its favour this drop in distance, 9/4 favourite, I will lay it at such a short price.

RED ALERT will be trying to stay on at the finish but hasn't shown much at this c/d since 2017 and its best recent Lingfiled time leaves it with something to find to win here.

HELVETIAN has the best speed figure over this c/d but it was recorded in 2018 as it's not run here before this year.

TYPHOON TEN has only slow times over this course and distance but it is a 3yo so could still be able to make some improvement.

OMRAN has only 1 run over this distance to its name and it points to it wanting further to show its true worth.

LIHOU has the 2nd top-rated c/d time for this year but it would leave it with a good few spots to find on those nearer the top of my list.

RESTLESS ROSE hasn't any course form to its name but does have a time from Chelmsford that would make it my top-rated overall but only by 2lb but could go well here.

BENNY AND THE JETS is my top-rated on this years c/d times so has to be considered as a possible winner but it may struggle if there's a really fast early pace.

HART STOPPER is 0-4 on any AW course and is usually a hold-up type but would need to show some improvement to win this race.

FOXY FOREVER has only slow times over this course and distance and that's mainly done to it being a better horse over shorter distances.

WASEEM FARIS is 0-15 on the AW tracks which are off-putting, its got a fast time over the distance on g/f ground but not for me here.

GINGER FOX has only a slow c/d time from its sole run here and it looks a horse that needs further to show any improvement. 

SUMMARY: There doesn't seem to be much early pace in this race so it could become a tactical affair but my money will ride on HELVETIAN 6/1 as it is my top rated horse over this course and distance using its time from 2018, it hasn't run over this c/d before this year so it could follow up here now its in form.

Helvetian 14/1 5th 

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