In this 10 runner race the only known frontrunner is Spirit Of Wedza and being in stall 3 it could gain control on the rails and being my joint 4th top-rated a lot of these might not get involved in the race, Bahuta Acha is my 3rd top-rated and it was using a 2019 time and it does usually stay on at the finish so could make the frame, Isabella Ruby starts off as my 2nd top-rated but the apprentice jockeys 7lb claim moves it to top spot by 1lb but the jockeys 1-24 record for the stable doesn't inspire me with confidence but never say never and it could make the frame, my money in this race will be riding on REASONED 5/2 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and from stall 4 it could get a nice tow into the race and the jockey has a decent win ratio for this stable.
Reasoned 5/2 8th
SOUTHWELL 5.50
Typically move up to class 4 and there's only 5 runners, National Anthem won here on Monday over 5 furlongs and moves up to 6 here and this step up in class might catch it out but we do know its in good form and that is always a bonus, Private matter is capable of fast times but this one won last time out and I'm not sure this rise in class is within its capabilities, Airshow looks a much better horse over the minimum trip and Kamra might prefer a faster surface so my bet in this race will be ZYLAN 15/2 who is on a losing 13 but it showed a return to the winners enclosure is imminent when finishing 2nd last time out in a fast time the only niggling doubt is the jockeys 0-8 record for this stable but he has been placed in 6 of those 8 runs so maybe its just down to bad luck or coincidence.
Zylan 15/2 1st
SOUTHWELL 6.50
A sprint over the straight 5 furlongs here so the draw isn't as important as when going around a bend but if there is any advantage it seems to be for those drawn high, the downside here is the kickback when it's windy it puts some horses off, Loulin my 3rd top-rated could do best of those coming from off the pace as my top 2 are both front running sorts, Red Stripes in stall 5 here hasn't been lasting the distance lately but is capable of winning this race but my money will be riding on the back of *EESHA SAYS 6/1 who is coming out of stall 12 and being a front runner things could be in its favour and the 7lb claiming apprentice jockey has a win rate of 31% for the Tony Carroll stable.
*NR
Second top-rated (Red Stripes) wins well and 15/2* last night. * Rule 4 (7/2 SP)
Great tipping from Eric.
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