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Wednesday, 22 January 2020

3:55 Lingfield Racing Tips & Lay Bets (22nd January)


LINGFIELD 3.55 

MOMTHATHIL is making its handicap debut so could be anything but I am of the opinion it might need a longer trip but I wouldn't back or lay this horse.

LAITH ALAREEN has only slow times over this distance as further might suit it better but its best turf form says it might could do ok but the jockey booking says not today.

GREEN DOOR is a capable frontrunner on a going day and timewise it's in the mix so stall 2 should be ok for it to either lead or at least contest the lead.

CAPPANANTY CON is a versatile type with its racing tactics and the jockey does ok for this stable on the AW.

SOMETHING LUCKY is 2nd top-rated on 2019/20 c/d times and could well make the frame in this race but a losing streak of 27 is a bit off-putting.

DIAMONIQUE is on a losing run of 14 races and I think this surface might not be ideal for it so one I would look to lay here.

WARRIORS VALLEY is my top rated but a losing run of 12 isn't ideal then add on the fact the jockey is 0-22 for this stable it puts me off a fair bit.

ROUNDABOUT MAGIC has done a fastish time but its best form is in one class lower races than this one but is in form winning its last but one race. 

SUMMARY: This race isn't one to betting too heavily as most of my top ratings have negatives against their names, I would look to lay (>Diamonique + *Laith Alareen + Roundabout Magic<) the topweight Momtathil isn't one I could back but it could be anything so not a lay either, the other four, GREEN DOOR 8/1, *CAPPANANTY CON 9/1, SOMETHING LUCKY 11/2 and WARRIOR'S VALLEY 15/2 all have some chance of winning and I will be dutching all of them but my stakes on both wins and lays will not be at full strength.

Win bets: Green Door 8/1 1st + (F/C £18.39), Something Lucky 11/2  2nd, Warrior's Valley 15/2 4th  * NR

Lay bets: Diamonique (+1pt) Roundabout Magic (+1pt) (*NR)

Total = +8pts

Total on Day = +8pts