1:45 Lingfield Racing Tips (14th January)

LINGFIELD 1.45 

A class 2 sprint with 9 runners and 2 known front running types in Street Kid 9/2 and River Pride 8/1, the former races as though further would suit it better but its best from which comes from Ireland on this Polytrack surface wouldn't be good enough to win this race while the latter hasn't raced over this course and distance before so not sure what to expect from it. Tyger Bay 4/1 has been running well carrying a low weights in handicaps and its mainly been in class 3 races so this step up in class might be too much for it also on recent form both Silkie Wilkie 3/1 and Tadreeb 7/1 are weighted to reverse that previous form in this race. I will be siding with TOLSTOY 7/1 in this race as it has won before at this class of race but this is its first run on this course but the trainer has a decent 18% win ratio at this course and a repeat of its best rating from Chelmsford last year, 2022, would be good enough to see winning this race 

Tolstoy 12/1 7th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

LINGFIELD 2.55 

Down in class and down in runners for this stakes race and of the 8 runners I have found negatives against half of them, so if any of the bottom 4 in this race are a single figure price they might be of value to lay as most of them, Master Sully 10/3, Secret Stripper and Youllovemewheniwin 4/1 all appear to need further to show their best form while Swooper looks likely to be the big outsider in the field. I have only got 1lb between my 4th to 2nd top rated horses with Hot Hot Hot and Iconicdaay on the same rating with Elf Rising rated one 1lb higher in 2nd top spot but the top weighted horse TOPLIGHT 7/4 is rated a good few spots higher and if reproducing its best course and distance rating from 2022 then i would be winning this race with quite a bit to spare and the jockey has a 25% strike rate when riding the stables older horses.

Toplight 7/4 2nd -1pt 

Lay bets Master Sully -3pts, Youlovemewheniwin +1pt

Total -3pts

Total on the day -4pts

2:05 Lingfield - Horse Racing Tips (21st December)

LINGFIELD 2.05 

A nice looking class 4 race, depending on prices I will look to lay Pop Dancer, Doc Sportello and Bombastic, there's few that could run well, El Hombre, Count Otto and Wheres Mick and could be an each way bet but hopefully they will only be battling for 3rd place as I will be backing ARAIFJAN 5/1 who can be versatile with its racing tactics and as its drawn in stall 1 I think it might race from the front as will my other selection MERHOOB 10/3 as long as it gets out quickly enough from stall 12, they both have good trainer/jockey stats making both stables are expecting to win this race. 

Araifan 5/1 6th (-1pt)

Merhoob 4/1 7th (-1pt)

Total: -2pts 

LINGFIELD 3.05 

For a class 5 race this looks very competitive, there's plenty of early paced types so it should be a true run race, Boom The Groom won last time out over this c/d but its penalty for winning that race wont make it easy for it to follow up here but it could go well, in fact I've only got 2 horses that are not with a few pounds of my 2nd to 7th rated horses but i think at the weights my top rated beast is COMEATCHOO 6/1 and from stall 1 it can hopefully get a good early position from which to attack in the home straight. 

Comeatchoo 6/1 2nd (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

NEWCASTLE 4.25 

The draw usually makes no difference at this straight course and there is 3 known front running types in this field of 12, Gunmetal in stall 2 is one of them and my 5th top rated, in 4th top spot is Lucky Lodge who will be trying to stay on at the finish after tracking the leaders, Tathmeen is 3rd top and will be running on well at the finish but i will be backing FANTASY KEEPER 8/1 who is top rated on 2020 c/d times and a front runner so if getting there he should be hard to catch but the top weight WASNTEXPECTINGTHAT 20/1 (EW) has a time from 2019 that would make it my top rated and this is a drop down in class for it so has to be worth an each way wager at the price 

Fantasy Keeper 16/1 5th (-1pt)

Wasntexpectingthat 20/1 Unp (-2pts)

Total: -3pts

NEWCASTLE 5.25 

Boy oh boy is the ratings for this race so close at the top of the leader board, there's several who could make the frame and there might be an each way wager when I've seen the betting, Kommander Kirkup is my 3rd top rated on 2020 c/d times but this 9 yo does seem to be on a slow downward spiral and could go well here, the top weight Phoenix Star is going for the hattrick and is my 2nd top rated and that is only by 1lb but the reason I am going for PROPHECY 10/1 (EW) is that it could be the one to set the pace and if allowed an easy lead could lead from start to finish although the trainer/jockey stats are a little off-putting but hopefully it will be an each way price and worth a small punt.

Prophecy 10/1 Unp (-2pts)

Total on the Day: -8pts

3:55 Lingfield Racing Tips & Lay Bets (22nd January)

LINGFIELD 3.55 

MOMTHATHIL is making its handicap debut so could be anything but I am of the opinion it might need a longer trip but I wouldn't back or lay this horse.

LAITH ALAREEN has only slow times over this distance as further might suit it better but its best turf form says it might could do ok but the jockey booking says not today.

GREEN DOOR is a capable frontrunner on a going day and timewise it's in the mix so stall 2 should be ok for it to either lead or at least contest the lead.

CAPPANANTY CON is a versatile type with its racing tactics and the jockey does ok for this stable on the AW.

SOMETHING LUCKY is 2nd top-rated on 2019/20 c/d times and could well make the frame in this race but a losing streak of 27 is a bit off-putting.

DIAMONIQUE is on a losing run of 14 races and I think this surface might not be ideal for it so one I would look to lay here.

WARRIORS VALLEY is my top rated but a losing run of 12 isn't ideal then add on the fact the jockey is 0-22 for this stable it puts me off a fair bit.

ROUNDABOUT MAGIC has done a fastish time but its best form is in one class lower races than this one but is in form winning its last but one race. 

SUMMARY: This race isn't one to betting too heavily as most of my top ratings have negatives against their names, I would look to lay (>Diamonique + *Laith Alareen + Roundabout Magic<) the topweight Momtathil isn't one I could back but it could be anything so not a lay either, the other four, GREEN DOOR 8/1, *CAPPANANTY CON 9/1, SOMETHING LUCKY 11/2 and WARRIOR'S VALLEY 15/2 all have some chance of winning and I will be dutching all of them but my stakes on both wins and lays will not be at full strength.

Win bets: Green Door 8/1 1st + (F/C £18.39), Something Lucky 11/2  2nd, Warrior's Valley 15/2 4th  * NR

Lay bets: Diamonique (+1pt) Roundabout Magic (+1pt) (*NR)

Total = +8pts

Total on Day = +8pts 

2:05 Lingfield Winning Racing Tips & Lay Bets (17th January)

As you probably noticed yesterday I changed my way of writing about each race listing those that have no chance and then any that I will be backing, the idea is to make a profit even if you don't find the winner, as long as none of the laying bets win, I am confident enough to say lay at any price even if it's only for a small stake it all adds up. 

LINGFIELD 2.05

Only 5 runners and there's a couple Gracious John and Reckless Endeavour who would go well on their old form here and the latter is the only horse that's not on a double-figure losing run after winning last time out, Count Otto and Mrehoob are my top 2 ratings on 2019 times. My suggestion in this race is to lay Savalas at 5/2 who can struggle to stay 6 furlongs in a fast run race. 

Lay: Savalas (+1pt) 5th

Total = +1pt 

LINGFIELD 2.40 

I have marked half of the 8 runners, Superseded, Cuban Spirit, Ewell Spring and Full Spectrum as potential lays in this race, Terri Rules is my 4th top-rated and likes to track the leaders as does my 3rd top-rated Fareeq who won last time out so we know is in good form, Compton Abbey is my top-rated using 2019 c/d times and could be the one to set the pace in this race, the jockeys 0-25 record on this stables older horses puts me off a little and it's maybe out for the run in preparation for a future race while MERCERS 13/2 who hasn't run well here recently comes out in top spot using its best 2018 time. I will be backing Mercers and maybe a covering bet on Compton Abbey and also lay the four horses mentioned earlier.

Lays: Cuban Spirit 1st (-5.5pts) Superseded  3rd (+1pt) Ewell Spring 6th (+1pt) Full Spectrum 7th (+1pt) 

Win bet: Mercers 13/2 5th

Total - 3.5pts 

NEWCASTLE 5.15

With this 6 runner race I will look to lay, Alsvinder, Venturous and Heath Charnock, Doc Sportello hasn't shown much recently and its best from way back would only make it 3rd top, BIG LES is my 2nd op rated here but the one I think will set the pace and could prove hard to catch if getting an easy lead but I do have COMMANDER HAN 3/1 rated 3lbs higher but this ones losing run of 19 is off-putting but I will have to back both of them to cover the angles. 

Lays: Venturous 1st (-4pts) Heath Charnock 2nd (+1pt) Alsvinder 6th (+1pt)
Win bets: Commander Han 3/1 4th, Big Les 14/1 5th 

Total - 3pts  

NEWCASTLE 6,15

In this 11 runner race I have found 3 that I will lay, Captain Dion, Black Friday and Be Proud, in 4th top spot I've got WASNTEXPECTINGTHAT 3/1 who has done well on the AW in its 3 races and while in hot form it could make the frame again here and has a positive looking jockey booking, EPEIUS is 3rd top and the trainer does well at this track and this jockey booking also looks a positive move, ROCK BOY GREY 11/2 is top-rated on just 2019 c/d times and this one's jockey does well on the stables older horses, LUCKY LODGE 12/1 is 2nd top on 2019 c/d times but has a time from 2018 that would move it to top spot overall. I will be dutching the 4 horses mentioned and also lay the other 3 mentioned at the top of this race analysis.

Lays: Black Friday (NR), Be Proud 2nd (+1pt) Captian Dion 6th (+1pt) 
Win bets: Wasntexpectingthat 1/1 1st,  Lucky Lodge 14/1 5th, Epius 10/1 8th. (NR) Rock Boy Grey 
Total: + 1.67pts  

Total day: - 3.83pts

BACK 
Lay 

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1:45 Lingfield Winning Racing Tips (10th January)

LINGFIELD 1.45 

Only 5 runners and to be honest a very tricky race to be confident of making a final conclusion, Flowers On Venus, Swiss Pride, and Moon Trouble have all been known to lead before but the bottom-weight has a lot to prove and may need this run for fitness, Swiss Pride would need to improve time-wise to win this race so if MOON TROUBLE 13/8 does get to the front it could prove hard to catch if it can reproduce its best Chelmsford time here on the same surface. 

Moon Trouble 13/8 2nd

LINGFIELD 3.55

Of the 10 entrants in this race I would look to lay 3 of them but the other 7 all have some chance of winning and with 3 known frontrunners it should be a true run race, Perfect Symphony has a good time from Chelmsford to make it 2nd top overall but stall 9 isn't ideal for its chances, Deeds Not Words is 3rd top overall and top-rated on times from 2019 onwards, stall 1 is ideal and a losing streak of 19 is off-putting, so I will have a small bet on DREAMBOAT ANNIE 8/1 who is one of the frontrunners and if getting to the front it could prove hard to catch. 

Dreamboat Annie 8/1 3rd 

WOLVERHAMPTON 6.45 

With just Fen Breeze is known as a frontrunner it could go ok from stall 6 but would need to improve timewise to hold on, Alicia Darcy on a losing run of 13 is my 3rd top-rated but only 1lb below Knockabout Queen in 2nd top spot, my money will be riding on KLOPP 11/2 who has won or been placed in half of its runs so I'm hoping it can add to its win total here. 

Klopp 11/2 2nd 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.15 

In this 9 runner race, only Katherine Place my 2nd top-rated on 2019 c/d times is known as a frontrunner but drops to 5th spot overall so it may not be able to do enough to hold on for the win, there is also 2 horses that have only Irish form to work with on the AW form so they could be potential dangers so any stakes will be kept low, five of the runners are on losing runs of at least 10, 4 runners haven't shown much form lately, then one more that might not like the going, so my money will be riding on QAARAAT 9/2 who is top-rated on just 2019 c/d times and joint top overall and stall 2 should be fine.

Qaaraat 9/2 4th 

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