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Saturday, 29 February 2020

1:25 Lingfield Racing Tips & Lay Bets (29th February)


LINGFIELD 1.25

Not a bad race for a class 6 affair and there is some known early pace in the field but 8 of the 10 runners are all on double-figure losing streaks and I will look to lay 4 of them (Dazacam 3/1 + Tiger Lyon 15/2 + Autumn Splendour 13/2 + Porto Ferro 8/1) Bernies Boy has a time from 2018 that could see it make the frame, if SUPERSEDED 7/1 wasn't one of those on long losing runs, 11 in the case of this one, it would be the sole bet, it is a frontrunning sort and in the make-up of this race stall 7 might not be too bad at all but there is CUBAN SPIRIT 10/1 who is the other known frontrunning sort, is better drawn in stall 2 and it won its last but one race so is in form but I will be baking them both hoping they dominate from the off and hold the rest at bay.

Superseded 7/1 3rd 
Cuban Spirit 10/1 4th

Lay bets: Dazacam (+1pt) Tiger Lyon (+1pt) Autumn Splendour (+1pt) Porto Ferro (+1pt)

Total +2pts

LINGFIELD 2.00

There's only 6 runners in this class 2 race and 3 of them have been known to lead so it should be a true run affair, I will look to lay (Top Breeze 5/2) who may need further to show its best and would also need to improve timewise to win here, Alsvinder has a time from 2017 that would make it my top-rated but hasn't been anywhere near that recently, Verne Castle is another with a fast time but also from 2017 and has only produced slow times recently, Thegreatestshowman hasn't shown much in its 2 runs this year but could go well if at its best, top-weighted Watchable has good trainer/jockey stats so connections maybe expecting a big run here but I will be backing ROYAL BIRTH 13/8 who has 3 wins and 4 places from 9 runs over this c/d and the jockey booking is very good according to the stats and it should be contesting the lead from the off and then stay on the stronger at the finish.

Royal birth 9/4 4th 

Lay bets: Top Breeze (-1.74)

Total -2.74pts

Total on day - 0.74pts

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