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Monday, 10 February 2020

8:10 Wolverhampton Racing Tips & Lay Bets (10th February)

WOLVERHAMPTON 8.10

FAREEQ will be trying to stay on at the finish in this race but I think it's unlikely that it can get there for the win.

JORVIK PRINCE won well 2 runs ago when leading all the way over this distance, its last run was over 6 furlongs which as always has proved too far for it, my thinking here though is I'm not sure this surface suits it 100% and I would perhaps lay it if it's short-priced 5/2 is not value in my opinion.

SENECA CHIEF has only slow times to its name over this c/d back in 2017 when it was in good form, it's definitely not for me in this race and I will look to lay it. 

TIME TO REASON has only slow recent times and its best from 2018 wouldn't be good enough to win here and this might not be its favoured surface and a longer trip might suit it better so I have no idea why its a 5/1 shot. 

QAARAAT is my top-rated on just 2019/20 c/d times and deserves another win to its name and will be staying on resolutely at the finish especially if there's a fast early pace and the leaders fade nearing the finish 

SUPERSEDED is on a losing run of 10 races but it is in stall 2 which is ideal for a frontrunning type but will need to improve to hold on for the win. 

DAZACAM is on a losing run of 16 and the trainer has a poor 1-61 win record at this course and the jockey is 0-11 for this stable so one I will look to lay. 

CUBAN SPIRIT will be staying on at the finish over this distance, it hasn't run over this c/d before and its best Lingfield time would make it my top-rated but it is a risk backing it as I have no idea if it will like this c/d or not. 

RED ALLURE won over this c/d last time out but it was a slow run affair and that was the jockeys 1st win for this stable in 15 runs, it may stay on again here but I'm not sure it can be competitive if there's a fast early pace. 

ENCODED has only slow times over this c/d, it has a decent time from Newcastle on this surface but will it handle the bend as well the jockey's record of 0-8 for this stable may point to it struggling here. 

STOPDEWORLDNLETMEOF has only poor form to its name and its still a maiden after 26 previous attempts and 19 of those runs were on the AW tracks, so I would lay it but I'm pretty sure it will be a big outsider. 

SUMMARY: The plan with this race is to lay (Seneca Chief + Dazacam + Stopdworldnletmeof) for more than my stakes on the win bets on FAREEQ 8/1 who has got good trainer/jockey stats to make me think this horse has been found a good winning opportunity now back to this course and stall 1 is always a bonus and will be staying on strongly at the finish and QAARAAT 6/1 who is well weighted on its best form and has been running well recently and could get back to winning ways here, I have no choice other than to back them both.

Qaaraat 6/1 3rd 
Fareeq 12/1 5th 

Lay bets: Seneca Chief (+1pt) Dazacam (+1pt) Stopworldnletmeof (+1pt) 

Total +1pt

Total on Day +1pt