*SHESADABBER has poor form on the AW surfaces and I don't think this one suits it at all and one I would lay at 9/2.
HARD SOLUTION this one is versatile when it comes to racing tactics but here it might be trying to stay on at the finish and could possibly make the frame.
KRYSTALLITE has only slow times recently despite being a frontrunning type but its best time from 2018 could see it in the frame but I would lay it here 12/1.
TERRI RULES has slow c/d times to its name and this surface doesn't suit it so another one to lay especially at 4/1.
GEORGE THOMAS hasn't any form on this surface but has a decent time from Lingfield that would put it in the mix.
A GO GO its best time from 2019 isn't enough to make the frame but being a 3yo it could still improve.
SWELL SONG has the fastest c/d time from just 2020, in fact, its the only recorded time this year but would need to improve to win here but could make the frame.
INPENDENCE DAY has a slow time over this c/d from just 1 attempt, does it like the surface is the question, as it has a time from Chelmsford that would see it winning this race and its a possible frontrunner but too short at 10/3 to be of value.
EMPTY PROMISES has slow c/d times and poor form recently and still a maiden after 7 races so I will look to lay it but it is a 50/1 outsider.
CAPTAIN RYAN hasn't any recent c/d time but has a time from 2019 that makes it my top-rated here and maybe 2nd top overall, it's one run this year was quite poor but the 3rd horse in the race that could set the pace.
TEEPEE TIME 16/1 this will be the 5th horse I look to lay in this race as this surface doesn't seem to suit it if there's a fast early pace.
CONCLUSION: I've mentioned 5 in the race I would hope to lay, I will have to have a small covering bet on Independence Day who is a possible frontrunner and its time from Chelmsford would win the race but I am not 100% sure this surface suits so my bet will be CAPTAIN RYAN 18/1 (EW) who had its 1st run of the year about 3 weeks ago, its a possible pacesetter and in the make-up of this race it could get to the rails from stall 5 and its then capable of leading all the way plus its a horse that can return to winning ways without prior warning and at the price it has to be worth an each-way punt.
*NR
Captain Ryan 20/1 (EW) 2nd (+3pts) (Betfair Win 26 - Place 6.28)
Lay bets: Krystallite +1pt, Terri Rules +1pt, Empty Promises +1pt, Teepee Time +1pt
Total on the day: +7pts
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