2:25 Chelmsford Racing Tips (15th August)

CHELMSFORD 2.25 

AMMAYYA 11/2 hasn't any form over this distance on this surface to work with and looks as though this minimum distance is too short for it and with poor jockey, 1-18, stats i would look to lay this horse. 

CAPTAIN RYAN 9/4 is usually held up for a late run and comes out as my 2nd top rated on overall figures but hasn't raced over these conditions this year it also has good trainer/jockey stats so it looks like connections expect it to be winning this race.

HURRICANE ALERT 50/1 might be the one to put the pace to this race but hasn't shown much in its 3 course and distance runs this year and would need to improve on its best from 2019 to win this race plus it has poor trainer/jockey stats. 

KYLLUKEY 9/4 has only slow timed for its 2 runs this year over this distance and on this surface and would need to improve time wise from when it won over this course and distance in 2019 and the jockey booking doesn't look like a positive move. 

PRECIOUS PLUM 3/1 has a time from 2019 that would make it my top rating but it hasn't recorded a time since then and appears out of form with poorish jockey stats so it's one I will look to lay. 

TILSWORTH ROSE 7/1 has poor trainer/jockey stats and has been in poor form lately, the trainer is also 0-13 in the last 2 weeks while the horse is 0-19 on AW tracks so one I will look to lay.

CONCLUSION: It is a race where i could look to lay Tilsworth Rose 7/1 and Ammayya 11/2 in this race as both look to need further to show their best, i have negatives against every horse apart from CAPTAIN RYAN 9/4 who is also my top rated so has to be the one i back in the race, I expect it will be to the fore in the betting but I cannot oppose it.

Captain Ryan 11/4 6th -1pt 

Lay bets Tilsworth Rose -7pts, Ammayya +1pt

Total on the day -7pts

2:30 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (24th May)

WOLVERHAMPTON 2.30 

SUPER JULIUS 9/1 a possible pacesetter has to have some chance of winning this race, its 1 win and 2 places from its 3 previous c/d runs, trainers stat is 11% win ratio and the jockeys is 10%, has one time that would make it my 2nd top rated and top rated on justc/d times but that time might have been a fluke but even its next best time would put it in the mix.

HYBA 11/1 is making its handicap debut and it would have to improve dramatically on what its shown so far and those runs have been over this distance I would look to lay it but I expect it will be a double figure price. 

MO HENRY 5/1 the trainers stat is 0-6 at this course with their older horses and I had to go back to 2014 to find a time over this c/d and even then it was relatively slow, its times on good or better on turf have also been slow so i would look to lay this one if a single figure price. 

BLACKCURRENT 6/1 the jockey stats on this trainers horses is 4-10 which is very good, it has won twice from 20 AW runs but at this c/d it would need to improve time wise to win this race, but has no wins and 3 placed effort from 5 races, it could run okay so i would look to lay this one for the win part only. 

KING ROBERT 12/1 has had 5 runs over this c/d without producing a recorded speed figure but its best time from Kempton( a different surface) it would be my top rated but it doesn't appear to like this surface and could need further to shine so i would look to lay it if its of value to do so. 

BLUE VENTURE 8/1 another possible pacesetter but its not won any of its 12 AW races but has been placed twice, it may need this run for fitness so I will add it to my list of potential lays in this race if a single figure price. 

BACK FROM DUBAI 14/1 hasn't shown much and hasn't made the frame in any of its previous 8 races on AW tracks and i don't think this trip will suit it as I think it needs further to show its true worth. 

HARD SOLUTION 7/1 a versatile type when its comes to racing tactics and has got the stall 1 draw so could go from the front in this race, it has won over this c/d before and using its best time from 2020 it comes out my top rated on recent (2020/21) figures.

CAPTAIN RYAN 11/2 is another front running type and from stall 5 it should be able to gain a good prominent position from the off and if getting to the front could be hard to catch but I did have to go back to 2019 to find its best time, it has won 4 times over this c/d and I quite like the look of the jockey booking as its their 1st ride for the stable in the last 5 years. 

STONE PRINCESS 25/1 six runs on turf over this distance on good or good to firm going and it hasn't even made the frame, i expect it will be the rank outsider in the race. 

RAABEH 5/1 is still a maiden after 12 races with 10 of them being on the AW tracks, its 2 c/d runs haven't produced a recorded speed figure but it does have a good time from Newcastle which would put it in the mix but i think it might have been flattered when finishing 2nd last time out in a slow run race. 

SUMMARY: This isn't an easy race to analyse to a conclusion but I have found negatives against 8 of the 11 runners leaving me with just 3 possibles and I cannot split them so I will go with dutching 3 horses in this race and all 3 of them have been known to lead before and I think this race will be won by something to the fore in this race from the off, CAPTAIN RYAN 11/2 in stall 5, HARD SOLUTION 7/1 in stall 1 and SUPER JULIUS 9/1 in stall 10, which will lead I am not sure but as long as they don't cut each others throats by battling for the lead and then fading I cannot see the winner coming from off the pace.

Captain Ryan 16/1 1st +16pts (Betfair SP -) 

Hard Solution 14/1 4th -1pt

Super Julius 9/1 9th -1pt 

Total on the day: +14pts 

4:42 Chelmsford Racing Tips (24th October)

CHELMSFORD 4.42 Div I 

I have to admit this isn't a great race, only 4 of the 12 runners have a recorded time, there is a couple of horses that have been known to lead before so Mykindofsunshine or Edge Of The Bay could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead, I have the former marked down as a possible hidden danger and the latter is my 3rd top-rated, Leo Minor is my 2nd top-rated but the jockeys 0-13 record for the stable puts me off a bit so I will be backing CAPTAIN RYAN 10/3 who is usually held up for a late run so this race could be run to suit it and the jockey has a decent 17% win ratio for the stable on their older horses but I am a bit disappointed with its price so I'm hoping it might drift before the off. 

Captain Ryan 9/1 3rd (-1pt) 

Total: -1pt

CHELMSFORD 5.15 Div II

This 2nd division is by far the better division with 7 of the 11 having a recorded speed figure, I think Rocketeer from stall 2 could be the one to set the pace but I doubt it will do enough from the front to hold on for the win, Shepherds Purse, Indian Pursuit, Atyaaf, Awake In Asia and Illustrious Spirit all could go well and battle to fill the places, my money will be riding on AQUADABRA 15/2 who usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish it hasn't any previous c/d form but if it can reproduce its best time from Lingfield, the same surface and both are left-handed courses, over this distance, it would be winning a shade cosily here. 

Aquadabra 14/1 5th (-1pt)

Total: -1pt

CHELMSFORD 6.15 

I would look to lay (Nigel Nott) who may struggle to stay the distance in the make-up of this race with plenty of early pace, Champagne Supanova is a possible pacesetter and is my 2nd top-rated on just 2020 c/d times, MR WAGYU 12/1 is another possible pacesetter but hasn't any form on this surface but has a time from turf on good to firm ground that would give it every chance in this race so will be carrying some of my money as an each-way wager, Daschas has poor recent form but would go well if reproducing its best 2018 time, another I will back in this race is ENTHAAR 15/2 who has the fastest time from just this year which is always a positive and this one is versatile when it comes to racing tactics but maybe stall 13 isn't ideal if it wanted to lead but this one has a good 18% win ratio for the trainer her and the jockey have over 20% win ratio for this stable and that will make it my main bet in the race.

Mr Wagyu 20/1 9th (-2pt)

Enthaar 16/1 Unp (-1pt)

Total: -3pts

Total on the day: -5pts

5:50 Wolverhampton Racing Tips & Lay Bets (7th August)

WOLVERHAMPTON 5.50 

*SHESADABBER has poor form on the AW surfaces and I don't think this one suits it at all and one I would lay at 9/2.

HARD SOLUTION this one is versatile when it comes to racing tactics but here it might be trying to stay on at the finish and could possibly make the frame.

KRYSTALLITE has only slow times recently despite being a frontrunning type but its best time from 2018 could see it in the frame but I would lay it here 12/1.

TERRI RULES has slow c/d times to its name and this surface doesn't suit it so another one to lay especially at 4/1.

GEORGE THOMAS hasn't any form on this surface but has a decent time from Lingfield that would put it in the mix.

A GO GO its best time from 2019 isn't enough to make the frame but being a 3yo it could still improve.

SWELL SONG has the fastest c/d time from just 2020, in fact, its the only recorded time this year but would need to improve to win here but could make the frame.

INPENDENCE DAY has a slow time over this c/d from just 1 attempt, does it like the surface is the question, as it has a time from Chelmsford that would see it winning this race and its a possible frontrunner but too short at 10/3 to be of value.

EMPTY PROMISES has slow c/d times and poor form recently and still a maiden after 7 races so I will look to lay it but it is a 50/1 outsider. 

CAPTAIN RYAN hasn't any recent c/d time but has a time from 2019 that makes it my top-rated here and maybe 2nd top overall, it's one run this year was quite poor but the 3rd horse in the race that could set the pace. 

TEEPEE TIME 16/1 this will be the 5th horse I look to lay in this race as this surface doesn't seem to suit it if there's a fast early pace.

CONCLUSION: I've mentioned 5 in the race I would hope to lay, I will have to have a small covering bet on Independence Day who is a possible frontrunner and its time from Chelmsford would win the race but I am not 100% sure this surface suits so my bet will be CAPTAIN RYAN 18/1 (EW) who had its 1st run of the year about 3 weeks ago, its a possible pacesetter and in the make-up of this race it could get to the rails from stall 5 and its then capable of leading all the way plus its a horse that can return to winning ways without prior warning and at the price it has to be worth an each-way punt.

*NR

Captain Ryan 20/1 (EW) 2nd (+3pts) (Betfair Win 26 - Place 6.28)

Lay bets: Krystallite +1pt, Terri Rules +1pt, Empty Promises +1pt, Teepee Time +1pt

Total on the day: +7pts