COLONEL FRANK 7/2 has only slow times at this distance mainly due to the fact that this trip is too short for it to show its true form so not for me in this race.
SPIRITED GUEST 5/2 this one will be trying to stay on strongly at the finish but I think it might be too little too late and may not catch the pacesetters.
OUTRAGE 7/1 is one of the two possible pacesetters in this race, time wise it comes out joint third best but it may be setting the race up for a finishing type.
GRANDFATHERTOM 11/2 usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish, it comes out top rated on just 2020 times but 2nd top overall so should go well.
HAVEONEYERSELF 5/1 the other possible pacesetter and also the other joint 3rd top rated so again I doubt it can lead all the way.
CASE KEY 10/1 has relatively slow times and again mainly due to the fact that this distance seems too short for it to show its best form.
SHAMSHON 14/1 at first glance I looks out of form but it hasn't had its ideal conditions and today could be its day, the jockey has a good 17% win rate for this stable and its my top rated at the weights.
SUMMARY: So the two likely pacesetters are my joint third top rated so it should set the race up for a finisher, both Grandfathertom and SHAMSHON 14/1 fit the bill but I will go with my top rated and the jockey booking looks significant and now with ideal conditions it ought to get back to winning ways, its a shame there's only 7 runners else I would go each way at such a big price.
Shamshon 14/1 7th (-1pt)
Total on the day -1pt
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