3:35 Newcastle Racing Tips (12th January)

NEWCASTLE 3.35 

A class five dash with just 7 runners and 2 known front running types amongst them Another Angel is one of them but has been in woeful form recently and I expect it will be one of the outsiders in the betting so too big to be of value to lay but I could lay Idoapologise if its a single figure price as it needs to improve time wise and further seems to suit it better as its never won over today's distance. Ruggles has one good rating over this course and distance but that rating might have been a bit of a fluke maybe where it got towed along in a fast run race and a possible lay if of value to do so. Kraken Power has only 1 win to its name from 31 races and I'm not sure if it prefers a longer distance or a different surface to show its best so might be one of value to lay, I'm not sure what to expect from Wee Fat Mac so I can't back or lay this one. As for the winner of this race I'm looking towards MODULAR MAGIC 5/1 who is my 2nd top rated horse and also the other known front running type and with an easy lead it could lead all the way as I've rated it just 1lb below INDIAN SOUNDS 5/1 who seems to like tracking the leaders before staying on strongly nearing the finish and they both finished 4th last time out indicating a return to form was imminent. 

Modular Magic 5/1 2nd -1pt 

Indian Sound 5/1 7th -1pt 

Lay bet Kraken Power -2.75pts, Idoapologise +1pt 

Total -3.75pts

CHELMSFORD 5.30 

I hope all 8 runners take part in case I find an each way wager in the field, I will be looking to lay Suzi's Connoisseur if its a single figure price as it hasn't won a race since 2019 and it might need this run for fitness as its last run was just over a year ago. Dark Design looks the most likely one to set the pace to this race and as always if its allowed an easy lead it could prove very dangerous and could even win the race but ratings wise it needs to improve a good few spots, Company Minx is my 2nd top rated and usually likes to track the leaders so could go well and might be worthwhile looking at an each way bet. My money will be riding on SHAMSHON 3/1 as its my top rated and the trainer has a 25% win ratio in apprentice jockey races and can either be held up or track the leaders either way it should be staying on at the finish. 

Shamshon 3/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 7.00

A nice class 3 race over the minimum distance and as usual at this level a poor turnout of just 6 runners where 4 of them have been known to lead before so it should be a fast run race for the class. Papa Don't Preach and Double Dealing would both need to improve time wise to win this race and they are the 2 that are not known to front run so I doubt either will get into the race. Harb is my 4th top rated and needs to improve on the clock to win here, I've got joint 2nd top rated horses in Impeach and Atiyah but my top rated horse MISS NAY NEVER 8/11 has the stall 1 draw and I expect it to get away smartly and gain control on the rails and then prove too hard to catch in the closing stages its won its last 2 races and has been found the ideal opportunity to complete the hattrick in this race and its a course where the trainer has a 30% win ratio with their older horses and the jockeys strike rate is 18% when riding for the stable.

Miss Nay Never 5/4 1st +1.25pts

Total +1.25pts

Total on the day -3.5pts

3:45 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (5th January)

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.45 

A field of 8 for this class 5 dash where 5 of the runners have been known to lead before so it should be fast and furious for this class of race. Frisky 8/1 only produced a very low rating on its only run on an artificial surface and would need to improve a couple of pounds on its best turf rating to win this race and might need this run for fitness after 4 months off. Motawaazy 7/2 might prefer a longer distance so could get outpaced early in the race before staying on at the finish, Ooh Is It is 2nd best using Southwell times but drops to 4th using course and distance ratings. Ornate is 3rd best on Southwell ratings and joint top rated on course and distance rating but has the worst of the draw in stall 8 which could be its downfall in this race so I will be backing the other joint top rated in the shape of KIM WEXLER 3/1 who is another fast starter and if getting to the front should prove too hard to catch as its also my top rated using Southwell ratings. 

Kim Wexller 4/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 5.30 

Another race with 8 runners also another class 5 race but this one if for apprentice jockeys where they can carry their whips but are not allowed to use them, so its not just a case of analysing the race its also trying to work out if they can win without being urged by the jockeys whip (I will admit here that I haven't got a clue) the 2 known front running sorts, Magical Max and Winnetka, will both have to improve time wise to win this race, but I have a feeling that other jockeys will be given similar instructions to either lead or at least get a good prominent position so it could be a free for all in the early stages. I don't think Porfin 11/4 really stays the distance if there's a fast early pace so might be worth opposing here especially if its the favourite, Show Me A Sunset 15/2 might also struggle to stay with a fast early pace. My money will be riding on LILKIAN 7/1 as it usually races in midfield so wont be as keen as others to get a good prominent early position and from stall 8 it could slot in anywhere but my stake will be kept low because of the no whips rule. 

Lilkian 10/1 4th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

CHELMSFORD 6.30 

Typically there's a full house for this lowly class 6 stakes sprint where the highest rated horse on the official handicappers list is rated 50. The early pace could be set by Viewfromthestars 8/1 but it would need to improve a few spots to hold on even to make the frame, Tahonta 7/2 may need further as might Privilege, while Maybe Tonight 15/2 looks better over a shorter distance so I would look to lay one or more if they are single figure prices. Company Minx is my 5th top rated but there is only 4lbs between 5th and 2nd top rated, Jumira Bridge is my 4th top rated with Iesha and Delegate The Lady in joint 2nd top spot. My money will be riding on SHAMSHON 7/1 who started out as joint top rated but its apprentices 5lb claim moves it top spot and it has decent trainer/jockey stats with the stables older horses.

Shamshon 17/2 3rd -1pt 

Lay bets Viewfromthestars +1pt, Maybe Tonight +1pt, Tahonta +1pt 

Total +2pts

Total on the day 0pts

4:10 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (9th December)

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.10 Div I

Ten runners in this class 6 dash with 3 of them being known to lead before, there's 4 horses, Red Stripes, Pivoting, But You Said and Liberty Bay that look to have very little chance of winning this race and I expect will be outsiders. The top 4 in the weights, Our Louise 8/1, Munificent 3/1, Jack Ryan 3/1 and Waverly Star 6/1 all race as though a longer distance would suit them better, Rockley Point 20/1 is a possible pacesetter here and has the plum stall one draw which could help its cause but my money will be riding on TOPLIGHT 6/1 who can either race in midfield or be held up for a late run and if able to reproduce its best rating from 2021 it would be winning this race a shade cosily plus the jockey does quite well with an 18% win ratio for the stable on their older horses. 

Toplight 6/1 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.40 Div II

Ten runners again with again 3 of them having been known to lead before, if I'm right there's not many horses that could win this race, I expect Nellie French, Moveonup, Elf Rising and Miss Fernando to be outsiders in the betting and look to have virtually no chance of winning this race but never say never, I think the quartet of Eastern Star 8/1, The Gloaming 9/4, Embla 5/1 and Big Time Maybe 7/1 need a longer distance to show their best form. The top weight Ellie Piper 8/1 needs to improve time wise to win this race which leaves me with SHAMSHON 9/2 who seems to like this course and if it comes back to its best here even from stall 9 it could lead all the way. 

Shamshon 8/1 5th -1pt 

Total -1pt

SOUTHWELL 5.15 

NEVER DARK is drawn in stall 8 which isn't ideal for a front running type and needs to improve time wise to win this but won last time so is in good form. 

LIHOU would be my 3rd top rated if I used its best rating from 2021 at Wolverhampton but hasnt been in good form lately but is best drawn of the known front running types in this race.

JOSIES KID this 3yo can either be held up or track the leaders its stall 5 draw might not be too bad and its my 4th top rated. 

REIGNING PROFIT is a 3yo who will most likely race in midfield in this race and then its runs on strongly at the finish and comes out in 2nd top spot on my figures so maybe an each way bet. 

HUDDLETON MAC will be an outsider, it looked to need further when racing over 6 furlongs so why they have dropped it to 5 furlongs has baffled me. 

HIYA MAITE its racing style is to track the leaders and comes out in top spot on my figures and will likely have assistance from its stablemate to win this race. 

TRIPLE JAY usually likes to track the leaders but time wise it needs to improve to win this race and stall 9 isn't going to help its cause. 

JEAN'S MAITE my 5th top rated while stall 10 isn't great for a front running type it will ensure its a fast early pace to help its stablemates chances. 

MURBIH this 3yo who won last time out has been known to lead and stall 4 isn't a bad draw in this race but its time only just registered on my figures. 

PRIMO a 3yo who won last time out but it was a very slow time and didn't register on my figures, raised in class here but could be an improving youngster. 

SUMMARY: With four known front running types in this dash it should be fast and furious, I'm not sure I can see anything worthwhile to lay in this race. As for the winner my money will be riding on HIYA MAITE 11/2 who won last time out and seems to like a fast pace to aim at which it should get here where i expect its stablemate will ensure the pace is fast and from stall 7 it could get a good tow into the race if it follows its stablemate towards the rails, it has good trainer stats with a win ratio of 15% at this course over the last 5 years but since the switch to the Tapeta surface the win ratio climbs to 32%, the jockeys win ratio is 19% for the last 5 years but climbs to 28 for just the last year so everything points to connections expecting it to run a big race here.

Hiya Maite 11/2 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -3pts

3:25 Lingfield Racing Tips (30th November)

LINGFIELD 3.25 

HIT MAC 11/4 is making its handicap debut but will need to improve on what its shown so far to win this race and looks way to short in the betting in my opinion so maybe a lay.

MUNIFICENT 5/1 will be trying to stay on at the business end of the race and being my 3rd top rated it could possibly make the frame. 

WAVERLEY STAR this 3yo hasn't made the frame in any of its previous runs on an artificial surface and will be an outsider in this race. 

BIG TIME MAYBE 5/1 could quite easily be the one to set the pace to this race and is my 4th top rated so could do enough to make the frame here but I'm not 100% sure it can win the race. 

YOULLOVEMEWHENIWIN will need to be able to track the leaders here as it stays on at the finish but may need a longer distance to show its true worth. 

TOPLIGHT 12/1 can be held up at the rear or race in midfield and then stay on at the finish and is my 2nd top rated so could make the frame but hasn't been in good form lately hence the price. 

SHAMSHON 10/1 is more than capable of winning this race as its my top rated, the trainer and jockey both have decent strike rates and likes to track the leaders.

MAN ON A MISSION hasn't any form over this distance on this surface and may be better over further but being a 3yo it could still have some improvement to come. 

DUKE OF FIRENZE can either race in midfield or track the leaders but would need to improve time wise to win this race. 

PRIVELEGE has only poor surface form to its name and a longer distance would certainly help its cause. 

SUMMARY: If Big Time Maybe 5/1 sets the pace to the race as I expect it could go well and many of the others wont be able to become competitive if it sets the right pace, the betting will as usual be the deciding factor as to whether there's anything to lay or not in this race. SHAMSHON 10/1 (EW) might be an 11yo but its still capable at this level to win a race and has every chance here if it gets a clear run when it mounts its challenge and the price is just about value to back each way.

Shamshon 10/1 7th -2pts 

Lay bet Hit Mac +1pt 

Total on the day -1pt

7:00 Chemsford Racing Tips (8th November)

CHELMSFORD 7.00 

A 5 furlong dash where 5 of the 12 runners have been known to lead before but it sure looks a race to me where they will be setting it up for something coming from off the pace. Of the possible pacesetters the 3yo *Thank The Lord 13/2 could do best and could make the frame if others falter, I don't think it can hold on for the win so it might be worth laying the win part only. *Kerkyre Island 6/1 races as though further would suit it better so this race could well be run to suit it but it would still need to improve a few spots to hold on for the win unless allowed an easy lead which I very much doubt so might be worth laying if of value to do so. Enchanted Night 9/1 is still a maiden after 19 runs but has been known to record a good rating and should be trying to stay on at the finish. Lesha 9/2 is my 2nd top rated but its been 74 runners and 267 days since the stable last had a winner but it could feasibly still make the frames I don't do my ratings and data for places just the wins. My money will be riding on *SHAMSHON 8/1 who has been running ok lately and made the frame 2 runs ago when finishing 2nd and has been found an opportunity to go one better here and it has decent trainer/jockey stats making me think connections are expecting a big run in this race. 

*NR 

No bets

CHELMSFORD 8.30 

Another dash but this time with 9 runners but once again 5 of them have been known to lead before but this time I think it might be won from the front as my top 2 ratings are both possible pacesetters that's as long as they don't go off too fast and then fade badly nearing the finish. I have a feeling that this distance is a bit too short for Zim Baby 7/1 to how its true worth and might be worth laying if a single figure price, Jack The Truth 14/1 is my 3rd top rated but could do best of those coming from off the pace but I'm not sure if I could back it to win this race and its recent form has been quite poor so maybe not even worth the risk of backing it each way. The Defiant is capable of producing a good rating and is my 2nd top rated but this is a class 4 race and this runner has never won at this level before and if of value to do so might even be worth laying the win part. My money will be riding on LUCKY AVA 10/1 (EW) who is a front running type so stall 2 should be ideal and the apprentices 7lb claim makes it my top rated it is a course and distance winner although the stable isn't in the best of form recently i think it looks the value call in the race especially if its an each way price.

Lucky Ava 10/1 4th -2pts 

Total -2pts 

Total on the day -2pts

4:50 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (1st February)

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.50 

CREEK HARBOUR 5/1 I'm not sure if this one needs a shorter distance or a different surface, maybe even both and might be worth laying. 

STRIKE ME A POSE 9/2 hasn't won on the All-Weather tracks in its previous 5 attempts and needs to improve time wise and another perhaps to lay. 

TAHONTA 40/1 hasn't any form on this surface over this distance and might need a longer distance to show its true worth but I think it will be an outsider. 

ACES 9/1 its best time from 2021 over this course and distance would make it my second top rated and is usually held up for a late run. 

GRIGGY 13/2 can struggle at times if there's a really fast early pace for the class of race so this race could be run to suit it and is my 2nd top rated. 

GIGI'S BEACH 6/1 could be the one to set the pace to this race and is my 5th top rated so could be dangerous with an easy lead but being an amateur riders race I doubt that will happen.

HACHERT 8/1 comes out in top spot of my figures and usually runs on nearing the finish but the jockeys 0-2 is a little bit off-putting but it could go well. 

BIRDIE BOWERS 5/1 hasn't any form on this course and has only slow times from Newcastle over this distance and may be better when running over further so another one to possibly lay. 

FOOL PROOF 12/1 has only poor recent form and I expect it will be one of the outsiders in this race and will be a bit of a shock if it was to win. 

NOZIERES 50/1 has a time from Lingfield that would make it 5th top on my figures but its 3 runs on this surface have been poor and another outsider. 

TOP BOY 16/1 is a hold up type and I don't think this is its favourite surface although it comes out 4th top so could make the frame but iI doubt it will win.

DECONSO 20/1 has only poor recent form to its name and I expect it will be an outsider and a shock if this one wins. 

SUMMARY: If the betting makes them of value to lay I will do so with Creek Harbour, Birdie Bowers and Strike Me A Pose, as for the winner I have narrowed it down to three but in these amateur jockeys races are not ones to be betting too heavily in, Aces is 3rd top rated and a hold up type but could be worth an each way punt, Hachert comes out in top spot but if the jockeys 0-2 record means anything negatively it drops down to second top spot so I will be putting my pennies on GRIGGY 13/2 who is usually held up so may need some luck to get a clear run but does have good trainer stats of a 22% win ratio and the amateur rides is one from one for the stable so hope he keeps his one hundred percent record here. 

Griggy 10/1 4th -1pt 

Lay bets Strike Me A Pose -3.3, Creek Harbour +1pt, Birbie Bowers +1pt, 

Total -2.3pts

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.20 

SCALE FORCE 10/1 would need to improve time wise to win this race and I think that is because today's distance is a bit too short for it but I expect it to be an outsider but a lay if a single figure price.

AUTUMN TRAIL 9/1 hasn't been in great form on its latest runs but there were over two months ago but i think it will be an outsider but maybe worth laying if a single figure price.

NOT NOW ZEB 10/1 has a decent time from Lingfield that would make it my 2nd top rated but its 2 runs on Tapeta at Southwell were poor efforts so maybe this isn't its favoured surface and another possible lay if a single figure price. 

*CUBAN BREEZE 8/1 has been known to lead before but is the lowest rating of the 4 that like to lead and its poorly drawn in stall 10 so another to consider laying. 

EQUALLY FAST 16/1 if I go back to 2020 then this one comes out 5th top on just this surface ratings and might need this run for fitness after a 223 day break. 

BARE GRILLS 5/2 a possible pacesetter drawn in stall 3 and is my second top rated horse, it has good jockey stats and is 3-4 on an artificial surface so has to be respected. 

 SHAMSHON 7/1 my top rated drawn in stall 6 is another front running type and ran on nicely last time out to finish second and has a decent chance to go one better here. 

MICKS SPIRIT 6/1 this one comes out in joint third top rated on my Tapeta ratings and likes to track the leaders and could possibly make the frame but isn't really an each way price. 

AMASOVA 10/1 by going back to 2020 this is the other joint third top rated on my ratings but hasn't been near that level since that year and will either be an outsider or one to lay. 

NAGASAKI DREAM 12/1 would need to improve on its best rating mainly because this minimum distance seems too short for it and hasn't won a five furlong race. 

PAYMASTER 66/1 has only poor form to its name and will be the rank outsider unless someone knows something I don't about this one. 

SUMMARY: Firstly I will be looking to lay Equally Fast 16/1 (but not at that price) who may need this run for fitness and can struggle to stay with the pace if its a fast early pace which I expect here with 4 known front running types, my top rated is SHAMSHON 7/1 would have possibly been my only selection in this race after seeing the way it finished fast last time out admittedly ridden by an apprentice but the apprentice booked today is 0-11 for the stable which makes me wary, it will still carry some of my money but I will split my stakes and also be backing BARE GRILLS 5/2 who is my 2nd top rated,they are both front running types and if they don't go off too fast and fade then the rest will more than struggle to catch them.

*NR

Bare Grills 5/2 5th -1pt 

Shamshon 9/1 6th -1pt 

Lay bets Scale Force +1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -3.3pts

3:40 Lingfield Racing Tips (3rd January)

LINGFIELD 3.40

LOTHIAN has only recorded slow times in its 2 races over this course and distance mainly because I think it needs a longer distance to show its true worth, the trainer has a poor 6% win ratio at this course and the jockey is 0-9 for the stable, also the trainer is 0-9 in the last 2 weeks but not value at 18/1 to lay.

STRONG POWER this ones trainer does well at this course with 3-11 winners with the stables older horses but hes 0-11 in the last fortnight and would need to improve a few spots time wise to win this race and this horse hasn't shown much in its latest runs so maybe worth taking on at 3/1. 

MICK'S SPIRIT its been 36 days since the trainer last had a winner and a record of 1-33 with their older horses at this course and would need to improve time wise to win this race and stall 8 isn't going to help its cause so maybe another to lay at 3/1. 

SHAMSHON is my 2nd top rated on 2021 course and distance races and its best time from 2020 plus the apprentices 7lb claim moves it to top spot on my overall figures, the trainer is 4-10 in the last 2 weeks so has to be respected here.

FOR PEAT'S SAKE has average trainer stats but the jockey is only 1-13 on the stables older horses and has had 3 winners from 27 runners in the last two weeks, it is my second top rated on just 2021 course and distance times and could make the frame but 4/1 isn't an each way price. 

HEY HO LETS GO its been nearly 300 days since this stable last had a winner on the flat, the jockeys record is 0-8 for the stable but time wise it has the highest rating for just 2021 course and distance times and that's good enough for 3rd top overall rating and could make the frame. 

WINGS OF A DOVE could be the one to set the pace to this race but would need to be allowed a very easy lead to old on for the win but does have good trainer/jockey stats but its been 19 days since the stable last had a winner and I expect it to be an outsider. 

SHANGHAI ROCK this one might be a better prospect when racing over a longer distance and the trainer hasn't had a winner in the last 16 days from 11 runners and I expect it will be one of the outsiders in this race. 

TILSWORTH ROSE hasn't been in good form in its recent races but has got a good rating from early in 2020 which would see it being very competitive but the trainer hasn't had a winner from 28 runners in the last 37 days and the stables poor win ratio of 3% at this course puts me off its chances. 

SUMMARY: The most likely pacesetter has the stall 1 draw but I doubt Wings Of A Dove can win this race, most of the other runners usually track the leaders, Tilsworth Rose, Hey Ho Lets Go and For Peat's Sake all have pieces of form that would make them competitive in this race but my money will be riding on SHAMSHON 7/2 who is my top rated and if the apprentice jockey is worth the 7lb claim that could tip things in its favour, he has won won once from 4 rides for this stable and that win did come when riding an older horse from the stable.

Shamshon 14/1 5th -1pt

Lay bets Mick's Spirit +1pt

Total on the day 0pts 

4:40 Chelmsford Racing Tips (18th March)

CHELMSFORD 4.40 

A very strange race to analyse, Spirited Guest 9/2 I expect will be to the fore in the betting but I think it might need this run for fitness, if fully wound up it would have a decent chance of winning, so neither one I could back or lay, Wiley Post 5/1 may need further to shine, Ascot Jungle looks to be an outsider and maybe because this surface which doesn't seem/look to suit it, Stake Acclaim has a time from Lingfield which would make it my 2nd top rated, it seems to get towed along in a fast run race and record a good speed figure but is 0-12 on the AW tracks, Agent Shiftwell 5/1 is the only known front runner in the race but I'm not convinced it likes this surface, Camachess will be trying to stay on at the finish but maybe too late, Jumira Bridge 5/1 hasn't any recent c/d form but has a time from 2019 that would be good enough to win this race but is 0-4 on its previous c/d runs, Shamshon 3/1 produced a slow time only its only previous c/d run but has a positive jockey booking, I will go with splitting my stake between SHAMSHON 3/1 and JUMIRA BRIDGE 5/1 but my stakes will be kept low. 

Jumira Bridge 5/1 1st +5pts (Betfair SP - ) 

Shamshon 3/1 2nd -1pt 

Total +4pts

CHELMSFORD 5.55 

Only 7 runners here but a couple of known front runners, Second Collection comes out 2nd best on overall figures but its sole c/d run was run 11lbs below that time from Kempton, Healing Power 11/4 is a possible pacesetter in stall 2 but when it finished 2nd on its only c/d run it was a slow time so not really sure what to expect but I certainly couldn't back it at the price, Company Minx hasn't shown much recently and I expect it will be an outsider, Shoot To Kill is the other possible leader but its 2 runs over this c/d have only produced slow times, Blame Culture hasn't any c/d form and it may need a longer distance to show its best, Show Me A Sunset also hasn't any c/d form and this may be better over a shorter trip but it comes from one of the top stables and running here after winning last time out the trainer probably knows more than me about whether the horse can win this race, Excellent George has 3 wins and 5 places from 10 runs over this c/d and is my top rated, I will have a bet on EXCELLENT GEORGE 6/1 but my stake will be kept on the low side because the apprentice jockey is 0-5 when riding for today's stable. 

Excellent George 8/1 2nd -1pt 

Total on the day +3pts

2:25 Lingfield Racing Tips & Lay Bets (27th January)

LINGFIELD 2.25 

Only 6 runners and I will look to lay (Jackstar who may need further to show its best and Sir Oliver who may prefer a different surface) Real Estate and Wiley Post both need to improve time wise to win this race, Tin Hat who is one from one over this c/d and could improve but is my 2nd top rated using a 2020 time while INVINCIBLE LARNE 6/4 who is top rated using a time from Chelmsford also has a decent time already from this year over this c/d and if able to reproduce its Chelmsford time it would winning a shade cosily, as you probably know I hate backing favourites but with hopefully a few pounds in hand it will get back to winning ways. 

Invincible Larne 3/1 1st (+3pts) (Betfair SP 4.4) 

Lay bet: Jack Star +1pt, Sir Oliver +1pt

Total: +5pts

LINGFIELD 3.35 

Down to 5 runners for this race at least there is 2 pacesetters in the field, Outrage could try to lead but is my 4th top rated but it is very close between all of my top 4, Verne Castle is the other possible pacesetter and comes out 3rd best but only 2lbs below my top two, SHAMSHON 11/4 is joint top rated using a 2020 time and has a good time from 2021 showing its in good form, the other joint top rated is SAHEEQ 8/1 who recorded its time in 2020 and has run this month so should be fit enough to go well, it is being ridden by a 7lb claiming apprentice which moves it to top spot on its own but his record is 0-2 so not sure what to expect but is 0-3 on its previous c/d runs so i will go with backing them both. 

Saaheq 8/1 4th -1pt 

Shamshon 3/1 5th -1pt

Total -2pts

KEMPTON 7.50

Not a great race but hey ho a winner is a winner whatever the class of race, I hope all 8 run so I can go each way with my selection, I think the pace will be set by Kindly and Turanga Leela although I'm not sure this surface will suit the latter so Kindly could go well if allowed to set the pace, Chocco Star has a good time from 2019 but hasn't been near that level since although its not run over this c/d recently, Gold Brocade has only 1 previous c/d run resulting in a low speed figure, Napping could go well if in the mood but I will be taking a punt on SEPAHI 12/1 (EW) it has a relatively slow time to its name from 2020 but its good enough to be top rated on just recent, 2020/21 times, but has a time from Chelmsford last year that makes it top rated overall on recent times and looks value to be an each way punt.

Sepahi 12/1 4th (-2pts)

Total on the day:  +1pt

3:00 Yarmouth Racing Tips (15th September)

YARMOUTH 3.00 

COLONEL FRANK 7/2 has only slow times at this distance mainly due to the fact that this trip is too short for it to show its true form so not for me in this race. 

SPIRITED GUEST 5/2 this one will be trying to stay on strongly at the finish but I think it might be too little too late and may not catch the pacesetters. 

OUTRAGE 7/1 is one of the two possible pacesetters in this race, time wise it comes out joint third best but it may be setting the race up for a finishing type.

GRANDFATHERTOM 11/2 usually likes to track the leaders and then stay on strongly at the finish, it comes out top rated on just 2020 times but 2nd top overall so should go well. 

HAVEONEYERSELF 5/1 the other possible pacesetter and also the other joint 3rd top rated so again I doubt it can lead all the way.

CASE KEY 10/1 has relatively slow times and again mainly due to the fact that this distance seems too short for it to show its best form.

SHAMSHON 14/1 at first glance I looks out of form but it hasn't had its ideal conditions and today could be its day, the jockey has a good 17% win rate for this stable and its my top rated at the weights. 

SUMMARY: So the two likely pacesetters are my joint third top rated so it should set the race up for a finisher, both Grandfathertom and SHAMSHON 14/1 fit the bill but I will go with my top rated and the jockey booking looks significant and now with ideal conditions it ought to get back to winning ways, its a shame there's only 7 runners else I would go each way at such a big price.

Shamshon 14/1 7th (-1pt)

Total on the day -1pt