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Sunday 13 September 2020

3:55 Lingfield Racing Tips (14th September)


This looks a poor race in the fact that those that have good speed figures are not in the best of form or vice versa, there's nothing I could really lay with any confidence but there is 3 horses that have pieces of form that are a few spots higher than the rest of the field but which one of the 3 will win I'm not sure, Swell Song has a time from 2019 that makes it my 2nd top rated but the trainers 1-29 record and the jockeys 0-3 doesn't inspire confidence so maybe its waiting for another target, Katherine Place is 2nd top on just 2020 times and 3rd best overall but the trainer is 0-14 at this course which once again is a little off-putting, I have no option other than to side with THEGREYTRAIN 7/2 who is one of only 2 known front running types in the race and I''m hoping it can lead all the way here. 

Thegreytrain 7/2 2nd (-1pts)

Total: -1pt

BATH 4.35 

This looks a nice class 4 affair with 9 runners, I will look to lay (So Sharp unless theres some strong support for it as I think it might need further to shine and Union Rose who won for me last time out but I'm not sure it will handle this rise in class) Coronation Cottage could be added to the lay list because of the class factor but it looks to be an outsider so probably no value in laying it, Top Breeze, Thegreatestshowman and Star Prize could run well but I'm hoping that DILIGENT LADY 9/2 can get to the front and stay there for the duration of the race and it has good trainer and jockey stats making me think connections are expecting a big run here. 

Diligent Lady 9/2 7th (-1pt) 

Total -1pt 

BATH 5.10

If the tissue prices are to be believed then I could lay (Illustrious Spirit + Bold Decision + A Go Go + Shani + Amberine) who are all priced 8/1 or under which looks to be the value cutoff point in this race, Jaganory is my 3rd top rated and a possible pacesetter and Stopdwortlnletmeoff my 2nd top rated could do best of those racing from off the pace but for the 3rd race today, so going for the hattrick of front runners, I'm hoping that ARCHIMEDES 16/1 can get to the front and lead all the way but at the price available I will be backing it each way. 

Archimedes 16/1 7th (-2pt)

Total -2pts


I'm going for the full house today, Kath's Lustre and Hard Solution are just outside my top 3 ratings, using 2019 times Ustath is 3rd top and Awsaaf 2nd top so they could make the frame, Precious Plum is joint top on just 2020 times but the figure isn't good enough to make the frame but it is one of 2 known front running types in the race but it might not be able to do enough to hold on for a place as the other front runner is YOU'RE COOL 15/2 who is joint top rated on just 2020 times but its best time from 2019 would see it winning cosily plus this is an easier race than its been racing in recently and hopefully I've found the 4th horse that will lead all the way for the full house.

You're Cool 10/1 8th (-1pt)

Total on the day  -5pts

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