Only 9 runners in this very competitive class 4 race which is very hard to analyse as there isn't any known front running types in the race, yes something will have to set the pace but what I have no idea so any stakes will be kept low, Little Boy Blue is top rated using its best 2019 time and looks likely to need this run for fitness after a break which it usually needs, my money will be riding on BEYOND EQUAL 11/1 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on resolutely at the finish, it is my 2nd top rated overall but top rated on just 2020 times and has good trainer 18% and jockey 15% stats with the stables older horses so may be worth an each way punt at the double figure price.
Beyond Equal 11/1 5th (-1pt)
Total -1pt
NEWCASTLE 8.50
There's a few lightly raced sorts in this race which tempers my confidence and the size of my bets, I will look to lay (Jet Set Go 5/1 who might need further to show its best and Undercover Brother 5/1 who might not favour this surface) Archimedes is one of 3 that may attempt to set the pace here and its my 3rd top rated overall on a 2019 time, Fair Alibi is my 3rd top rated overall but is top rated on just 2020 times and could do best of those coming from off the pace, my top rated is LORD OF THE GLEN 7/1 who ran well last time out when finishing 2nd at Wolverhampton proving its in good heart at this time that running being only 6 days ago and if able to reproduce its best c/d time of 2019 it would get back to winning ways.
Lord Of The Glen 10/1 1st (+10pts)
Lay bets: Jet Set Go +1pt, Undercover Brother +1pt
Total: +12pts
Total on the day: +11pts
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