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Tuesday, 8 September 2020

4:00 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (9th September)


WOLVERHAMPTON 4.00 Div I 

Not too bad of a race for a class 6 affair, I will start with a couple of lays (Tilsworth Rose+Teepee Time) the early pace could come via Thegreyvtrain and A Go Go who are my 4th and 5th top rated, 2nd top rated on just 2020 times and 3rd top overall is Swell Song who usually likes to track the pacesetters, Kibaar comes out 2nd best using a Newcastle time from 2019 while its sole run over this c/d resulted in a slow time, this horse has been well handicapped for awhile now and this time with a 7lb claiming apprentice taking the ride who has a 9% win ratio on the stables older horses so I will give QAARAAT 3/1 one more chance to prove its worth as this does look the easiest chance of all of its recent runs. 

Qaaraat 3/1 3rd (-1pt)

Lay bets: Tilsworth Rose +1pt, Teepee Time +1pt

Total: +1pt

KEMPTON 4.05

There's not much data to work with in this sprint and with four 3yo’s I was going to leave the race alone but I persevered and something came to light that might have put me on the right path but I will only be having a small each way bet if its *eight to one or bigger and that horse is URBAN HIGHWAY 12/1 (*EW) who can be held up or track the leaders and the 5lb claiming apprentice jockey could swing things in its favour and the jockette has a 24% win rate on this stables older horses so I'm hoping that's a good omen for this race. 

Urban Highway 12/1 8th (-2pts)

Total -2pts 

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.35 Div II 

This is a poor race where i have only got 3 with recorded speed figures and they are all in the lower echelons of my ratings which doesn't inspire confidence, I will look to lay a couple of the runners (Smokey + Secret Identity) they are both 3yo’s, the 1st one may need further to show its best while the latter is still a maiden after 11 runs and only produced a slow time over this c/d, Independence Day is 3rd top overall using a Newcastle time, the top weight Lady Florence is 2nd top using a Lingfield time so I'm not even sure it will like this surface but top my top rated is RED ALLURE 12/1 (EW) again using a Newcastle time and a reproduction of it here would see it winning this race but the time when it won over this c/d before was a slow run affair, its got the plum stall 1 draw in its favour and I will back it if an each way price.

Red Allure 12/1 EW +14.4pts Betfair SP (to be updated)

Lay bets: Smokey +1pt, Secret Identity +1pt 

Total: +16.4pts

Total on the day: +15.4pts 
  

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