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Friday, 4 September 2020

5:30 Kempton Racing Tips & Lay Bets (5th September)

KEMPTON 5.30 

I can find negatives against 5 of the 9 runners so I will look to lay (Redemptive who looks poor value at 9/4 and may want further and the same applies to The Lamplighter 10/3) the others I think will be outsiders in the betting, Cappananty Con could set the pace here but is only 3rd top rated on my figures but could do enough to make the frame, I cannot split my final 2 horses, GRIGGY 8/1 is top rated on c/d times and has good trainer/jockey stats so has to have a good chance but if JOHNNY REB 14/1 can reproduce its best time from Chelmsford it would win this race and also has good trainer stats and the jockey is 1-6 on the stables older horses but it has run once on this surface which resulted in a slow time so I'm not really sure what to expect but I have to cover the angles. 

WOLVERHAMPTON 7.30 

Not a great race where I've only got a speed rating for 6 of the 13 runners and I will look to lay (Q Twenty Boy 6/1 and Elzaams Dream 15/2, the first one might find it too far with a fast early pace and the 2nd one might not like this surface) others that could go well in this race are, Kilconquhar but it hasn't been in good form so far this year and the same applies to Di Matteo, Bernies Boy hasn't shown much time-wise since 2018 but is taking on lower class opponents in this race, i have only found 2 horses that are known as front-running types and they are the pair I will be backing, QUAINT 6/1 is a 3yo so could improve further and does have the fastest c/d time from just 2020 which is always a positive but PEACHEY CARNEHAN 16/1 is better drawn and the jockey does have a 19% win rate for this stable and has times from both 2019 and 2018 that would make it my top rated.

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