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Wednesday, 23 September 2020

7:00 Kempton Racing Tips & Lay Bets (24th September)


KEMPTON 7.00 

PERSUASION 10/1 I think this 3yo may need a longer trip to show its best.

TOTAL COMMITMENT 9/1 hasn't any course form for 2020 and its best time from 2019 would only make it my 4th top rated.

LANCELOT DU LAC 5/1 this ones last win was in 2018 but has a time from 2019 that would make it my 3rd top rated so it could make the frame.

ALJAADEL 5/1 has only a slow time over this c/d on its only try and I'm not sure this surface will suit it so one i will look to lay at such a relatively short price.

CONCIERGE 5/1 is usually held up for a late run and is at the top on my speed figures which was recorded this year before the lockdown and has run well the last twice on turf. 

TYPHOON TEN 5/1 hasn't any recent c/d form to look at and its best from 2018 wouldn't put it in my top 4. 

MUBAALEGH 8/1 hasn't run on the AW before and has only poor form so far this year and another that might not like this surface.

SAAHEQ 20/1 has a time from this year which wouldn't see it make the frame and its best form has come at a shorter distance and is a big outsider in the race.

PHUKET POWER14/1 hasn't any c/d form to its name but is versatile when it comes to racing tactics and could be a danger if allowed an easy lead but that's a big if but does have stall one. 

MOUNT MOGAN 11/2 is my 2nd top rated and its time was recorded this year but that was in a class 4 affair but it has earned the right to take on these higher level opponents.

SUMMARY: Its always hard to predict what will happen when you don't know what will lead but I will stick with my top rated and back CONCIERGE 5/1 who will be held up for a late run, I will also look to lay (Alaadel + Mubaalegh) at single figure prices.

Concierge 16/1 Unp (-1pt)

Lay bets: Alaadel +1pt, Mutaalegh +1pt

Total on the day: +1pt

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