7:00 Kempton Racing Tips & Lay Bets (24th September)

KEMPTON 7.00 

PERSUASION 10/1 I think this 3yo may need a longer trip to show its best.

TOTAL COMMITMENT 9/1 hasn't any course form for 2020 and its best time from 2019 would only make it my 4th top rated.

LANCELOT DU LAC 5/1 this ones last win was in 2018 but has a time from 2019 that would make it my 3rd top rated so it could make the frame.

ALJAADEL 5/1 has only a slow time over this c/d on its only try and I'm not sure this surface will suit it so one i will look to lay at such a relatively short price.

CONCIERGE 5/1 is usually held up for a late run and is at the top on my speed figures which was recorded this year before the lockdown and has run well the last twice on turf. 

TYPHOON TEN 5/1 hasn't any recent c/d form to look at and its best from 2018 wouldn't put it in my top 4. 

MUBAALEGH 8/1 hasn't run on the AW before and has only poor form so far this year and another that might not like this surface.

SAAHEQ 20/1 has a time from this year which wouldn't see it make the frame and its best form has come at a shorter distance and is a big outsider in the race.

PHUKET POWER14/1 hasn't any c/d form to its name but is versatile when it comes to racing tactics and could be a danger if allowed an easy lead but that's a big if but does have stall one. 

MOUNT MOGAN 11/2 is my 2nd top rated and its time was recorded this year but that was in a class 4 affair but it has earned the right to take on these higher level opponents.

SUMMARY: Its always hard to predict what will happen when you don't know what will lead but I will stick with my top rated and back CONCIERGE 5/1 who will be held up for a late run, I will also look to lay (Alaadel + Mubaalegh) at single figure prices.

Concierge 16/1 Unp (-1pt)

Lay bets: Alaadel +1pt, Mutaalegh +1pt

Total on the day: +1pt

3:55 Bath Racing Tips (19th August)

BATH 3.55 

PLEASE CHECK THE GOING AT BOTH MEETINGS BEFORE BETTING - NO BET SOFT GOING. 

Only 7 runners and I have got big negatives against most of them so this race will be a process of elimination, the bottom 3 all look outclassed in this race but Coronation Cottage is the likely pacesetter and may try to steal the race from the front if allowed an easy lead, the two 3yo’s also have negatives, which leaves me with 2 that could win, the topweight would need to improve timewise to win if the going is good or firmer so I have to back CONCIERGE 8/1 who has been racing in higher class affairs than this race and the trainer has a good record at this course. 

No Bet (soft ground)

YORK 4.20

With just over half the field being 3yo’s this race could take some analysing, I would lay 3 horses if the going is good to firm (Keep Busy + Maygold + Mighty Spirit) so please look at the going before laying any of them, I can see 3 that have been known to lead before so it should be a true run race, I can a few horses that could run well in this race, Sampers Seven who will be near the fore from the onset, Free Love who is 3rd top on just 2020 times and 2nd top using its best 2019 time so it could be thereabouts at the finish, my money will be riding on *ELECTRIC LADYLAND 18/1 (EW) who won the time before last in a very fast time at Windsor on good to firm ground then finished 4th on officially good ground at Goodwood and the think the undulations and camber at that course didnt really suit it should go much better on this more level surface and the jockey has a decent strike rate for the stable, at the price it has to be an each-way wager.

*NR