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Friday, 25 September 2020

8:15 Chelmsford Racing Tip & Lay Bets (26th September)


BERNIE'S BOY 11/1 usually likes to track the leaders and then run on at the finish, it is my 2nd top rated using just this years times so could make the frame.

GHEPARDO 12/1 can either be held up for a late run or track the leaders and then stay on at the finish, it looks to be an outsider and will need to improve on its best time which came on this surface at Lingfield.

AWSAAF 20/1 will probably be a big outsider in this race and it might need a longer distance to show its true worth.

JORVIK PRINCE 5/1 is the only known front runner in the field and stall 2 should be ideal for it, it top rated on just 2020 times and has a 6lb better time from 2019.

WILD FLOWER 9/4 I think this distance is too short for this entrant and it would be one I would look to lay in the race especially at such a short price.

MIAELLA 4/1 hasn't any c/d form to its name but its best time from Lingfield would put it in the mix but that time did come from 2019 and may be better over further or on a slower surface.

SWELL SONG 3/1 has only 1 slow time at Kempton over this distance and trawling through its form this surface may not suit it and another I would look to lay at the price.

AWAKE IN ASIA 14/1 has only poor form recently but does have a good time from Lingfield but might be a better bet over a longer trip.

ILLEGITIMATE GAINS 50/1 hasn't shown much at all so far and I expect it will be the biggest outsider in the field.

SUMMARY: It looks like everywhere on turf will have soft ground so this is the only sprint I've worked on, I would look to lay (Wild Flower 9/4 + Swell Song 3/1) but my money will be riding on JORVIK PRINCE 5/1 hoping from stall 2 it can get the lead and control of the rails and from there lead all the way.

Jorvik Prince 5/1 2nd (-1pt)

Lay bets: Wild Flower +1pt, Swell Song +1pt 

Total on the day: +1pt

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