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Friday 27 November 2020

4:00 Wolverhampton Racing Tips (28th November)

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.00 5f Class 4 

CHARMING KID 10/3...(86 Newcastle 5f-2020)(track the leaders or set the pace)(trainer 15% win ratio-jockey 7%)(1 win..3 places..9 runs AW) no c/d form. 

THE DALEY EXPRESS 7/1...(62c/d 2020..77c/d 2019)(either held up or tracks the leaders)(trainer 10% win ratio-jockey 0-9) (1 win..2 places..12 runs AW). 

PRINCE OF ROME 6/1...(54c/d 2020..66c/d 2019)(versatile racing tactics)(trainer 5%-jockey 8%) (3 wins..7 places..16 runs AW). 

LINE OF REASON 9/1...(no recent c/d form....74 Newcastle 5f-2019)(a hold up type) (trainer 5%.. Jockey 1-8)(2 wins..2 places..12 runs AW). 

HEER WE GO AGAIN 9/2... 3yo..(71c/d 2020)(versatile type)(trainer 11% - jockey 13%..apprentice claiming 7lb) (1 win..3 places..12 runs AW). 

TANASOQ 12/1...(poor form and slow times recently c/d but only 1 run..80 Newcastle 2018)(chases the leaders)(trainer 5%--jockey 1-4) (0 wins..1 place.. 5 runs AW) may prefer further.

DUKE OF FIRENZE 10/1...(58 c/d 2020)(either cheese the leaders or runs in midfield)(trainer 5%..jockey 0-9) (0 wins..2 plces..4 runs AW). 

ANOTHER ANGEL 14/1...(slow c/d times recently..67c/d 2019)(set or contest the lead)(trainer 11%..jockey 17% on older horses)(7 wins..8 places..25 runs AW). 

MUTABAAHY 12/1...(65c/d 2020..82c/d 2019)(usually chases the pace setters)(trainer 11%..jockey.. 11%) (5 wins..6 places..25 runs). 

KICK ON KICK ON 10/1...(72c/d 2020)(is either held up or tracks the leaders)(trainer 13%..jockey 22%) (0 wins..0 places..4 runs). 

HARD SOLUTION 10/1...(75c/d 2020)(versatile tactics but does run on...maybe not up to this class of race)(trainer 12%..jockey debut for stable on AW) (1 win..1 place..12 runs). 

SUMMARY: I decided to show how much work I put into each race, all the above is what I call the groundwork, the next part which I call the “make-up” of the race is how, (if they all stick to their usual running styles) I expect the race to pan out which is never easy and soon upsets all my analysis especially if something unexpected decides to race from the front, as we know they are animals not machines so there's never any guarantees. There is a couple I would look to lay, Tanasoq and Hard Solution, if they are short enough in price to be of value to lay but i doubt they will be, it is very competitive at the top of my figures so I will be backing 2 of them firstly i have to back KICK ON KICK ON 10/1 who is my top rated on just 2020 c/d times but its 0-4 record on the AW is a little bit off-putting but this is its favoured c/d from that limited amount of data, the other horse i will be backing is CHARMING KID 10/3 because this one has what I hope is a positive jockey booking and its best time from Newcastle makes it my top rated plus if it does get to the front it could prove to catch. 

Kick On Kick On 10/1 2nd (-1pt) Charming Kid 8/1 Unp (-1pt) 

Lay bets: Tanasoq +1pt, Hard Solution +1pt 

Total on the day: 0pts

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