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Friday 6 November 2020

7:30 Chelmsford Racing Tips (7th November)


MARTINEO 11/2 if this ones best time from Newcastle could be relied upon it could make the frame but its best c/d time from 2019 would see it just outside my top four.

GOLD BROCADE 6/1 has a slow time over this c/d and its best times from elsewhere wouldn't see this one in the mix so maybe one to lay at the price.

BIG IMPACT 16/1 this 3yo has a time from Southwell that is relatively slow but this is its first run on this surface so it could improve for the switch of surfaces.

INVINCIBLE LARNE 6/1 is my top rated on a time recorded earlier this year but the jockey is 0-6 when riding the stables older horses.

INAAM 6/1 hasn't shown anything worthwhile so far this year and its best times from Kempton last year would see it fall short so maybe worth laying at the price.

EXCELLENT GEORGE 7/1 this one has a good jockey booking but the stable has 2 in the race it is 3rd best overall and 2nd top on 2020 c/d times but stall 14 is a bit of a worry.

LETHAL ANGEL 9/1 this one is the other stablemate and its best time this year is only 4th best but will be trying to stay on at the finish but time-wise maybe a bit too late. 

KATHS LUSTRE 5/1 this one is my 3rd best on 2020 c/d times, it likes to track the leaders and then stay on at the finish and could make the frame but isn't an each way price.

EQUIPPED 10/1 this ones best time from Lingfield would leave it short of winning and looks as though further would suit it better but would need to be a bit shorter in price before i would lay it.

KING ROBERT 16/1 this seven year old seems to be on the decline and its best from 2019 would see it just outside my top four ratings and looks better over shorter.

THOUGHTFULLY 40/1 hasn't any worthwhile form to its name and i expect it to be one of the big outsiders in the field.

LAPSES LINGUAE 28/1 this is a 3yo but its form isn't very good and i think it will be another big outsider in this race.

PULL HARDER CON 14/1 is 0-6 on the AW tracks and has only slow times over this distance and wont be fancied in the betting.

COOL STRUTTER 22/1 this one hasn't shown much time-wise for quite a while now and has only 1 win from 28 races on the AW courses 

CONCLUSION: I could lay Cool Strutter, Inaam, Equipped and King Robert if they represented value but maybe only Inaam will fall into that category, this race looks a bit devoid of much early pace which always makes things harder to analyse, Martineo,Excellent George, Lethal Angel and Kaths Lustre have snippets of form that could see them run a good race but my money will be riding on INVINCIBLE LARNE 6/1 who is my top rated, in September at York it made the running and got beaten by less than 2 lengths and in this race if it gets to the front from stall 4 it could prove hard to catch.

Invincible Larne 6/1 1st (+6pts)

Total on the day: +6pts

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