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Wednesday, 30 December 2020

12:25 Lingfield Racing Tips (31st December)

LINGFIELD 12.25 

Only 5 runners for this class 4 dash at least there is a couple that should make sure there's a good fast early pace, maybe Charming Kid can take full advantage of its stall 1 draw and being my joint 2nd top rated it could prove hard to catch if allowed an easy lead, Recon Mission has been known to lead before but its best time from Kempton wouldn't be enough to win this race and may need further to show its true worth, Chairmanic is another that might need further before it shines, Thegreatestshowman is my other joint 2nd top rated so should be staying on at the finish but my money will be riding on SAAHEQ 4/1 who should be staying on strongly at the finish, at first glance it looks to be out of form but its last two runs have been in fast run affairs and a repeat of those times would be enough to get it back to winning ways. 

Saaheq 6/1 3rd -1pt

Total: -1pt

LINGFIELD 3.35 

There is five 3yo’s in this field of 11 runners and to tell the truth this race won't take much winning, there is only 2 horses that have recorded fast enough times to register in 2020 those being AGUEROOO 9/1 who is 2nd top rated and COMEATCHOO 10/3 who is top rated on just 2020 c/d times but this ones jockey record of 0-16 on the stables 3yo’s is a little off-putting, the top weight COME ON GIRL 4/1 is top rated overall using its best time which was recorded at Chelmsford this year and should be my main selection but the jockeys 0-8 record for the stable does temper my confidence, I will back all 3 selections, there isn't much value in doing so but i cannot see any other options. 

NEWCASTLE 3.50 

This is quite a competitive race for a class 6 affair but there isn't any natural front runner in the race although Leo Minor who hasn't been in the best of form lately has led when nothing else wants to so maybe it will try again here and could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead but what usually happens is that trainers see the lack of pace and then instruct their horses to set the pace and then several can try the same thing and then none of then gain an advantage, there is a few I would look to lay if they are of value to do so but i will be taking a punt on FAIR ALIBI 14/1 (EW) in this race who hasn't been at its best lately but hopefully it can track the pacesetter in this race and then stay on resolutely at the finish and get back to winning ways and the price is big enough to back it each way. 

Fair Alibi 14/1 Unp -2pt

Total on the day: -3pts

HAPPY NEW YEAR

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