2:50 Lingfield Racing Tips (9th May)

LINGFIELD 2.50 

There's 8 runners for this class 5 sprint and half of them have been known to lead before so probably a fast and furious early pace which might suit the horse I'm going to back. I'm not sure if there's anything I could confidently put forward as a lay bet in this race but the betting might change that thought, Impeach should ensure the early pace is fast as its my 4th top rated in this race but Pablo Del Pueblo is drawn better in stall 1 and this one is my joint 2nd top rated so it could set the pace and have control of the rails which is always a useful combination, Kensington Agent is the other joint 2nd top rated horse but this ones best rating came on the Tapeta surface at Wolverhampton and its best Polytrack rating isn't near to that level so it may struggle here but I know PORFIN 7/1 likes a fast pace to aim at and this race could be run to suit it perfectly and the 7lb the apprentice jockey claims should enhance its chances even further. 

Porfin 15/2 7th -1pt

Total -1pt

NEWCASTLE 7.45 

A field of 10 for this class 5 dash with possibly 2 front running types but one of them Caribbean Sunset has been leading over longer distance races so if getting to the front would have the stamina to win this race but it could also get outpaced over this distance and then might struggle to catch the leaders in time for the victory so I couldn't back or lay this one. Jarvis is the other known front runner and could be dangerous if allowed an easy time at the front of the field but hasn't any English form, its been running in Ireland, so I'm not sure what it has achieved so another I'm unsure about and I couldn't back or lay this one also. Princess Karine and Elzaal are my joint 3rd top rated horses, the former likes to track the leaders before staying on at the finish while the latter can race in midfield or be held up for a late run and will be running on at the finish. Yaahobby races as though a longer distance would suit it better and will be trying to run on at the finish and being my 2nd top rated it could make the frame but my money will be riding on my top rated horse SAAHEQ 9/2 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and the booked jockey does have a 20% win ratio on the stables older horses. 

Saaheq 8/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

Total on the day -2pts

3:00 Lingfield Racing Tips (6th July)

LINGFIELD 3.00 

A class 5 handicap on the Polytrack surface with 3 known front running types amongst the 8 entrants, I'm not sure if I can find anything of value to lay so lets look for the winner. The Defiant is one of the possible pacesetters and comes out 4th best on my figures, in third top spot sits Sir Rodneyredblood who likes to stay on at the finish and could make the frame, the top weight Wings Of A Dove is my 2nd top rated and another that has been known to lead before and could be hard to pass for most of these but I do have SAAHEQ 14/1 rated higher by 3lbs and to be honest it hasn't shown much so far this year in its 3 runs but is capable of bouncing back to form without warning and hopefully it will be an each way price for this race. 

Saaheq 28/1 1st +33.6pts (Excellent work from the Sprint King)

Total +33.6pts

YARMOUTH 4.40 

Only 6 runners with 2 known front runners, I'm not keen on laying 3yo’s but Thakrah races as though it will do better when tried over a longer distance so might be worth the risk if of value to lay, the top weight Amor De Mi Vida 2/1 could do best of those coming from off the pace being my third top rated but my top 2 ratings are both front running types, Aish 6/1 comes out 2nd best but if the ground is good to firm then i will be backing PRETTY SHIFTWELL and a repeat of its best speed figure would see it winning this race a shade cosily. 

Pretty Shiftwell 9/1 3rd -1pt 

Total -1pt 

BATH 6.35 

A field of 8 for this class 4 race with 3 known front running types so it should be a true run affair especially as Symbol Of Hope 5/2 and Under Curfew 8/1 are my 3rd and 2nd top rated so many horses might not be able to get involved in this race, Majeski Man 13/2 hasn't won at this distance before and I doubt that will change here as it seems to like further so one I will look to lay, my money will be riding on AUTUMN FLIGHT 9/1 who is usually held up for a late run and is dropped in class to run in this race and hopefully that will rejuvenate after its 2 runs so far this year have been quite poor but it has won before without giving prior warning of coming back to form. 

Autumn Flight 16/1 7th -1pt 

Total -1pt 

BATH 7.05 

Not a bad race for a class 6 affair and there's a couple of known front running types amongst them, firstly i will look to lay *Nigg Bay 6/1 who is forecast to be five to one and that looks poor value for a horse that needs a longer distance to show its best form, Silver Diva 12/1 could make the frame if it can reproduce its best rating from 2021 but is been a few spots below that level so far this year, Andre Amar 6/1 is my 2nd top rated and it recorded its best rating over this course and distance this year but UBAHHA 9/4 is rated 2lbs better plus its one of the 2 possible pacesetters in this race so if getting to the front it should prove hard to catch.

Ubahha 9/4 2nd -1pt 

Total -1pt

Total on the day  30.6pts

1:00 Sandown Racing Tips (22nd July)

SANDOWN 1.00 

This is an 8 runner race and I hope all run so I can go with an each way wager, there is 3 known front running types so it should be a fast run 5 furlong dash, I might lay Libertine Belle as it may need further but its sometimes risky laying a 3yo especially if its backed so the betting will be my guide whether to lay it or not, Spurofthemoment also may need further so maybe another one to lay, as for the winner I will probably dutch four horses, SAAHEQ 10/1, BUY ME BACK 11/4, SPRING BLOOM 11/2, UNION ROSE 28/1, in this race and I will probably have another each way bet on the latter who is my top rated using a time from 2020 at Bath and its time from just 2021 puts it in 3rd top spot so it ought to have a chance of at least making the frame and looks the value call in the race. 

Buy Me Back 9/2 2nd -1pt 

Spring Bloom 11/2 3rd -1pt

Saaheq 10/1 4th -1pt 

Union Rose 33/1 8th -1pt 

Total -4pts

YARMOUTH 2.00 

Ten runners with only Sir Rodneyredblood 15/2 known as a front running type but that was on the AW tracks, it hasn't made the frame in 5 runs on turf but its best AW time would make it my 2nd top rated but its not for me in this race and maybe one to lay, the other early paced one is Breath Of Spring 9/1 who could also do enough to make the frame but not sure if it can hold on for the win, Excellent George 33/1 would make the frame using its best time from 2019 or 2020 but hasn't reached that level so far this year but might be worth an each way punt if its 20/1 or bigger, Molly Shaw 11/4 and Secret To Success 9/1 could also go well but my money will be riding on GLOBAL HOPE 16/1 (EW) who recorded its best time over this course and distance in 2020 and a repeat would see it getting back to winning ways and i am hoping I can do it as an each way bet and the jockey has a 17% win ratio on the stables older horses. 

Global Hope 16/1 9th -2pts

Total -2pts

YARMOUTH 4.50 

Only 4 runners but what a race to try and solve, I could lay Castana Dia 7/4 who may need further and looks very poor value at the price in my opinion plus you don't lose much if it does win, Invincible Larne is likely to try and set the pace but time wise it needs to improve a good few spots to hold on for the win, of the other 2 I think dutching all of them might be the way to go, STAY SMART 5/1 could be the one to make sure the early pace is fast and using its best time which came on the AW at Newcastle it would be my top rated but its best time on turf is quite a lot lower but has to have a chance, SPIRITED GUEST 9/4 would be my 3rd and 2nd top rated but there is only 2lbs between the pair of them on my overall ratings but I sure wont be betting too heavily in this race. 

Spirited Guest 100/30 2nd -1pt 

Stay Smart 9/1 4th -1pt 

Total -2pts

DONCASTER 5.50 

A field of 9 here with only Barrington 8/1 having been known to lead before but hasn't been in good form lately and I doubt it could hold on for the win even if in top form, I will look to lay Blazing Hot 6/1 who may struggle to stay the distance with a fast early pace, Dandys Gold is my 4th top rated but just 1lb behind Lucky Beggar in 3rd top spot and the later usually stays on at the business end of a race over this distance, the top weight Mutanaaseq comes out in 2nd top spot using a time from Thirsk this year and is another that stays on at the finish of a race,i will be putting my trust and money on HAIL SEZER 7/2 who recorded a time at Carlisle when finishing 2nd that would see it winning this race a shade cosily.

Hail Sezer 7/2 1st +3.5pts

Lay bets Blazing Hot +1pt 

Total on the day -3.5pts

4:45 Newmarket Racing Tips (9th July)

NEWMARKET 4.45 

A 17 runner 5 furlong dash and surprisingly there is only 2 known front running types amongst them. 

I think that King Of Stars 12/1 could do best of the 3 and might even stay long enough to make the frame if others falter but I doubt it can lead all the way for the win so it would have to be used as an each way punt. 

I will look to lay both Additional and Gellhorn if they are single figure prices as I think both of them will do better when racing over a longer distance. 

The 2 at the bottom of the handicap Secretinthepark and Good Luck Fox have been in decent form and are capable of recording a fastish time but in lower class races and they might struggle in this class to repeat those times so maybe worth laying if they are of value to do so. Han Solo Berger 20/1, Embour 14/1, Benefit Street 10/1 and Nibras Again 10/1 are capable of running well in this race and could possibly be worth backing each way if they are value to do so but I will be doing two other each way bets in this race which I think that look the value call in this race. 

Firstly, I will back YIMOU 14/1 (EW) who is my top rated using a time recorded this year at Windsor and usually stays on strongly at this distance and with 3 known front running types in the race this race could be run to suit, my second each way bet will be on SAAHEQ 20/1 (EW) who is my 2nd top rated and could be the bet if the going wasn't being given as good to firm as it seems to prefer genuine good ground. 

With scattered showers forecast for the area I will back them both each way to cover the angle’s concerning the going and if there is cut in the ground (softish going) then as usual I will not be backing anything as all my data is calculated using good or faster ground.

Saaheq 33/1 Up -2pts 

Yimou 14/1 Unp -2pts

Lay bet Gellhorn +1pt

Total on the day -3pts

4:35 Lingfield Racing Tips (26th February)

LINGFIELD 4.35 

Only 5 runners and not a lot to say about the race, Capla Spirit looks the one most likely to set the pace to this race but it will need to improve time wise from what its shown so far to win this race but could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead, Pop Dancer will be held up at the rear or in the middle of the pack for a late run, Tin Hat races as though further will suit it better and may get outpaced in this race, the same applies to Outrage who will be trying to stay on at the finish but maybe too late to win, I am putting my money on SAAHEQ 5/4 who likes to track the leaders and then stay on the stronger at the finish and a reproduction of the time its already achieved this year would see it winning with a bit left up its sleeve. 

Saaheq 11/8 2nd -1pt

Total -1pt

WOLVERHAMPTON 4.40 

This is a poor class 6 handicap, there's 13 runners but no known front running types or much to say about each horse, looking at the tissue prices in The Sportinglife there is only 4 or 5 that are not double figure prices, Bold Decision is 5th top using a Southwell time, Blue Cable won its last race which was over this c/d and is forecast to be the favourite its best c/d time would put it in 3rd top spot on recent times but drops to 5th top spot on overall speed figures, its a bad race when Fard has a squeak but it is a time from Newcastle that would put it in the mix while its best c/d time is 11lbs below that level, Secret Potion 16/1 is another that could go well in this race using a time from Kempton but this one wouldn't want the early pace to be too strong so this race might be run to suit it and it could well make the frame but I will be putting my faith into the top weight KATELLI 4/1 who is my top rated and achieved that rating over this c/d this year and the jockey Jack Garrity has an 18% win ratio on the stables older horses so lets hope he can add to his winnings in this race.

Katelli 4/1 4th -1pt

Total on the day -2pt

12:25 Lingfield Racing Tips (31st December)

LINGFIELD 12.25 

Only 5 runners for this class 4 dash at least there is a couple that should make sure there's a good fast early pace, maybe Charming Kid can take full advantage of its stall 1 draw and being my joint 2nd top rated it could prove hard to catch if allowed an easy lead, Recon Mission has been known to lead before but its best time from Kempton wouldn't be enough to win this race and may need further to show its true worth, Chairmanic is another that might need further before it shines, Thegreatestshowman is my other joint 2nd top rated so should be staying on at the finish but my money will be riding on SAAHEQ 4/1 who should be staying on strongly at the finish, at first glance it looks to be out of form but its last two runs have been in fast run affairs and a repeat of those times would be enough to get it back to winning ways. 

Saaheq 6/1 3rd -1pt

Total: -1pt

LINGFIELD 3.35 

There is five 3yo’s in this field of 11 runners and to tell the truth this race won't take much winning, there is only 2 horses that have recorded fast enough times to register in 2020 those being AGUEROOO 9/1 who is 2nd top rated and COMEATCHOO 10/3 who is top rated on just 2020 c/d times but this ones jockey record of 0-16 on the stables 3yo’s is a little off-putting, the top weight COME ON GIRL 4/1 is top rated overall using its best time which was recorded at Chelmsford this year and should be my main selection but the jockeys 0-8 record for the stable does temper my confidence, I will back all 3 selections, there isn't much value in doing so but i cannot see any other options. 

NEWCASTLE 3.50 

This is quite a competitive race for a class 6 affair but there isn't any natural front runner in the race although Leo Minor who hasn't been in the best of form lately has led when nothing else wants to so maybe it will try again here and could be dangerous if allowed an easy lead but what usually happens is that trainers see the lack of pace and then instruct their horses to set the pace and then several can try the same thing and then none of then gain an advantage, there is a few I would look to lay if they are of value to do so but i will be taking a punt on FAIR ALIBI 14/1 (EW) in this race who hasn't been at its best lately but hopefully it can track the pacesetter in this race and then stay on resolutely at the finish and get back to winning ways and the price is big enough to back it each way. 

Fair Alibi 14/1 Unp -2pt

Total on the day: -3pts

HAPPY NEW YEAR

6:00 Southwell Racing Tips & Lay Bets (18th February)

SOUTHWELL 6.00 

There are only 6 runners to analyse. I will look to lay (Jem Scuttle 5/2) I wasnt sure whether to lay this horse or not but I think this 4 year old horse might need a longer trip to show its worth and at the price I certainly dont think its of value) Hellofagame has one fast time to its name, very fast for the class of race but that is beginning to look more and more like a one off and its still a maiden having had 15 runs, the same can be said about Loulin’s best time so I am not 100% sure what level these 2 horses are truly capable of performing to and this one would need to improve timewsue to win this race, Global Humor has only one c/d run to its name and that was a slow time plus its best from elsewhere would still leave it a little bit short of whats required here if others run to their best, the jockey riding Madrinho has a good record for the stable but not on the stables older horses on the AW tracks but is on a losing streak of 22 races, that leaves POETA BRASILEIRO 11/2 who is the only known frontrunning type in this race and this topweight has been running in better company and its two recent runs have been over 7 furlongs and this drop back to 6 furlongs will suit it much better and will be carrying my money in this race. 

Poeta Brasileiro 11/2 6th 

Lay bets: Jem Scuttle (+1pt) 

Total 0pts

SOUTHWELL 7.00

Only 7 runners in this race and the bottom 4 in the handicap have all been performing best in lower class races so I would look to lay all 4 of them (Astro Jakk + Moonraker + Samovar + Moveonup) enough to cover my bet stakes on my selection, North Wind hasnt any English form and looking at its Irish form it could take to this surface but I have a feeling it may be better over a longer trip, Lord Biddiford hasnt any c/d form to work while looking at its best time from Chelmsford, a different surface, it would be my top rated but looking at its past history it may need this run for fitness as its last race was 130 days ago, my pennies will be riding on the topweight SAAHEQ 7/2 who likes to track the leaders, five of the seven runners have been known to lead before, and then stay on strongly and this race may be run to suit it and the jockey booking looks a positive move, this will be this trainer's first horse running here in over five years so I think they have found a good opportunity to follow up its win last time.

Saaheq 7/2 7th 

Lay bets: Astro Jakk (-2.5pts) (Moonraker +1pt) Samovar (+1pt) Moveonup (+1pt) 

Total - 0.5pts 

Total on Day - 0.5pts